February 3rd Most Important Race

On January 22, 27 and February 2 I asked the same question here:

What February 3rd Contest is Most Important to Win the Nomination?

Here are the results, and some commentary:

     
   
   
   
 
     
   
   
   
 
     
   
   
   
 
     
   
   
   
 
     
   
   
   
 
     
   
   
   
 
     
   
   
   
 
     
   
   
   
 

State	January 22	January 27	February 2
Arizona	36%	17%	21%
Delaware	2%	1%	0%
Missouri	21%	50%	21%
New Mexico	2%	4%	5%
North Dakota	2%	0%	1%
Oklahoma	0%	3%	9%
South Carolina	34%	21%	39%

If Delaware and North Dakota want their races to be looked at nationally, they need to schedule them on a date separate from so many other races.

It's interesting that Oklahoma received so little consideration as the most important race.  In time, it may prove to be - since it probably propels Clark further, which probably reduces Edwards' chances considerably, which increases Kerry's chances at the same time.  On the same hand, if Edwards won OK, the story wouldn't be Kerry wins 5, but Edwards and Kerry Win.

What the heck.  I think I'll ask the question one more time, and see the result: