Over in the Iowa Predictions Thread, Tunesmith stated:
I honestly think the Dean campaign is telling their 1's not to answer polls.
That got me thinking. I think this is entirely conceivable, and might actually be happening. Here's why:
This so called "tightening" of the race will provided a huge momentum boost to whoever wins it, IMHO. The fact that candidate x pulled it out over these other three in a close race shows how strong that candidate is; we'll hear this blah blah from the media leading up to NH.
We also have no doubt about the dedication to Dean that most of his supporters have, as well as the reverence for Joe Trippi. If Storm HQ asked supporters not to answer polls in an purposeful effort to tighten polls, they probably would listen. Not only would it allow for the aforementioned momentum boost, it would also encourage soft Dean support to go to caucus because it's so close. In essence, it'll help GOTV.
And finally, if Dean does indeed pull it out in this manner, but wins by upwards of 7 points, the press will declare a huge victory for him, I think. And I think this is possible. If this playing around with the polls is actually occuring, combined with the idea that Dean's support is underrepresented due to it's relative inexperience in politics (the "new people in the process" thing), it's entirely possible Dean will have a huge victory on Monday night.
As Jumbo states in his sig, "Joe Trippi is a Jedi." The force is strong with him, no doubt, but is he masterfully playing this race? Me thinks that yes, he is.