Okay, this DIDS is easy - SurveyUSA couldn't poll it's way out of a paper bag.
The latest results for North Carolina show John McCain ahead by 20 points in North Carolina.
Uh... doubt it. Lots.
This is up from a 4-point lead on August 12.
How was this lead obtained?
Oh... one suspects that ramping up the percentage of Republicans from 33% to 41%, and correspondingly reducing the percentage of Democrats from 46% to 40%, might have had a bit to do with that.
more rant below the break
Now, this might have happened... the other crosstabs suggest McCain got some movement.
I just find the mix difficult to reconcile because McCain:
Gained 4 points with Pubs, 1 point with Dems and 14 with Independents?
Oh, it gets better.
He also, per the same polling outfit:
Gained 4 points with conservatives, 5 points with moderates and 16 points with liberals.
Something does not add up.
Oh, and this gets better - the SENATE RACE
Back in August, Liddy Dole was up 5 points on Kay Hagan, who has since had a monster advertising success against the absurdly unremarkable and unfunded Dole.
The result, per SurveyUSA? Dole now up 8 points
This one makes no sense at all in the crosstabs:
Dole lost 2 points with Republicans, lost 7 points with Democrats and gained 4 points with Independents.
Regardless, she is now leading by 8 points instead of 5.
What's the ideological shift?
She gained 3 with conservative, lost 4 with moderates, and GAINED 1 with liberals.
That is messed up.
Oh, last but not least, the GOVERNOR'S Race
Pat McCrory, the Republican mayor of Charlotte, is a nice guy and all that.
But Charlotte is infamous in North Carolina as a bad base for launching a gubernatorial campaign.
So seeing McCrory over Democratic candidate Bev Perdue by 8 points is a bit...optimistic for the GOP.
Seeing as how he was Down by 3 last month
So, same treatment. Where's all this support coming from?
Apparently, Pat McCrory has surged ahead a net 11 points by, get this,
losing 14 points with Republicans
losing 1 point with Democrats
GAINING a whopping 15 points with Independents
Or, broken out by ideology,
gaining 2 points with conservatives
gaining 4 points with moderates
GAINING 12 points with liberals
Color me highly underwhelmed.
It's not just a matter of changing the partisan mix; these results are totally hosed.
