Update: 11PM EDT info for Irene has been posted in a new diary to alleviate confusion.
I want to share a ton of graphics with you, but I don't want to bog down your computers, so I made a YouTube video instead. Video embedded below. It's 18 minutes long (I tend to be chatty with weather, as you know) so skip to the following times to get that information:
- Satellite images go from 0:00 to 2:46
- Forecast track goes from 2:46 to 5:08
- Windfield & Warnings go from 5:08 to 7:24
- Rainfall goes from 7:24 to 9:43
- Tornadoes go from 9:43 to 10:53
- 10:53 to 12:45 I repeat myself on the forecast track. Whoops. Skip that.
- Surge goes from 12:45 to 14:51
- Wind Forecasts go from 14:51 through the end of the video.
A few notes...
- The weakening I mention at the beginning of the video is expected to remain, rather than restrengthen, as of the 5PM advisory.
- If you can't view the video, check out Jeff Masters' blog. Even if you can view the video, still read it.
- The forecast winds went down about 20 MPH across the board with the 5PM advisory, so subtract about 20 from everything I say in the video except the initial intensity (still has 100 MPH winds).
- Mets102 has info on the NYC evacuations & subway shutdown.
- See the comments from my diary last night for really good advice to keep yourself safe in the storm.
I have to go to a really long class tonight, so I'll be back in a few hours. Sorry to post and run like this (I hate to do that).
Back from class (finally) update:
The reason we have a 950mb Category 2 hurricane is because the wind field is spreading out over an absolutely incredible area, as opposed to condensing into a little ball of massive wind. As of 8PM Eastern, Irene still has 100 MPH winds and is on track to screw up the east coast.
Click any of the following images to enlarge in new window.
Wind fields, watches and warnings:
Forecast track:
Forecast intensities:
Now, off to read the comments...
