I would not normally bring an individual poll result, let alone for a Senate seat, to the front page. Due to the interest and anxiety over the Massachusetts Senate race, I thought it was warranted in this case.
A new poll by the Western New England Polling Institute conducted September 9-13 shows Elizabeth Warren leading Scott Brown 50-44 among Likely Voters. I'm not aware of their track record, but I notice that their poll results in this race have been consistent with other polls taken around the same time.
Their previous poll at the end of May showed Warren leading by 2 (45-43) among Registered Voters. By way of comparison, the new poll has Warren leading by 12 (53-41) among Registered Voters, a shift of 10 points.
The pollster states that Warren has solidified her base, likely influenced by her convention appearance:
Tim Vercellotti, professor of political science and director of the Polling Institute at Western New England University, said Warren's lead comes in part from the fact that she's shored up support among Democrats to 89 percent, while losing only six percent of her party's support to Brown.Whether some of the shift is a temporary post-DNC bump, it is good to see momentum on her side both in the polls and in campaign strategy. Her new, more aggressive ad strategy may be too recent to have factored into this poll result, but it bodes well for the future.
Part of that bump, he said, may be attributable to the fact that polling started at the end of the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, N.C., and just two days after Warren delivered a prime-time speech ahead of former President Bill Clinton at the event.
It can't hurt to take another look at her fantastic Fighter ad.
Or to help contribute to her victory: