Mourdock's odds of victory dropped 50 points in 36 hours

by Susan Grigsby

Community

(This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday, Oct. 25, 2012 Thursday, Oct. 25, 2012 at 7:09:19pm PDT

I thought this item was interesting from David Rothschild at Yahoo News/The Signal. He has reported that Indiana's Senate race is now considered leaning Democratic.

Two major blows have befallen the Republicans since August. First, Todd Akin's campaign imploded over his statement that women rarely get pregnant from "legitimate rape." Now, Senate candidate Richard Mourdock in Indiana is watching his luck nosedive after stating that "even when life begins in that horrible situation of rape, that it is something that God intended to happen." Under the Signal's prediction model, his odds of victory have plummeted 50 points in 36 hours.

Sources: Betfair, Intrade, HuffPost Pollster, RealClearPolitics

We switched Indiana to a possible pickup for Democrats earlier this month, but at the time it had the longest odds for Democrats of the five Republican-leaning seats still in play.

I don't know that this prediction will actually play out, but it sure looks nice, doesn't it?

Lest we forget:

Mourdock and Romney campaigning together, with caption: "I voted for Mourdick because he supports the Romney-Ryan agenda."