With news of Ebola, ISIS, and a plunging stock market hitting the airwaves in recent months, the obvious has become clear to me: The Republicans are going to win, and they are going to win big. Democrats, resting upon the laurels of their 2012 victories(largely fuelled by young women who care more about sex and contraception than they do about anything else), have shown sheer incompetence in their handling of these crises, and the American public is smelling the proverbial rat in the basement. Accordingly, Democratic numbers have tanked in recent weeks. With all that in mind, here's how I see the elections playing out 23 days out.
US SENATE
Alaska
Dan Sullivan(R)-52%
Mark Begich(D)-46%
Arkansas
Tom Cotton(R)-54%
Mark Pryor(D)-45%
Colorado
Cory Gardner(R)-53%
Mark Udall(D)-47%
Delaware
Kevin Wade(R)-50%
Chris Coons(D)-49%
Georgia
David Perdue(R)-50%
Michelle Nunn(D)-46%
Illinois
Jim Oberweis(R)-51%
Dick Durbin(D)-49%
Iowa
Joni Ernst(R)-53%
Bruce Braley(D)-46%
Kansas
Pat Roberts(R)-55%
Greg Orman(I)-45%
Kentucky
Mitch McConnell(R)-53%
Alison Lundergan-Grimes(D)-47%
Louisiana
Bill Cassidy(R)-51%
Mary Landrieu(D)-40%
Rob Maness(R)-9%
Michigan
Terri Lynn Land(R)-49%
Gary Peters(D)-48%
Minnesota
Mike McFadden(R)-48%
Al Franken(D)-46%
Mississippi
Thad Cochran(R)-54%
Travis Childers(D)-44%
Montana
Steve Daines(R)-63%
Amanda Curtis(D)-34%
New Hampshire
Scott Brown(R)-52%
Jeanne Shaheen(D)-47%
New Jersey
Jeff Bell(R)-49%
Cory Booker(D)-47%
New Mexico
Allen Weh(R)-50%
Tom Udall(D)-47%
North Carolina
Thom Tillis(R)-53%
Kay Hagan(D)-45%
Oregon
Monica Wehby(R)-47%
Jeff Merkley(D)-46%
South Dakota
Mike Rounds(R)-44%
Larry Pressler(I)-38%
Rick Weiland(D)-18%
Virginia
Ed Gillespie(R)-51%
Mark Warner(D)-48%
West Virginia
Shelley Moore Capito(R)-59%
Natalie Tennant(D)-40%
US HOUSE
Republican gain of 50 seats.
AZ-1(Kirkpatrick), AZ-2(Barber), AZ-9(Synema), CA-3(Garamendi), CA-7(Bera), CA-16(Costa), CA-26(Brownley), CA-33(Waxman), CA-36(Ruiz), CA-41(Takano), CA-46(Sanchez), CA-47(Lowenthal), CA-52(Peters), CT-4(Esty), CT-5(Himes), FL-9(Grayson), FL-18(Murphy), FL-26(Garcia), GA-2(Bishop), GA-12(Barrow), HI-1(Hanabusa), IL-10(Schneider), IL-11(Foster), IL-12(Enyart), IL-17(Bustos), IA-1(Braley), IA-2(Loebsack), ME-2(Michaud), MA-6(Tierney), MA-9(Keating), MN-1(Walz), MN-7(Peterson), MN-8(Nolan), NH-1(Shea Porter), NH-2(Kuster), NY-1(Bishop), NY-4(McCarthy), NY-18(Maloney), NY-21(Owens), NY-24(Maffei), NV-4(Horsford), NC-7(McIntyre), OR-1(Bonamici), OR-5(Schrader), TX-23(Gallego), TX-35(Doggett), UT-4(Matheson), WA-1(DelBene), WA-10(Heck), WV-3(Rahall)
GOVERNORSHIPS
Alaska
Sean Parnell(R)-54%
Bill Walker(I)-46%
Arizona
Doug Ducey(R)-56%
Fred DuVal(D)-43%
Arkansas
Asa Hutchinson(R)-55%
Mike Ross(D)-44%
Colorado
Bob Beauprez(R)-54%
John Hickenlooper(D)-44%
Connecticut
Tom Foley(R)-53%
Dan Malloy(D)-45%
Florida
Rick Scott(R)-49%
Charlie Crist(D)-46%
Georgia
Nathan Deal(R)-51%
Jason Carter(D)-46%
Hawaii
James Aiona(R)-44%
David Ige(D)-43%
Mufi Hannemann(I)-13%
Idaho
Butch Otter(R)-62%
AJ Balukoff(D)-36%
Illinois
Bruce Rauner(R)-57%
Pat Quinn(D)-42%
Kansas
Sam Brownback(R)-52%
Paul Davis(D)-47%
Maine
Paul LePage(R)-44%
Mike Michaud(D)-37%
Eliot Cutler(I)-19%
Maryland
Larry Hogan(R)-50%
Anthony Brown(D)-48%
Massachusetts
Charlie Baker(R)-51%
Martha Coakley(D)-48%
Michigan
Rick Snyder(R)-55%
Mark Schauer(D)-43%
Minnesota
Jeff Johnson(R)-49%
Mark Dayton(D)-47%
New Hampshire
Walt Havenstein(R)-51%
Maggie Hassan(D)-47%
New York
Rob Astorino(R)-46%
Andrew Cuomo(D)-44%
Howie Hawkins(G)-10%
Oklahoma
Mary Fallin(R)-58%
Joe Dorman(D)-41%
Oregon
Dennis Richardson(R)-48%
John Kitzhaber(D)-47%
Pennsylvania
Tom Corbett(R)-50%
Tom Wolf(D)-49%
Rhode Island
Allan Fung(R)-47%
Gina Raimondo(D)-42%
Robert J. Healey(M)-11%
Wisconsin
Scott Walker(R)-52%
Mary Burke(D)-48%
In short, with sheer incompetencies running all the way up to the highest levels of our Democratic-controlled government, Republicans are poised to make gains rivalling those of 2010. Gains which could carry over into 2016, when we can expect to see a battle of the gladiators between Donald Trump/Ted Cruz and Joe Biden/Brian Schweitzer, as well as ample opportunities for Republicans to make further gains in the US Senate. Your thoughts.
