House: On behalf of the Democratic group Patriot Majority USA, PPP has conducted polls in a dozen different GOP-held House districts, three of which are open seats while the other nine feature incumbents seeking re-election (at least for now). We’ve assembled all the numbers into the table below, though note that some matchups feature unnamed generic candidates standing in for one or both parties (so all the usual caveats apply):
District |
Democrat |
%age |
Republican |
%age |
Margin |
AZ-02 |
Ann Kirkpatrick |
44 |
Martha McSally |
44 |
0 |
CA-49 |
Generic Dem |
51 |
Darrell Issa |
41 |
10 |
CO-06 |
Jason Crow |
36 |
Mike Coffman |
43 |
-7 |
IA-01 |
Abby Finkenauer |
42 |
Rod Blum |
40 |
2 |
IA-03 |
Generic Dem |
43 |
David Young |
44 |
-1 |
ME-02 |
Generic Dem |
45 |
Bruce Poliquin |
44 |
1 |
MI-11 |
Generic Dem |
42 |
Generic GOP |
42 |
0 |
MN-02 |
Angie Craig |
42 |
Jason Lewis |
43 |
-1 |
PA-06 |
Chrissy Houlahan |
37 |
Ryan Costello |
45 |
-8 |
PA-15 |
Generic Dem |
44 |
Generic GOP |
43 |
1 |
VA-10 |
Generic Dem |
48 |
Barbara Comstock |
39 |
9 |
WA-08 |
Generic Dem |
43 |
Dino Rossi |
42 |
1 |
While a couple of these results (particularly CA-49 and VA-10) look good for Democrats, overall they paint a picture of a very close battleground and don’t make it feel like a wave election is in the offing. But it’s still very early, and with over a year until Election Day, these races still have a long time to take shape. What’s more, one thing we do know for sure is that Democrats are competing on a much wider playing field than just these dozen races, and on a much wider playing field than they have in many years, so this is only a one slice of the whole.