The House has enough votes to pass a resolution to force debate four separate immigration bills, including protections for Dreamers, the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) recipients. Which means the votes are there in the House to get it done. The votes would also be there in the Senate to do it, and new polling suggests that the balance of the Senate might just hinge on it. Axios polled three states, Tennessee, Arizona and Nevada, and found all three could flip to Democrats and Arizona and Nevada are particularly vulnerable. Two issues dominate in those states, health care and immigration, with protection for Dreamers particularly popular.
DACA is the biggest warning sign for Republicans: 64% of voters across all three states support protections for immigrants brought illegally to the U.S. as children, and 71% support offering immigrants a chance to apply for citizenship rather than deporting them.
They won't get traction on health care, either: Roughly half of voters in all three states want to fix the Affordable Care Act "so it works better." Only about three in 10 want to repeal it.
In Arizona, Rep. Kyrsten Sinema, the Democratic candidate running to replace retiring Jeff Flake is leading all three Republican primary candidates by at least 8 points. In Nevada, Democrat Rep. Jackie Rosen is leading Sen. Dean Heller by 6 points. Even in Tennessee where Sen. Bob Corker is retiring, Democrat Phil Bredesen is basically tied with Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn, leading 48-47.
For the sake of the Dreamers, Congress should move on this now. Heller in particular has a really good argument to take to McConnell to let it happen. Happily for Democrats, McConnell probably won't listen.
Let's pile on. Please contribute $3 to the fund to flip these seats.