Eleven National Polls Today; Average Lead for Biden Is 7.8%

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…

Almost everybody has gotten into the act today, bringing out a national presidential poll. Biden leads them all, but some readers might want to see how they compare.

National Presidential Polls released 9/2/2020

Pollster		538 rating	Biden	Trump	Margin
Seltzer & Co.		A+	49	41	8
Suffolk		A	50	43	7
IBD/TIPP		A/B	49	41	8
Quinnipiac		B+	52	42	10
YouGov		B	51	40	11
Morn. Consult		B/C	51	43	8
CNN/SSRS		B/C	51	43	8
USC/Dornsife		B/C	51	42	9
Ipsos		B-	47	40	7
Rasmussen		C+	49	45	4
Harris X		C	46	40	6

Two unrated pollsters released surveys as well. Opinium  has Biden leading by 13 points, and Qriously has Biden ahead by 5%.

The aftermath of the conventions basically showed that Biden had a bump of 0 to 1% but improved has favorable ratings by about 5%. Trump’s convention produced a 2% bump but little or no improvement in his favorable ratings. 

Convention bounces almost always fade after a week.  So to whatever extent these polls are measuring some improvement for Trump because of his convention, it will likely be gone next week.

Improved favorable ratings for Biden may improve Democratic turnout.

Wednesday, Sep 2, 2020 · 10:17:01 PM +00:00 · mastergardener2k

Fox News Polls just came out with some fine polls for Biden. 

New Fox News polls:

• Arizona: Biden 49%, Trump 40%
• Wisconsin: Biden 50%, Trump 42%
• North Carolina: Biden 50%, Trump 46%

And the U.S. Senate races:

• Arizona: Mark Kelly (D) 56%, Martha McSally (R) 39%
• North Carolina: Cal Cunningham (D) 48%, Thom Tillis (R) 42%

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…

politicalwire.com

BTW: NC starts voting by mail this week.