It’s likely that no one in history has commanded as much attention as Donald Trump has over the past decade. By now, any careful and knowledgeable observer has more than enough information to form a good model of what makes Trump tick. And what makes Trump tick—now, in his present apparent condition—has begun to resemble the kind of “ticking” that would lead to a call to the Bomb Squad.
The increasingly acute danger of this moment derives from a particular combination of three evident components of Trump’s psychology.
First, for Trump, the violation of restrictions is an end in itself. Like a kid who will throw a rock through a window just to see it shatter into pieces, Trump will go out of his way to violate a norm, a law, the Constitution, or the international order because doing so is gratifying to him, regardless of whether it advances any other purpose. Transgression itself is the reward.
Second, Trump derives particular gratification from the use of raw coercive power. To him, the Department of Justice—and the threat of subordinating people through the coercive power of the state—is a weapon to be wielded against enemies and vulnerable groups. As commander-in-chief of the world’s mightiest military forces, Trump is motivated to find opportunities to use that power. Force is not a “last resort” for him; it appears to function as a source of gratification. He has shown eagerness to send National Guard troops into cities governed by his opponents, to use DHS to terrorize and seize immigrants he despises, and most recently to employ the military to attack a sovereign nation and to threaten others with regime change or the seizure of their territory.
Third, if these first two tendencies were not dangerous enough, the past year has added a new and alarming element: what appears to be an age-related deterioration in Trump’s mental functioning. As I wrote in a piece published here earlier this month — When the Aging Commander-in-Chief Is Losing What Judgment He Ever Had -- Trump seems to be showing two changes typical of such decline: an exaggeration of tendencies that were present all along, and a diminishing role for judgment in holding those impulses in check. Recent events—particularly the unilateral military actions involving Venezuela—appear unusually lacking in careful strategic judgment, showing a disturbing mismatch between violent means and any coherent or rational ends. This kind of recklessness is precisely what one would expect when impulse increasingly outruns the capacity for restraint and proportionality.
Taken together, these three elements form a dangerous configuration: a personality that delights in transgression, an appetite for coercive force as an end in itself, and a growing erosion of the judgment that once restrained those impulses. In such a mind, the immense destructive capacities of the American presidency are not merely available but inviting. The risk is not just of ill-considered actions, but of violent actions sought for the gratification that destructiveness brings, untethered from coherent strategy or proportional ends.
The costs of such a psychological constellation — costs measured in lives, stability, and America’s standing in the world—could be profound and irreversible.