Ok, I wanted to have a poll, "Who is going to win Iowa?" but if there is one thing I know it's that supporters are optimists when asked to invoke the name of their candidate and we don't need another poll telling the skew of support at dKos in the guise of an Iowa prediction.
So instead, it's "Will There Be An Upset In Iowa?"
If your prediction is biased, but your concept of upset is biased from the very same bias, it cancels out and I get information!
Um. Yeah, that'll work. :)