Empirical Cattle Call, 11/14: Clark and Lieberman surge!

Just kidding. However, Clark and Lieberman are doing quite well in the Atkins & Dowdle Exhibition Season model:

Dean: 106.29
Clark: 95.98
Lieberman: 93.53
Gephardt: 75.21
Kerry: 62.20
Edwards: 51.79
Moseley-Braun: 25.96
Sharpton: 19.79
Kucinich: 19.61

Pardon my flip dismissal, but this model sucks. Apart from the fact that it has actually managed to be wrong twice since 1980 (including picking Gary Hart to win in January of 1988, eight months after Monkey Business), it is almost entirely based (around 90-95%) upon the most recent Gallup poll numbers. Many people, including polical scientists, have questioned whther Gallup is a worthwhile indicator in the 2004 field.

So, anyway, let's move on to the real numbers:

Dean: 100.00
Clark: 64.25
Kerry: 57.53
Lieberman: 50.62
Gephardt: 49.64
Edwards: 26.75
Sharpton: 9.49
Moseley-Braun: 8.91
Kucinich: 7.43

New info added: New Gallup national poll, media results for 11/13
Old info removed: Zogby national poll, media results for 11/6