My cattle call:
- Dean = He's holding steady now, but my sense is that the campaign is taking a breather before the next big push. Expect December to look a lot like September.
- Clark - Will an air war campaign work? If he gets the nomination, it will be DESPITE his organization, not because of it. Still, he's in a better position than others. Barely. By dropping Iowa, the honeymoon is most definitely over.
- Gephardt + Obviously on an upswing, neck to neck with Dean in Iowa, getting his story together. If he survives Iowa, he might pull an upset out of the upper midwest. Maybe.
- Edwards = Not that he's actually making progress, but he's the one most likely to benefit from slips by the major players, especially if voters latch onto his pretty face and ignore his policies.
- Kerry - Losing the war hero vote to Clark, and the handsome vote to Edwards, and the Beltway vote to Gephardt, and the pissed-off vote to Dean. What does he have to offer that someone else doesn't do better?
- Lieberman - The tourniquet has stopped the hemmoraging, but it's probably too late to save the brain. I consider the fact that he's leveled off here proof of a downward slide.
- Kucinich = I still think he'll pull a surprise fourth place in Iowa, but. There just ain't no more progressives left to grab, and a fair bit of them have gone to Dean.
- Mosely-Braun - Her charm is wearing off. Still up for a cabinet post, tho.
- Sharpton - His charm is wearing off, too, although he's really made his point that there's more to him than people thought. Can we get him a radio show?
Interesting... no plus marks but for Gephardt, and several minus marks.