I called the Field Research Company, which operates the
CA Field Poll, this morning and spoke with Mark DiCamillo. He said the next CA Field poll would be out this Thursday. Anyone care to make their bets on the upcoming poll's results? Previous poll results are in the extended comments.
These are the CA Field Poll's previous results, which I got from their most recent report:
Field Poll report dated 10/15/2003.
(Anybody know how to take this big white space away?)
| LateSept | EarlySept | July | April |
Clark | 17 | 4 | n/a | n/a |
Dean | 14 | 23 | 14 | 7 |
Lieberman | 14 | 15 | 15 | 22 |
Kerry | 9 | 11 | 15 | 16 |
Gephardt | 5 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
Edwards | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Kucinich | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Sharpton | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Mosley Braun | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
Other/Undecided | 32 | 30 | 36 | 31 |
If I had to make a guess (bearing in mind that I live in the Bay Area Bubble), I'd say Dean retakes the lead but it'll be very close with Clark. Clark has almost no visible presence in the Bay Area but I've heard he has a bigger presence in the LA area. Dean and Kucinich are the only visible campaigns in the East Bay; Kucinich bumper stickers are pretty common but the Dean ones are becoming more so.
Another question for discussion: with the Iowa primary next week, does this mean this poll essentially becomses invalid five days after it's put out?
Anybody from other parts of CA? I'd love to hear what's going on in your neck of the woods.
Theresa in Oakland