Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 8/9-12. Likely voters. MoE 4% (5% for primary samples)
GOVERNOR
Democratic Primary
Newsom 20
Brown 29
Undcided 51
There's a bit of a gender gap, with Jerry Brown leading Gavin Newsom among women 32-16. Brown's advantage is his favorabilities -- he's viewed favorably by 48 percent of respondents, versus 37 percent unfavorable. Newsom clocks in with a net-negative rating of 40-42. Among Democrats, Brown has a 71-17 favorability rating to Newsom's 63-21.
GOP Primary
Whitman 24
Campbell 19
Poizner 9
Undecided 48
Whitman 27
Campbell 21
Undecided 52
It's anyone's ballgame.
General election
Brown (D) 42
Whitman (R) 36
Brown (D) 43
Campbell (R) 35
Brown (D) 43
Poizner (R) 34
Newsom (D) 36
Whitman (R) 37
Newsom (D) 36
Campbell (R) 35
Newsom (D) 36
Poizner (R) 35
This race will be a barnbuster, no matter which candidates make the cut in the primary. It's much different in the Senate race, where Boxer enjoys a comfortable lead, over the magic 50 percent mark.
SENATE
Republican Primary
Fiorina 29
DeVore 17
Undecided 54
General Election
Boxer (D) 52
Fiorina (R) 31
Boxer (D) 53
DeVore (R) 29
Check out the MASSIVE gender gap: Women break for Boxer 60-22 against Fiorina, and 63-19 against DeVore. Kind of hard to overtake that kind of gap. Boxer will be in the Senate for the foreseeable future.
