CNN has a new batch of numbers. Check out the disparities between registered voters and likely ones:
LV RV
CALIFORNIA
Governor
Meg Whitman (R) 44 38
Jerry Brown (D) 51 56
Senate
Barbara Boxer (D) 50 53
Carly Fiorina (R) 45 37
COLORADO
Governor
J. Hickenlooper (D) 51 51
Dan Maes (R) 10 11
Tom Tancredo (C) 37 34
Senate
Michael Bennett (D) 46 49
Ken Buck (R) 47 44
KENTUCKY
Senate
Rand Paul (R) 50 46
Jack Conway (D) 43 44
NEVADA
Senate
Harry Reid (D) 45 43
Sharron Angle (R) 49 39
PENNSYLVANIA
Governor
Dan Onorato (D) 45 48
Tom Corbett (R) 52 46
Senate
Joe Sestak (D) 45 47
Pat Toomey (R) 49 43
Sharron Angle doesn't even break out of the 30s among all registered voters, yet she's a good bet to win next Tuesday. We'd be looking great in Pennsylvania, even favored to hold on the governorship that has seemed like a lost cause all cycle. Jack Conway would be in good shape to pull off an upset in Kentucky. Michael Bennet would be looking solid in Colorado. And California wouldn't even be on the radar screen.
The Republicans are poised to win huge because our side won't turn out. I'm with those who think progressives are justified in being pissed and demoralized. I don't have the energy to sugarcoat it or pretend otherwise. But no matter how pissed and demoralized we are now, we'll be ten times as pissed and demoralized if we have Speaker John Boehner and Senate Majority Leader Jim DeMint. (What, you think McConnell would hold on to the top spot?)
But if Republicans make their expected massive gains, it won't be because America turned against the Democrats, but because Democrats stayed home.
Update: Virtual phone banking is a great GOTV activity, and you can do it from anywhere.
