This may be the last one, guys. I'm gassed.
SENATE: GOP +6 in the Senate (picked up IL, IN, AR, PA, WI, ND)
GOVERNOR: R+6 (GOP: IA, KS, OH, MI, NM, PA, TN, WI, WY; DEM: CA, HI; IND: 1)
HOUSE: R+57 (R+59, D+2)
D pickups: DE-AL, LA-02
R pickups: AL-02, AR-01, AR-02, CO-03, CO-04, IN-08, IN-09, FL-02, FL-08, FL-22, FL-24, GA-02, IL-11, IL-14, IL-17, KS-03, LA-03, MD-01, MO-04, MS-01, MI-01, MS-04, MO-04, NH-01, NH-02, NJ-03, NM-02, NY-13, NY-19, NY-20, NY-24, NY-29, NC-02, ND-AL, OH-06, OH-12, OH-15, OH-16, OH-18, PA-03, PA-07, PA-08, PA-10, PA-11, SC-05, SD-AL, TN-04, TN-06, TN-08, TX-17, TX-23, VA-02, VA-05, VA-09, WA-03, WV-01, WI-07, WI-08.
Quinn has declared victory in the IL-Gov race. No one has called it yet, but it looks pretty much done. It wasn't long ago that that was a guaranteed GOP pickup. Good to see him survive despite Blago and the bagged of being Democratic in 2010.
Update: Buck's lead down to 797 votes, but remember that Montrose County appears to be f'd up, and should give Buck another 5K votes or so.
Update 2: I think Ras is going to look terrible once the pollsters are all ranked.
Update 3: Nate already took a look, and it's not pretty for Ras:
While waiting for the remaining results to trickle in from states like Colorado and Alaska, I did a quick check on the accuracy of polls from the firm Rasmussen Reports, which came under heavy criticism this year -- including from FiveThirtyEight -- because its polls showed a strong lean toward Republican candidates.
Indeed, Rasmussen polls quite consistently turned out to overstate the standing of Republicans tonight. Of the roughly 100 polls released by Rasmussen or its subsidiary Pulse Opinion Research in the final 21 days of the campaign, roughly 70 to 75 percent overestimated the performance of Republican candidates, and on average they were biased against Democrats by 3 to 4 points.
Every pollster is entitled to a bad cycle now and again -- and Rasmussen has had some good cycles in the past. But their polling took a major downturn this year.
Update 4: Montrose County has been fixed, accounting for the new 6K vote lead. Now all that's left is Boulder and Denver. We're okay.
