Use this term when referring to statistics as a field of study. For collections of statistics use statistical data or a more specific term such as crime statistics.
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This has been a distressing week, more so than others because we’ve passed some tipping points as Trump in his desperation has gone to naked racism as well as extortion, etc., all to make us forget about Epstein. Eating more is only one attempt at...
by annieli
 52 comments
on Fri Feb 06, 2026 at 05:30 PM PST
with 22 Recommends
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Seeing nearly 63% in Georgia and Pennsylvania statewide Democrat was nearly mind-blowing. We logged 2.9 the day Monday and 2.8 the day prior for the predicted Democrat win margin in 2025 — this is an even deeper slump for the Republicans. Given how...
by PluralVote
10 comments
on Wed Nov 05, 2025 at 04:31 PM PST
with 19 Recommends
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Everything I want to say in this particular diary is embedded into the title image.
by Perlinator
8 comments
on Sat Jul 12, 2025 at 04:47 AM PDT
with 21 Recommends
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From https://www.emptywheel.net/2025/05/16/trump-confesses-migrants-arent-the-criminals-he-claimed-they-are/: "Of the over 5.8 million migrants stopped by Border Patrol between fiscal years 2022 & 2024, drugs were seized from only 249 people, Customs &...
by gmoke
8 comments
on Sat May 17, 2025 at 09:57 PM PDT
with 11 Recommends
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Donald has had a fixation with undocumented immigrants for decades. He said it when he announced his candidacy in 2015 and immediately called Mexicans rapists and murderers. NBC fired him from "The Apprentice" for it, although Trump likes to tell the...
by Bill Addis
5 comments
on Sun Apr 27, 2025 at 07:22 AM PDT
with 22 Recommends
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This will be short. Honestly? I banned Fox from my T&V, and have for years. CNN temporarily joined my list until a short respite yesterday. As I watched, some CNN employee displayed two figures, polling about trump from March 2017, when he was going...
by agnostic
6 comments
on Sat Jan 25, 2025 at 11:53 AM PST
with 9 Recommends
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I’ve occasionally written here and elsewhere about the Republican and the general right-wing effort to deny reality. “Elsewhere” includes a book I published about it, though there the focus was on how religion, Christianity in particular, operates by...
by Dan K
21 comments
on Tue Dec 10, 2024 at 09:28 AM PST
with 74 Recommends
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UPDATE: Sunday, Nov 24, 2024 · 5:59:58 PM +00:00 · Dem Some people somehow don't understand what the following words mean: every incumbent party in every single democracy that had an election lost voter share, on average by about 20%. That happened...
by Dem
126 comments
on Sun Nov 24, 2024 at 06:28 AM PST
with 80 Recommends
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Continuing my new series on GOP defections in the battleground states. First it was Michigan, then Wisconsin. A big thanks to those who commented on previous diaries and helped refine the inputs and assumptions. This diary assumes the CNN early voter...
by chateauhautbrion
21 comments
on Wed Oct 30, 2024 at 06:01 PM PDT
with 40 Recommends
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Donald Trump's three topics that he wants to talk about are inflation, the border, and crime. The reality is that the Biden Harris administration has been successful on all three fronts. One very important reason for this election even being...
by Dem
85 comments
on Wed Oct 02, 2024 at 04:05 PM PDT
with 367 Recommends
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I know that each and every one of us is all over the place when it comes to thinking about the outcome in November. For those who are on the optimistic side and would like a little bit of statistical support for their optimism, let me introduce you to...
by Denver11
26 comments
on Tue Oct 01, 2024 at 09:46 AM PDT
with 16 Recommends
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I live in PA and routinely throw away political mailers which have been coming in daily since about early August. This one caught my eye though. Trump is saying that 1. American personal savings rate quadrupled under Trump 2. A “typical” tax cut for a...
by liberalismiscommonsense
4 comments
on Sun Sep 22, 2024 at 12:52 PM PDT
with 16 Recommends
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Does the Democratic post Dobbs special election overperforming apply to the presidential election? Y A question has been raised. Does the Democratic Party candidate trend of outperforming the polls in special elections apply to the upcoming presidential election? First, let's note the trend. Democratic Party candidates have outperformed polls in 58...
by Dem
28 comments
on Sat Sep 21, 2024 at 07:43 AM PDT
with 34 Recommends
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We are in the home straight for the election, and peak polling season, and once again, we see all sorts of claims about polling that talk about statistical ties and leads that mean nothing because they are within the margin of error. Over the years,...
by PurpleElectric
30 comments
on Wed Sep 18, 2024 at 02:32 PM PDT
with 59 Recommends
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The only actual poll that counts is the one you walk into; the one just past the watershed. As recent years have proved, polling is often, sometimes heavily, incorrect. Case in point: Polling generated by HuffPost on Election Day 2016 concluded that...
by annieli
8 comments
on Sun Nov 03, 2024 at 11:26 PM PST
with 26 Recommends
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— — When a prediction methodology becomes obsolete, should society keep relying on it, like it was something more than a roll of the dice? Why polling is so often wrong by James Rosen, bostonglobe.com — April 3, 2024 If political pollsters were...
by jamess
23 comments
on Fri May 17, 2024 at 07:22 PM PDT
with 43 Recommends
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Americans are inundated with political polling results on a regular basis, and when actual elections are held, the results often deviate from the poll predictions. Why is that? I am not a social scientist, but I was exposed to the basics of polling...
by liberaldad2
35 comments
on Thu Feb 15, 2024 at 10:22 AM PST
with 19 Recommends
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I have read another article suggesting we not lose focus on Ukraine. I can't remember who. One of the quirks of Western Society at least, is that we grow up not realizing that actions and non-actions taken on the other side of the world can have a...
by Audreybeardsley
12 comments
on Mon Feb 05, 2024 at 06:27 AM PST
with 24 Recommends
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There exists a perception (stereotype?) of our online community as somewhat shielded from the problems of the real world. Yesterday I posted a list of questions along the lines of “have you ever been racially profiled?” or “have you been evicted?” This...
by kalmoth
29 comments
on Sat Nov 04, 2023 at 10:13 AM PDT
with 5 Recommends
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The very good news of the FBI’s crime stats report and CDC gun homicide report for 2022 have already been covered here, in the Good News Roundup and elsewhere, and it’s news worth celebrating: 6% reduction in gun homicides in one year! This follows two...
by Crashing Vor
14 comments
on Sun Oct 22, 2023 at 06:04 PM PDT
with 51 Recommends
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Recommended
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Recent Diaries
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