Use this term when referring to statistics as a field of study. For collections of statistics use statistical data or a more specific term such as crime statistics.
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Donald has had a fixation with undocumented immigrants for decades. He said it when he announced his candidacy in 2015 and immediately called Mexicans rapists and murderers. NBC fired him from "The Apprentice" for it, although Trump likes to tell the...
by Bill Addis
 5 comments
on Sun Apr 27, 2025 at 07:22 AM PDT
with 22 Recommends
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This will be short. Honestly? I banned Fox from my T&V, and have for years. CNN temporarily joined my list until a short respite yesterday. As I watched, some CNN employee displayed two figures, polling about trump from March 2017, when he was going...
by agnostic
6 comments
on Sat Jan 25, 2025 at 11:53 AM PST
with 9 Recommends
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I’ve occasionally written here and elsewhere about the Republican and the general right-wing effort to deny reality. “Elsewhere” includes a book I published about it, though there the focus was on how religion, Christianity in particular, operates by...
by Dan K
21 comments
on Tue Dec 10, 2024 at 09:28 AM PST
with 74 Recommends
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UPDATE: Sunday, Nov 24, 2024 · 5:59:58 PM +00:00 · Dem Some people somehow don't understand what the following words mean: every incumbent party in every single democracy that had an election lost voter share, on average by about 20%. That happened...
by Dem
126 comments
on Sun Nov 24, 2024 at 06:28 AM PST
with 80 Recommends
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Continuing my new series on GOP defections in the battleground states. First it was Michigan, then Wisconsin. A big thanks to those who commented on previous diaries and helped refine the inputs and assumptions. This diary assumes the CNN early voter...
by chateauhautbrion
21 comments
on Wed Oct 30, 2024 at 06:01 PM PDT
with 40 Recommends
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Here is how I feel about the current state of the 2024 presidential race. We have NO IDEA who is going to turn out! I want to start with a story about relative understanding of statistics and our brains. During the 2021 olympics, my friend asks me a...
by UtahBadger
17 comments
on Wed Oct 09, 2024 at 01:49 PM PDT
with 27 Recommends
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Donald Trump's three topics that he wants to talk about are inflation, the border, and crime. The reality is that the Biden Harris administration has been successful on all three fronts. One very important reason for this election even being...
by Dem
85 comments
on Wed Oct 02, 2024 at 04:05 PM PDT
with 367 Recommends
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I know that each and every one of us is all over the place when it comes to thinking about the outcome in November. For those who are on the optimistic side and would like a little bit of statistical support for their optimism, let me introduce you to...
by Denver11
26 comments
on Tue Oct 01, 2024 at 09:46 AM PDT
with 16 Recommends
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I live in PA and routinely throw away political mailers which have been coming in daily since about early August. This one caught my eye though. Trump is saying that 1. American personal savings rate quadrupled under Trump 2. A “typical” tax cut for a...
by liberalismiscommonsense
4 comments
on Sun Sep 22, 2024 at 12:52 PM PDT
with 16 Recommends
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Does the Democratic post Dobbs special election overperforming apply to the presidential election? Y A question has been raised. Does the Democratic Party candidate trend of outperforming the polls in special elections apply to the upcoming presidential election? First, let's note the trend. Democratic Party candidates have outperformed polls in 58...
by Dem
28 comments
on Sat Sep 21, 2024 at 07:43 AM PDT
with 34 Recommends
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We are in the home straight for the election, and peak polling season, and once again, we see all sorts of claims about polling that talk about statistical ties and leads that mean nothing because they are within the margin of error. Over the years,...
by PurpleElectric
30 comments
on Wed Sep 18, 2024 at 02:32 PM PDT
with 59 Recommends
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The only actual poll that counts is the one you walk into; the one just past the watershed. As recent years have proved, polling is often, sometimes heavily, incorrect. Case in point: Polling generated by HuffPost on Election Day 2016 concluded that...
by annieli
8 comments
on Sun Nov 03, 2024 at 11:26 PM PST
with 26 Recommends
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— — When a prediction methodology becomes obsolete, should society keep relying on it, like it was something more than a roll of the dice? Why polling is so often wrong by James Rosen, bostonglobe.com — April 3, 2024 If political pollsters were...
by jamess
23 comments
on Fri May 17, 2024 at 07:22 PM PDT
with 43 Recommends
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Americans are inundated with political polling results on a regular basis, and when actual elections are held, the results often deviate from the poll predictions. Why is that? I am not a social scientist, but I was exposed to the basics of polling...
by liberaldad2
35 comments
on Thu Feb 15, 2024 at 10:22 AM PST
with 19 Recommends
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I have read another article suggesting we not lose focus on Ukraine. I can't remember who. One of the quirks of Western Society at least, is that we grow up not realizing that actions and non-actions taken on the other side of the world can have a...
by Audreybeardsley
12 comments
on Mon Feb 05, 2024 at 06:27 AM PST
with 24 Recommends
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There exists a perception (stereotype?) of our online community as somewhat shielded from the problems of the real world. Yesterday I posted a list of questions along the lines of “have you ever been racially profiled?” or “have you been evicted?” This...
by kalmoth
29 comments
on Sat Nov 04, 2023 at 10:13 AM PDT
with 5 Recommends
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The very good news of the FBI’s crime stats report and CDC gun homicide report for 2022 have already been covered here, in the Good News Roundup and elsewhere, and it’s news worth celebrating: 6% reduction in gun homicides in one year! This follows two...
by Crashing Vor
14 comments
on Sun Oct 22, 2023 at 06:04 PM PDT
with 51 Recommends
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In Star Trek IV: The Voyage Home, the crew of the Enterprise travels back in time and Kirk has to sell his antique eyeglasses to get some much needed 20th century money. He’s offered $100 and asks “Is that a lot?” It’s played for laughs, but Kirk has...
by A Citizen
10 comments
on Thu Apr 13, 2023 at 11:39 AM PDT
with 22 Recommends
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"This is what they look like." The video below is a relatively unfiltered view of small towns with nearly-all-white populations, strung along a highway in Illinois. What's revealed might be surprising to some who have only seen such places from the...
by Walk In the Woods
37 comments
on Thu Mar 23, 2023 at 07:54 PM PDT
with 17 Recommends
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Violent crime in Australia is gradually decreasing. This is good. Except among Indigenous people. Rates of imprisonment Australia-wide are declining, which is also gratifying. But the number of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people incarcerated...
by Alan Austin
2 comments
on Mon Feb 27, 2023 at 09:53 AM PST
with 7 Recommends
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Recommended
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Recent Diaries
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