SurveyUSA. 10/08-10. Likely voters. MoE 4.2% (9/9-11 results)
Lieberman (CfL) 53 (51)
Lamont (D) 40 (38)
Schlesinger (R) 4 (7)
Ugly numbers. But while I like SUSA, numbers in this race are all over the place. I don't think anyone can agree on a turnout model. Reality is that Lamont is about 7-12 points back (Quinnipiac's latest poll say 8). Not in optimal position, but within striking range.
INDIANA (2nd CD)
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) for the DCCC. 10/4-5. Likely voters. MoE 4.6% (No trend lines)
Chocola (R) 36
Donnelly (D) 52
Mercury Public Affairs (R) for the Chocola campaign. 10/9. MoE 5.65% (No trend lines)
Chocola (R) 44
Donnelly (D) 44.7
"We take polls to understand reality, not to make us feel good," [Chocola spokesman Brooks] Kochvar said. "Clearly their poll makes them feel good, but it has no basis in reality."
The Chocola campaign will talk about "reality" while commissioning polls with a near-6 percent margin of error? Wow. No wonder everyone (including the NRCC has pulled out of this race and left Chocola to the wolves. Even his own crappy internal polling shows him behind.
KANSAS (2nd CD)
Cooper & Secrest (D) for the Kansas Democratic Party. 10/6-8. Likely voters. MoE 4.4% (No trend lines)
Ryun (R) 42.6
Boyda (D) 40
MASSACHUSETTS (Governor, open)
SurveyUSA. 10/8-10. Likely voters. MoE 4% (9/19-21 results)
Healey (R) 34 (25)
Patrick (D) 52 (64)
Patrick's post-primary bump appears to be over. But he had (and still has) plenty of ground to give.
NEW JERSEY (Senate)
Quinnipiac Univ. 10/4-10. Likely voters. MoE 3.6% (9/20 results)
Menendez (D) 49 (45)
Kean (R) 45 (48)
Rasmussen will soon release numbers showing a similar flip of voter sentiment in NJ in Mendendez' favor. It's clear the momentum is with our guy, as the last top-tier pickup opportunity by the Republicans in the Senate begins to trend against them.
VIRGINIA (5th CD)
SurveyUSA. 10/8-10. Likely voters. MoE 4.4% (7/23-25 results)
Goode (R) 56 (59)
Weed (D) 40 (35)
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