Market Shares for the Chicago Tribune. 10/8-11. Likely voters. (9/7-10 results)
Blagojevich (D) 43 (45)
Topinka (R) 29 (33)
Illinois voters are unhappy with Democratic Gov. Rod Blagojevich, but they like Republican challenger Judy Baar Topinka even less, giving the incumbent the advantage less than a month before the election, a new Tribune/WGN-TV poll shows.
Seizer for the Des Moines Register. 10/8-11. Likely voters. MoE 3.5% (9/10-13 results)
Culver (D) 46 (44)
Nussle (R) 39 (44)
Among likely voters backing Culver, 82 percent say their minds are made up. Among Nussle's supporters, 73 percent say they've locked in their vote.
While the vast majority of likely voters remain loyal to their party's gubernatorial candidate, independents now prefer Culver over Nussle, 43 percent to 33 percent. In the mid-September Iowa Poll, Nussle had a 2-point edge over Culver among independents.
Seizer for the Detroit Free Press. 10/8-11. Likely voters. MoE 3.9% (8/28-30 results)
Granholm (D) 49 (46)
DeVos (R) 41 (44)
Women prefer Granholm 54% to 37% in the new poll, more than twice the margin in August. Men are evenly split. In the five-county metro Detroit area, Granholm went from a 10-point lead in August to an 18-point lead now.
EPIC/MRA for the Detroit News. 10/10-12. Likely voters. MoE 4% (10/2-3 results)
Granholm (D) 51 (46)
DeVos (R) 43 (40)
Star Tribune. 10/6-11. Likely voters. MoE 3.4% (9/13-15 results)
Pawlenty (R) 37 (42)
Hatch (D) 46 (42)
As in previous polls, both candidates are supported by more than eight in 10 members of their own parties. But DFL voters are more engaged in the election than Republicans, with 69 percent of them professing a great deal of interest compared with 54 percent of Republicans.
Among independent voters, Pawlenty's 10-point advantage in September has dwindled. Pawlenty now has 35 percent to 34 percent for Hatch [...]
Hatch has gained ground on Pawlenty among women and more affluent voters. He now has a 52 percent to 32 percent lead among women compared with 43 percent to 40 percent in September.
Among voters who make $100,000 or more the two are now even. Last month, Pawlenty led 57 percent to 30 percent.
Geographically, Hatch is strong in Hennepin and Ramsey counties. He polled 54 percent -- double what Pawlenty polled. The two are closer, 43 percent for Pawlenty to 40 percent for Hatch, in the balance of the metro area and are even at 42 percent in the rest of the state.
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