The government released new poverty statistics this week. The number of Americans living in poverty rose again last year. Thirteen million children -- nearly one in every five -- lives in poverty. Close to 25 percent of all African Americans live in poverty. Twenty-three percent of the population in New Orleans lives in poverty. Those are chilling numbers. Because of Katrina, we have now seen many of the faces behind those numbers.
Poverty exists everywhere in America. It is in Detroit and El Paso. It is in Omaha, Nebraska and Stockton, California. It is in rural towns like Chillicothe, Ohio and Pine Bluff, Arkansas. Nearly half of the children in Detroit, Atlanta and Long Beach, California live in poverty. It doesn't have to be this way. We can begin embracing policies that offer opportunity, reward responsibility, and assume the dignity of each American.
There are immediate needs in New Orleans and the Gulf Coast, and the first priority is meeting those, but after that, we need to think about the American community, about the one America we think we are, the one we talk about. We need people to feel more than sympathy with the victims, we need them to feel empathy with our national community that includes the poor. We have missed opportunities to make certain that all Americans would be more than huddled masses. We have been too slow to act in the face in the misery of our brothers and sisters. This is an ugly and horrifying wake-up call to America. Let us pray we answer this call. Now is the time to act.
But from what historical tradition does Edwards' rhetoric stem?
Generally speaking, there are two types of poverty advocacy in American political history -- agrarian radicalism and urban populism. The two movements are linked, but subtly different, with two very different historical pedigrees.
Agrarian radicalism sounds like this:
Our country finds itself confronted by conditions for which there is no precedent in the history of the world; our annual agricultural productions amount to billions of dollars in value, which must, within a few weeks or months, be exchanged for billions of dollars' worth of commodities consumed in their production; the existing currency supply is wholly inadequate to make this exchange; the results are falling prices, the formation of combines and rings, the impoverishment of the producing class. We pledge ourselves that if given power we will labor to correct these evils by wise and reasonable legislation, in accordance with the terms of our platform.
We believe that the power of government-in other words, of the people-should be expanded (as in the case of the postal service) as rapidly and as far as the good sense of an intelligent people and the teachings of experience shall justify, to the end that oppression, injustice, and poverty shall eventually cease in the land.
That's Ignatius Donnelly, the colorful Minnesota co-founder of the Populist Party, propounding the new party's 1890 Omaha Platform. The language is fulsome and pregnant with meaning -- there's nothing pedestrian about a line like "We have witnessed for more than a quarter of a century the struggles of the two great political parties for power and plunder, while grievous wrongs have been inflicted upon the suffering people." In addition, Donnelly speaks directly to the struggle between urban capitalists and rural farmers. The implications of not only class but rural/urban warfare could not be more clear.
On the other hand, in the realm of urban populism, we have things like this:
The government of New York City, as LaGuardia has proved to all of us, is not the personal property of ANY MAYOR, and certainly NOT the property of any gang of tin-horn politicians selling city services for votes or money It is YOUR Government. It belongs to you. It is there to serve YOU--not any District Leader.
When a mother wants to bring her baby to a health station TODAY she doesn't have to "know" any one or "see" any one. And that goes straight down the line, in every department under the Mayor.
Think back a bit. Think back to Tammany days, and ask yourself whether you like Tammany service or HUMANIZED SERVICE.
It comes back to
THE SAME OLD ISSUE
Good Government or Bad
LaGUARDIA OR TAMMANY
That's part of a campaign article in favor of Fiorello LaGuardia, the legendary populist mayor of New York city from 1933-1945. Notice the stark difference in rhetoric from Donnelly's agrarian radical document: the language is much more down-to-earth and pedestrian; the focus is on essential services and good government, not the ridding of evildoers from the halls of power.
Why this distinction between urban and rural populism? Perhaps when you can walk by City Hall or the state capitol building, it's easier to think of politicians as just another group of very ordinary people. When you're out in the boonies, government seems as far away as a fairy tale, subject to great climactic struggles between kinghts and demons.
In any case, which group best represents that thought and rhetoric of John Edwards? In an elegant essay, Elle argues that Edwards is an urban populist like LaGuardia. For evidence, she draws on this piece Edwards distributed via e-mail a year-and-a-half ago, in which Edwards urges us to follow the example of another urban populist, Franklin Delano Roosevelt:
Seventy-five years ago, our government was led by a President who actually succeeded in navigating America through a disaster. Faced with the Great Depression, Franklin Roosevelt saw that relief requires more than food and shelter; it requires the dignity that comes from a job at a decent wage. And he saw something else: as Allida Black put it at a forum here last week, we have to "build to last."
Many of our children still go to schools that the WPA constructed; many of our homes are lighted because of dams that the PWA built; many of our families still hike on trails that his CCC blazed. That's why trailer parks are not the answer.
In fact, if we know anything from a half century of urban development, it is that concentrating poor people close to each other and away from jobs is a lousy idea. If the Great Depression brought forth Hoovervilles, these trailer towns may someday be known as Bushvilles.
We can do better.
More evidence for Edwards' urban populism can be adduced from the speech I quoted above the flip, as well as from his use of New Orleans and Katrina as a centerpiece of his campaign -- he even announced for President there:
New Orleans, in so many ways, shows the two Americas that I have talked about in the past and something that I feel very personally. And it also exemplifies something that I've learned since the last election, which is that it's great to see a problem and to understand it. It's more important to actually take action and do something about it.
And I think that's why I'm in New Orleans, is to show what's possible when we as Americans, instead of staying home and complaining about somebody else not doing what they're supposed to, we actually take responsibility and we take action.
All based around city-dwelling and the attendant injustices thereof.
This isn't a simply drawn issue; Donnelly discusses the plight of urban labor in the Omaha Platform, and Edwards goes out of his way to talk about rural poverty in this July 2006 interview:
It is important not to overlook rural poverty, which is particularly prevalent in the South. Eighty-two percent of the poorest rural counties in America are in the South. We need to offer tailored solutions to meet the needs of America's small towns and rural communities. We should invest in community colleges, which are particularly important in rural areas and open rural small business centers to provide investment capital and advice to help entrepreneurs get off the ground.
But even here, his choice of phrasing -- "It is important not to forget rural poverty" -- suggests that there is some danger of his forgetting it. Based on all this evidence, I agree with Elle: Edwards is an urban populist, not an agrarian radical.
So how do you explain the fact that Edwards' strongest support comes from rural areas?
This is the most astonishing poll of the cycle so far.

This poll was taken by WaPo in an attempt to prove that Obama doesn't have African-American support locked up. It does that, but the most shocking statistic is the Edwards numbers. The crusader for the inner-city poor is backed by four times FEWER blacks, who form a disproportionate percentage of the urban poor. What is going on here?
I asked Elle for her thoughts, and here's what she had to say on the question:
...the Southern good ol' boy thing? i'm not sure if you meant what he says or his accent, but i hope people don't underestimate the effect of the latter. i always tell the story of how i liked watching CSI: Miami, but for the longest time I wouldn't b/c of Emily Proctor's voice. she sounded like the white women from my rural hometown and the tension and memories associated with that means that her voice grates on my nerves.
what it might signal, in edwards's case, is that beneath the rhetoric, he's still a white southerner. the associated steretypes are damaging.
Beyond the cultural barrier between black voters and Edwards, Elle and Eugene also make a second argument: Edwards' focus on the right to work, rather than the right to freedom from poverty, turns off a lot of urban voters. Here's Eugene:
...not all work is honorable - despite the New Deal era rhetoric of the nobility of manual labor, it still remains dangerous, exploitative, and unremunerative. And it's shot through with racist and sexist assumptions and practices that either make it hellish for women of color in particular, or deny them any place at all.
So when Edwards goes down the road of a "working society" I stand there at the crossroads, wondering whether to wave goodbye or shrug my shoulders. To me, people deserve all those things by the fact of their being alive, not the fact that they hold a job. And given America's history of defining "work" as something whites do and people of color threaten, I am a bit cautious about what the effect of Edwards' language will be. ...
Ultimately that's what troubles me about Edwards' language. What does it offer those who cannot work, or those who are underemployed, or exploited in their labor? It runs the very real risk of simply reinforcing existing inequalities.
I agree with both of these arguments for Edwards' curious inability to connect with African-Americans, a critical sector of the urban poor. But there is a flip side to this equation for Edwards: the flaws in his candidacy for the urban poor are strengths perfectly equipped to appeal to the rural poor. His southern good ol' boy demeanor, so out of place in the cities, makes him fit right in with farmers and white Southerners. His arguments in favor of the right to work are also a perfect fit for rural dwellers, given that farm-based communities are used to a higher quality of work experience than those in cities -- the difference between agricultural work and factory work.
His appeal to the rural poor is also Edwards' greatest strength for a Democratic ticket. With all due respect to the urban poor, the only way they're going to vote for a Republican is if Rudy Giuliani, another urban populist, is the nominee -- which I'm pretty certain won't happen. The rural poor, on the other hand, are a critical swing constituency, largely because they feel neither party is interested in their issues. For this reason, the rural poor have always been susceptible to joining third-party splinter groups; they were the core constituency of the late-1800's Greenbacker and Populist parties, Robert La Follette's agrarian Progressive Presidential candidacy in 1924, and Strom Thurmond and George Wallace's Southern conservative bids in 1948 and 1968.
John Edwards is perfectly positioned to appeal to this group -- I'd guess they form the strength in his poll numbers, as further evidenced by his strong numbers in Iowa. If I worked on Edwards' campaign, I'd suggest that, without abandoning his urban populism, he retool his rhetoric, fashioning it into a sharp defense of the rural poor. The day Edwards becomes an agrarian radical will be the day Edwards sweeps the field.
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