Well, according to Dick Morris:
The polls now make it clear that McCain lost the first debate, and has lost ground during the entire gambit of suspending his campaign, going off the trail, going to Washington, and working on the bailout. He was tied, or 1 to 2 percent behind when he made the suspension announcement, and he is now 5 to 6 percent behind.
The fallout in the electoral map does not make for a pretty picture. Core Republican states like Louisiana, Tennessee, West Virginia, Arizona, and North Carolina are now really toss ups, and even states like South Carolina and Georgia are in play.
And looking more at the map Morris lays out at
Dick Morris Electoral Vote Map
Updated with Map (thanks to ksh01)
(Sorry I don't know how to embed the image in this diary - if you know how to, let me know, and I will try to update with that image).
Based on this analysis, it appears that many traditional strangleholds for Republicans (e.g. Louisiana, Tennessee, and North Carolina) are regarded as "tossups".
I can understand North Carolina being a tossup due to the high-tech industry there and the strong universities around Raleigh-Durham (you know, the ones who produce latte-drinking elitists), but I am pretty surprised to see Louisiana and Tennessee highlighted as "tossups" by Morris and Newsmax.
Moreover, Arkansas (which is pretty conservative and has a strong evangelical community - aka Palin's base) is now regarded as a lean Obama state...along with most of the MSM traditionally regarded tossup states like CO, NV, MO, OH, and VA. This prediction also has FL, MI, PA, and NM as strong Obama states - these have all also been regarded as tossups by the MSM.
And to add insult to injury, McCain's home state of AZ is even a tossup state according to this projection. If this doesn't scare the heck of SS McPalin, I don't know what will. I mean, Morris identified the following:
McCain's Numbers Obama's Numbers
110 votes for McCain 291 votes for Obama
+ 23 leaning McCain + 64 leaning Obama
--- ----
133 total McCain 355 total Obama
So, whether or not this is too positive of an electoral picture, it sure does show a storyline that Obama won the debate handily and that McCain's campaign is sinking faster than the Titanic.
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