Poochie and the GOP

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Thursday June 11, 2009 · 7:20 AM PDT

2009/06/11 · 07:20

I just noticed a grainy picture of Poochie and the GOPosaurus (NoNo right?) on the front page. Anyway, I decided that it could be a little less grainy. So, with a little Googling and some work with Gimp, I brought two images together and here he is. If anybody wants to use this version of Poochie, feel free.

Poochie

Poll

29 votes Show Results

Which version do you like better?

29 votes Vote Now!

Which version do you like better?

LwPhD's

24 votes

the earlier version

0 votes

no answer (because I simply like to click!)

5 votes

The U.S. is a center-right nation and the Democrats are a center-right party

LwPhD

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday November 24, 2008 · 6:01 AM PST

2008/11/24 · 06:01

The current United States is now a politically moderate nation that leans slightly conservative. In the buzzword addled opeds of the post 2008 election U.S., this means we are a "center right nation". But before the Republicans cheer and the Democrats cry foul, it is instructive to first consider the bait and switch pulled by the righty pundits.

Poll

225 votes Show Results

Compared to the rest of the world in the last 100 years, the Democratic party in 2008 is best described as:

225 votes Vote Now!

Compared to the rest of the world in the last 100 years, the Democratic party in 2008 is best described as:

Ultra far left (Commie bastards!)

7 votes

Far left

3 votes

Left

7 votes

Center left

40 votes

3.141592653589793115997963468544185161590576171875

34 votes

Center right

106 votes

Right

21 votes

Far right

4 votes

Ultra far right (Nazi bastards!)

3 votes

Obamathon or Barackalypse? The early indicator states to watch

LwPhD

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday November 04, 2008 · 5:08 AM PST

2008/11/04 · 05:08

So, one question on everyone's mind is, when will we know the result of the presidential election tonight? Will tonight be an Obamathon, where we wait for overburdened precincts in Philadelphia to release results that will determine a surprisingly close race in Pennsylvania? Or will it be a Barackalypse (h/t acacia951), with Georgia and Indiana going blue shortly after the polls close there at 7:00 PM Eastern time?

To help you decide, here's a map of what I consider to be the "canaries in the coal-mine" for a swift and decisive Obama victory:

Poll

86 votes Show Results

When do you expect to call the election?

86 votes Vote Now!

When do you expect to call the election?

After the 6:00 PM Eastern polls close

0 votes

After the 7:00 PM Eastern polls close

2 votes

After the 7:30 PM Eastern polls close

2 votes

After the 8:00 PM Eastern polls close

13 votes

After the 8:30 PM Eastern polls close

6 votes

After the 9:00 PM Eastern polls close

12 votes

10:00 PM Eastern - 11:59 PM Eastern (no recounts)

32 votes

Wednesday, 12:00 AM - 7 AM (no recounts)

9 votes

Wednesday, 7 AM or later (no recounts)

1 vote

Within a week of the election following a recount (no legal challenges)

0 votes

Following a protracted recount lasting more than a week (no legal challenges)

0 votes

Following easily resolved legal challenges

0 votes

Following tortured legal challenges (Florida recount, 2000 nightmare)

3 votes

3.141592653589793115997963468544185161590576171875

5 votes

Other (note in comments)

1 vote

Prediction: Obama wins 353 Electoral College Votes

LwPhD

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday November 03, 2008 · 5:06 AM PST

2008/11/03 · 05:06

This is my final prediction for the electoral college result. I feel fairly confident that Obama will get at least 353 electoral votes, with Colorado (or possibly Pennsylvania) being the tipping point state. The reddest state that Obama wins will be North Carolina, unless polls have completely flubbed on handicapping the influence of the campaigns' dueling ground games. If there is a recount, I think it will be in one of the following: North Carolina; Missouri; Indiana; or Montana.

Here's my map:

Conservative prediction:
Obama : 353
McCain: 185

Landslide Prediction:
Obama : 396
McCain: 142

Go under the fold to see how I decided.

Poll

131 votes Show Results

How is my prediction?

131 votes Vote Now!

How is my prediction?

Obama way too high!

14 votes

Obama a little too high...

58 votes

You nailed it!

38 votes

Obama a little too low...

13 votes

Obama way too low!

5 votes

Elephant + Rhinoceros = ? (answer in the comments)

3 votes

Purpling Texas one vote at a time

LwPhD

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday October 23, 2008 · 9:19 AM PDT

2008/10/23 · 09:19

I really want to make Texas more purple, and hopefully it will become competitive in the next few cycles. We may not win this cycle, but here is my small attempt to make Texas just a tad more purple. Rick Noriega's race it tightening ever so slightly. This is my absentee ballot to be mailed from Taiwan tomorrow morning. Click on it to see the Flickr page:

LwPhD

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday September 26, 2008 · 5:53 PM PDT

2008/09/26 · 17:53

Well, this has been a remarkable and bizarre couple of weeks, with conventions, hurricanes*, VP picks, economic meltdowns, and most elusive of all, even a few interviews with the painfully shy Republican vice presidential candidate. And amid this whirlwind of events, a few gusts may have even reached the oh so crucial undecided swing voters. Here is a video tribute to the last few weeks for the polling junkies among us. (You know who you are.) As the end of the world approaches, sit back and enjoy.

Poll

12 votes Show Results

It's the end of the world as we know it, but for whom?

12 votes Vote Now!

It's the end of the world as we know it, but for whom?

The United States Economy

2 votes

Barack Obama

0 votes

John McCain

3 votes

Sarah Palin

0 votes

Democrats in general

0 votes

Republicans in general

4 votes

and I feel fine...

3 votes

Obama takes the lead: polling as a movie

LwPhD

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday September 19, 2008 · 7:55 AM PDT

2008/09/19 · 07:55

This is a short diary to see if there is interest in movies like the one that I posted below. In a nutshell, I'm keeping up real-time updated results from an analysis following the general concept used Pollster.com. But since the poll average is changing dynamically, so does their trend line, and this movie allows you observe that directly. More details below the fold.

Poll

28 votes Show Results

What do you think about this type of "movie" graph?

28 votes Vote Now!

What do you think about this type of "movie" graph?

I prefer static graphs but would still check your "movie" graphs

10 votes

I prefer this but would still read static graphs regularly

6 votes

I prefer static graphs and am not interested in your "movie" graphs at all

3 votes

I prfer this and would read it instead of static graphs if possible

6 votes

Something else

1 vote

A MÃ¸Ã¸se once bit my sister ...

2 votes

Sarah Palin pierces the “sex” boundary

LwPhD

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday September 02, 2008 · 5:26 AM PDT

2008/09/02 · 05:26

John McCain’s selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate has rocked the world of political commentary, mainstream media pundits and the blogosphere alike. However, for those of us who compulsively consume political media, one crucial question yet remains: "Does the high level of news attention really translate into real world impact for non-political junkies?" My analysis of search trends answers that question with an emphatic "yes". The implications for this observation likely indicate that John McCain’s choice of running mate will be a defining moment for the 2008 campaign, though just whether it will help or hurt him in electoral terms is something that cannot yet be judged objectively.

Poll

166 votes Show Results

Will Palin help John McCain capture the electoral college or hinder his chances?

166 votes Vote Now!

Will Palin help John McCain capture the electoral college or hinder his chances?

Help

52 votes

Hinder

114 votes

Obama Nears 1 Mil: On Mon, 40 new donors / min

LwPhD

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday February 26, 2008 · 4:10 AM PST

2008/02/26 · 04:10

I recently made my first donation to Senator Barack Obama's campaign website and noticed their nifty banner updating their progress in attracting donors.

When I first donated, they were already well on their way to 1,000,000. I also noticed how frequently they updated the link, so I decided see if I could figure out how fast they were attracting new donors. Being a bit of a geek, I decided to collect many data points to see how that rate varies. One thing led to another, and next thing I knew, I had written an automated script that downloads their banner every 10 minutes, yanks out the text, prints it, and makes a graph based on the data.

Poll

241 votes Show Results

Which presidential candidate did you donate to?

241 votes Vote Now!

Which presidential candidate did you donate to?

Clinton

4 votes

Obama

192 votes

Edwards

8 votes

Richardson

0 votes

Another Democrat

1 vote

A Republican

0 votes

Someone from another party

0 votes

More than one candidate

16 votes

Nobody

20 votes

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