Intrade markets data: Obama 311 McCain 227

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Saturday September 06, 2008 · 8:46 AM PDT

2008/09/06 · 08:46

I have been using the Intrade markets to track the Presidential election for most of the year. I recorded the values on a state by state basis near the beginning of August and then again on the Saturday (today) following the completion of both conventions. I did not record the values immediately following the Democratic convention.

A few things are notable, most important I suppose, is that the resulting Electoral College tallies are unchanged at 311-227 in favor of Obama.

It appears that McCain’s choice of Palin, which is the most if not only notable development in the Republican convention, has as is widely speculated raised the enthusiasm level among some of his previously downtrodden supporters. Both candidates in my view of the markets saw a general strengthening of their bases.

PointGuard

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Thursday May 15, 2008 · 5:29 AM PDT

2008/05/15 · 05:29

I’ve been thoroughly enjoying the many different press reports of the total despair engulfing the Republican party in Washington, D.C. and around the country. It’s amazing to see these people finally coming to grips with REALITY.

They’re obviously stunned, shocked, and disoriented, unable to figure out a way out of the quicksand they are now trapped in.

PointGuard

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Monday May 12, 2008 · 3:48 AM PDT

2008/05/12 · 03:48

I like information. Much of it I know to take with a grain of salt and I come by that as someone who thinks they understand the difference between fantasy and reality. Sometimes it’s really not that clear of a distinction. Seriously, I can make the case that in this country we mostly live in a fantasy world and I think I could get at least 35% or more of the people to agree with me on any given day. Anyway that’s not what this is about. This is about the exit polls and the growing narrative that this could be a generational election.

Poll

93 votes Show Results

Which generation are you a member of?

93 votes Vote Now!

Which generation are you a member of?

The Greatest Generattion

1 vote

The Silent Generation

3 votes

The Real Baby Boomers

28 votes

The Jones Generation

18 votes

Generation X

26 votes

Generation Y

12 votes

The Global Generation

2 votes

I don't know

0 votes

Other

0 votes

Pie

3 votes

Why I now support Hillary for V.P.

PointGuard

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Friday May 09, 2008 · 12:05 PM PDT

2008/05/09 · 12:05

Wow. So it’s come to this.

I always knew deep down that there was a possibility that I would cave to my better instincts and go with a winner. Jeez.

It’s been a bit spastic around here lately with competing thoughts about whether or not Hillary and Obama should merge their efforts for the Democratic Party and form the "Dream Ticket".

First let me say that in my view Barack and Hillary are essentially twins when it comes to policy prescriptions. Sure there is some divergence here and there, on the nature of health care mandates, gas tax holidays and of course, the infamous carrot to ditto-heads to obliterate Iran, but all in all, when I look at what I consider serious vs. what I consider politics, I just don’t see and never did see that much difference.

Poll

242 votes Show Results

Views on the "Dream Ticket"

242 votes Vote Now!

Views on the "Dream Ticket"

Obama Supporter: If Barack & Hillary say okay, I say okay

27 votes

Clinton Supporter: If Barack & Hillary say okay, I say okay

5 votes

Obama Supporter: Not until the last dog dies

137 votes

Clinton Supporter: Not until the last dog dies

1 vote

Obama Suporter: I'm still thinking about it

13 votes

Clinton Supporter: I'm still thinking about it

1 vote

Obama Supporter: No Comment

18 votes

Clinton Supporter: No Comment

1 vote

Obama Supporter: Pie

39 votes

Clinton Supporter: Pie

0 votes

Is the strike working?

PointGuard

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday April 14, 2008 · 1:32 PM PDT

2008/04/14 · 13:32

Nielsen Online has released the top 30 "news" sites on the web for the month of March and I was surprised to see Daily Kos near the top of the list. Really the truth is I was shocked to learn that there are so many people out there who still are not honoring the strike called for by some of the most ever celebrated "unique visitors" to daily kos.

The data below is from Nielsen Online on the top 30 sites in the "News" category based on March 2008 traffic. This data takes into account U.S. home and work Internet usage, and it shows both unique visitors to each brand or channel and sessions per person.

PointGuard

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Tuesday April 08, 2008 · 12:49 PM PDT

2008/04/08 · 12:49

Businessweek had this story up yesterday and it's linked on Drudge.

From Matt Vella of Businessweek:

The latest salvo in the Presidential hopeful's Web campaign is a site designed to process a million dollars in 60 seconds

Below are some snippets from the article:

PointGuard

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Saturday April 05, 2008 · 4:24 PM PDT

2008/04/05 · 16:24

I don't know if this has already been diaried but I use Politico's Super Delegate Tracker to follow the ins and outs of who's for who and this evening they jumped their number of Supers for Obama from 219 to 222.

PointGuard

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Saturday March 15, 2008 · 2:28 AM PDT

2008/03/15 · 02:28

I don't have anything important to say - just wanted to do my part to keep up the pace of nonsense that appears on this site from time to time.

In that spirit I thought I'd share a collection of late night jokes that have been accumulating over the campaign season. Each major candidate still in the race is covered below the fold though the jokes are in no special order. Enjoy.

Poll

55 votes Show Results

Of the 3 Major Candidates, which will be best for Late-night comedy over the next 4 years?

55 votes Vote Now!

Of the 3 Major Candidates, which will be best for Late-night comedy over the next 4 years?

Barack Obama

9 votes

Hillary Clinton

16 votes

John McCain

25 votes

Pie

5 votes

Who is you 2nd choice for Prez?? w/Poll

PointGuard

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Saturday February 16, 2008 · 11:37 AM PST

2008/02/16 · 11:37

I've been curious since the national head to head matchups between the named democratic and republican candidates show some differing margins what the second choice candidate is for people.

Sure, most democrats would never vote republican and most republicans would never vote for a democrat. There are, however, loads of people who vote for the candidate not the party. So I'm wondering not necessarily who people's first choice is but rather who is their second choice if their first choice does not get the nomination.

Poll

252 votes Show Results

Who is your 2nd choice for Prez??

252 votes Vote Now!

Who is your 2nd choice for Prez??

Hillary Clinton

113 votes

Barack Obama

26 votes

John McCain

27 votes

I will not vote

45 votes

UnDecided

41 votes

Can Obama walk on water?

PointGuard

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Monday January 14, 2008 · 8:14 AM PST

2008/01/14 · 08:14

Full disclosure: I declared my support for Obama the morning after the New Hampshire primary. I have since contributed both money and effort to his campaign and will continue to do so. At this point I neither have nor anticipate having a second choice candidate so I should be considered a very strong supporter.

People pay varying degrees of attention to the campaigns and the news reporters and pundits covering the races. The most informed have likely made up their minds as to who they will support and will not be easily persuaded to jump ship. As you move further down the "informed" scale, persuasion becomes an easier task.

Someone who contributes to a campaign is also difficult to persuade into considering a different candidate. They have vested into their candidate of choice and no one likes to admit they may have made a poor judgment when making the investment. Those who have not contributed therefore are likely much more open to persuasion.

PointGuard

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday January 11, 2008 · 4:01 PM PST

2008/01/11 · 16:01

Polls suggest Americans are concerned primarily with a few key issues in the 2008 presidential election. USA TODAY researched candidate positions on those top issues — Iraq, immigration and health care — as well as a few others that may influence the election. We then came up with 11 multiple-choice questions that would help differentiate the candidates and their stances.

As you answer the questions, you can roll over each color bar below the candidates' heads to find background on their positions. Your answers are matched with the positions of the presidential hopefuls to reveal the candidate (or candidates) closest to your views. The sliders on the right allow you to assign relative weights to match the importance that you place on each issue.

http://www.usatoday.com/...

Please Post your own results in the comments. Thanks & Have fun :)

Josh Marshall doesn’t get it

PointGuard

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Tuesday January 08, 2008 · 12:05 AM PST

2008/01/08 · 00:05

In his post at TPM examining the exchange between the Obama and Clinton campaigns regarding the difference between Dr. Martin Luther King, the dreamer, and Lyndon Baines Johnson, the Legislator turned President, the comparison is further drawn between John F. Kennedy and LBJ.

"It's an ambiguous statement. But her reference is to different presidents -- Jack Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson, one of whom inspired but did relatively little legislatively and Johnson who did a lot legislatively, though he was rather less than inspiring. Quite apart from the merits of Obama and Clinton, it's not a bad point about Kennedy and LBJ."...Josh Marshall

Poll

80 votes Show Results

Who was most responsible for the passage of the civil rights act?

80 votes Vote Now!

Who was most responsible for the passage of the civil rights act?

Hope

18 votes

Experience

10 votes

A bit of both

42 votes

None of the above

10 votes

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Intrade markets data: Obama 311 McCain 227

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Why I now support Hillary for V.P.

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1 million dollars in 1 minute for Obama

Obama picks up 3 Add-on "Super" delegates

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Who is you 2nd choice for Prez?? w/Poll

Can Obama walk on water?

Play the Candidate Game

Josh Marshall doesn’t get it