Group Think

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Tuesday May 23, 2006 · 8:04 PM PDT

2006/05/23 · 20:04

Earlier today, I got into a debate on kos's Howard Dean Leadership poll thread about the 50 state strategy. Everyone here seems to support it. I argued that it is clearly a case of groupthink.

Why clearly? Because increasing the number of states in which one competes clearly involves a trade-off. The pro for this strategy is that more states means more long term party building; the con is that the strategy takes resources away from pivotal states. This is a very non-obvious trade-off. So one would expect disagreement, but it seems that everyone agrees.

That's group think: when everyone agrees about something that's not obvious and not unambiguously supported by the facts.

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Phone Companies are Dominos for Impeachment

crony

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Thursday May 11, 2006 · 9:48 AM PDT

2006/05/11 · 09:48

This is the end of the Bush presidency. All the ingredients are here. Bush immediately addressed the nation. Why? He knows how big this is. Almost no one likes Bush, but it appears that he has been spying on everyone. The people who are angry about this will be a much more angry and vocal group than the people who are willing to apologize for it.

It is simply not possible for someone this unpopular to violate everyone's privacy and get away with it. Investigating the phone companies is the key. Spector is already calling for it. The phone companies will be the dominos that lead to Bush's impeachment. The Republicans cannot defend the phone companies, and once the phone companies are investigated, there is no stopping this train.

The important thing is for all of us to recognize that this is the Big One. This ends Bush's presidency. Game Over. When the scale of this gets out, even Republicans will support impeachment.

Is there ANOTHER DOMESTIC spying program?

crony

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Monday February 06, 2006 · 9:12 AM PST

2006/02/06 · 09:12

Watching Gonzales testify, the Senators are asking him why the program does not authorize spying on domestic calls, Gonzales keeps saying that this is not authorized by the program. It is very strange that the administration would put this constraint on themselves, when they are willing to circumvent FISA when one end of the call is international. One way in which Gonzales could testify that there is no warantless domestic spying without perjuring himself, would be to say that there is no warantless domestic spying under THIS program; this could be literally true (although very misleading) if the domestic spying program is considered a SEPARATE program. In general, it seems that Gonzales is carefully crafting his words, so that domestic spying is LITERALLY consistent with what he is saying. Has anyone asked Gonzales whether there are any other secret spying programs? If not, someone should.

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