Current Electoral College snapshot

eidelweiss

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Tuesday August 21, 2012 · 2:33 PM PDT

2012/08/21 · 14:33

I have been a reader here for a while now, but have never posted a diary. This is my first and it is short. I have noticed a lot of confidence that Obama is winning. I am concerned that there is a bit of over confidence. Please check out Sam Wang's electoral vote estimate for the outcome of the election if it were held today. (link is here: http://election.princeton.edu/). It shows Obama winning, but the difference between Obama and Romney is within the 95% confidence interval. The difference between the EVs for Obama and Romney has been steadily shrinking since Ryan was added to the ticket and is now a statistical tie. Wang called the election in '08 to within a single EV. What is happening here?! I have to confess, I am getting worried.

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