Chuck Todd Raises McCain's Expectations - Good thing, or bad?

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Sunday June 08, 2008 · 10:26 AM PDT

2008/06/08 · 10:26

While watching the netcast of Meet The Press this morning, I was made a bit incredulous by the electoral map Chuck Todd trotted out. This Map shows a baseline (of solid states plus leaners) for each candidate of 200 electoral votes. So I went to 270towin.com to make the Todd map and take a good slow look at it.

It struck me as being a bit optimistic for McCain. Iowa is a tossup, but Missouri leans McCain. Pennsylvania is a tossup, but Indiana leans McCain. Here are what Chuck considers to be the pure tossups:

Nevada
Colorado
New Mexico
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Florida
Ohio
Virginia
Pennsylvania
New Hampshire

Seems a bit optimistic for McCain, right? See below for confirmation of this hunch.

Poll

65 votes Show Results

Is this finally the year that ________________ votes republican?

65 votes Vote Now!

Is this finally the year that ________________ votes republican?

New Jersey...........yes!

4 votes

New Jersey...........no!

38 votes

New Jersey...........New Jersey is Bob Barr country this year

11 votes

Hawaii.................yes!

1 vote

New York.............yes!

0 votes

Michigan..............New Jersey!

11 votes

The Limbaugh Effect In Indiana (with stats!!!)

pheedthemonkey

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Tuesday May 06, 2008 · 9:52 PM PDT

2008/05/06 · 21:52

This is my attempt to quantify the potential Limbaugh Effect in Indiana (the Limbaugh Effect, or LE henceforth, being the effect that Rush Limbaugh's "Operation Chaos - in which he encouraged his listeners to vote for Hilary Clinton in the Indiana and North Carolina primaries - ended up having on the very close outcome in Indiana.

A few notes before the numbers:

First, I don't really care about this all that much. I think your vote is your vote, use it how you like. I personally wouldn't cast my vote so tactically, but I don't have a moral problem with the practice.

Second, the MSNBC coverage is of course currently talking about this being a potential nail in the Clinton coffin, so this uninteresting and morally ambiguous point may be moot anyway (rec this diary!).

Lastly, Indiana is not yet done. If despite all of this, you'd like to know whether or not Rush Limbaugh may ultimately have provided the margin in the race, read on!

pheedthemonkey

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday December 28, 2007 · 11:43 PM PST

2007/12/28 · 23:43

If I cared about the Democratic Party, I would be thrilled with the current crop of Democratic candidates. I would say things like "vote for whomever you want," because in the end, any of the Democratic candidates will make excellent leaders of the Democratic Party. Any of the candidates are likely November victors, and the Democratic Party desperately needs a victory.

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Chuck Todd Raises McCain's Expectations - Good thing, or bad?

The Limbaugh Effect In Indiana (with stats!!!)

If I cared about the Democratic Party...