Today we have the forth diary in this little series, that want to talk and to find the path for a Democratic majority in the US Senate after 2018 elections. If you wish, you can know more about the previous steps, reading the previous diaries:
The Path I
The Path II
The Path III
To think and to talk about the overall picture is not only good. It is necessary. Only by this way we can know as example what kind of effort we need today in order to have success in the mid-long term. Sometimes the effort in the short term required for a success in the mid-long term can be bigger than the effort for a success in the short term. We can see interesting details about all this in this little series.
Also, we have in our community a common knowledge that is valious and need to have ways to go out. This can be one bid for it, with the tools that we have here.
Taking into account the strength of H Clinton in early stages of the presidential election of 2016, and analizing the prospect for the following years, in previous diaries we come to the conclussion that the most likely scenario would be:
-2014: Neutral year with a number of difficult seats to defend for the Democratic Party.
-2016: Good year with a number of favourable seats to pursue.
-2018: Bad year with a number of difficult seats to defend.
With that in mind, and with the help of the readers that are voting in the proposed polls we are defining the path for a Democratic majority after the 2018 elections. In the polls the readers are voting to the races that can give easier victories to the Democratic Party in order to see what seets can be easier to win en every case.
Like you will see later in this diary, we are creating a rank, and we have now a good number of positions defined by the results of the polls of the previous diaries. And I see a lot of logical results with maybe some not big surprise. In overall terms the ranking is looking right.
Today's diary will define approximately the first half of the remaining positions. There are very important positions to define the path for a Democratic majority taking into account that the majority will be reached by the 50 or 51 seats (50 if there is a Democratic Vicepresident after 2016).
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