Crossposted from DCW
Overview
The current registration in Pennsylvania is as follows:
Democrat - 51%
Republican - 37%
Other Party/Non-Aligned - 12%
One might think this makes Democratic wins a done deal, but this is Pennsylvania, and it's not a given. This is especially true as Republicans who registered as Democrats in 2008 to vote in the Democratic primary have started moving back. Since 2008, 33,696 Democrats changed to Republican, while 28,874 Republicans switched their party affiliation to Democratic. In addition, since the 2008 election, 26,758 voters have changed from the Democratic Party (15,849) and the Republican Party (10,909) to either no affiliation or a third party, exclusive of "Libertarian". The Libertarians picked up 1,392 voters from both parties since 2008.
Thus, in looking at the candidates, I have considered not only the individuals, but also their probabilities of winning in the general.
Endorsements after the jump.
Read More