It's looking like good news for the father of Obamacare (Shannon Stapleton/Reuters)
12/10-14. Registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. MoE ±2.9% (
Gingrich: 29 (37)
Romney: 24 (22)
Paul: 10 (8)
Bachmann: 7 (6)
Perry: 5 (7)
Santorum: 4 (3)
Huntsman: 2 (1)
Since Gallup started releasing daily tracking results, Newt Gingrich's lead has shrunk from 15 points to 5. Here's a more granular look at the size of Gingrich's lead, starting with the first day of daily tracking results:
Variance could partially explain the narrower result today, but the overall trend is not good for Newt. Presumably, the Republican establishment assault on him is having an impact—and quickly. That doesn't mean it's all over for his campaign, but it's good news for those who want
Mitt Romney the father of Obamacare to win the Republican primary.
Other than Gingrich and Romney, none of the candidates are showing much life. Paul is finally at the 10 percent mark, but after Iowa, the Republican establishment is going to come after him with everything they've got. Perry continues an uncanny ability to go down, and while Bachmann and Santorum are each up one point, combined they have less than half of Romney's support. (Speaking of Santorum, with his 4 percent showing, you can see why the National Review wasn't afraid of naming him along with last-place Jon Huntsman as the only acceptable Romney alternatives.)
Gallup posted some cross tabs showing Gingrich was running better among reliable GOP primary voters, but those cross tabs were based on data from Dec. 5-11, when Gingrich's overall numbers were higher, so it's hard to read much into them.
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