The new CNN poll confirms we're on the cusp of a sea change election with Dems leading the generic ballot by a whopping 13%. The huge lead is driven largely by female voters 62-35%.
On the eve of the midterm elections, Democrats continue to hold a double-digit lead over Republicans in a generic Congressional ballot among likely voters, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. The party's 55% to 42% advantage in the new poll mirrors their lead in early October and is about the same as the 10-point edge they held just after Labor Day.
That's a slimmer edge than the party held in CNN's final poll before the 2006 midterm elections and similar to the Republicans' 10-point advantage just before the 2010 midterms.
Democrats benefit from a massive gender gap that has persisted throughout the fall (women favor Democrats 62% to 35%, while men are about evenly divided, 49% back the Republican, while 48% support the Democrat in their district), a wide lead among political independents (53% for the Democrat to 39% for the Republican), and strong support from black and Latino voters (88% of black voters and 66% of Latino voters favor the Democrats).
NBC Marist also has good news in MO and FL today. They have Claire McCaskill pulling away at 50-47 and both Bill Nelson and Andrew Gillum leading 50-46. Dems may have a shot at the senate if we can pick off Tenn or Tex, assuming we lose ND.
CNN Poll,
Marist MO Poll
Marist FL Poll