I just completed a survey for Civiqs re: impeachment and approval and disapproval of the job each party is doing in Congress. After the survey, I had the option to take a look at recent numbers, and here is where things stand with their polling as of November 3:
Overall, approval for impeachment sits at 52%, while disapproval sits at 44% and those unsure constitute 4%.
That’s interesting enough in itself, but looking at the breakdowns gives even more interesting detail.
Age groups, for example. The younger demographics overwhelmingly support impeachment, with the 18-34 set at 61% approval and the 35-49 set at 55%.
That alone should make the GOP nervous, but what should really terrify them is that the older sets also support impeachment, albeit by narrow margins. The 50-64 set favor impeachment 50-47, while the 65+ set support it 51-45. Another interesting aspect of this is it means that there is still a potentially persuadable population out there among the “unsures”, even if think that the Disapprove set are pretty much locked in at this point as dead-end Trumpers.
Trump is losing every education demographic: Post-graduate, 56-40, College graduate, 51-45, and, most problematic from a base perspective, non-college graduates, 52-45.
Women support impeachment by a wide margin, 58-38, compared to men, who oppose it, 45-52.
The party based part of the survey is rather interesting as well, showing both parties at 91% approve/oppose for the Democrats and Republicans, respectively. However, 8% of Republican favor impeachment compared to 5% of Democrats opposing. Independents favor impeachment 50-45.
I won’t go into the race-based numbers. Suffice it to say that minorities overwhelmingly support impeachment.
Also, I won’t dig into state by state numbers except to note a few battleground states. Florida’s numbers, for example, sit at 48% approval and 49% disapproval for impeachment. Iowa sits at 47% disapproval, 49% approval (a potential source of heartburn for Joni Ernst).
Michigan, which Trump narrowly won in ‘16, is currently 52-45 in favor of impeachment. Pennsylvania likewise is 49-47 in favor, while Wisconsin sits at 52-45 favorable.
It’s one set of poll numbers from one outfit, but I thought it worth sharing out there.
Worth noting among all this — Nixon resigned when support for impeachment hit 58%, but when the Watergate hearings actually began, only 19% supported impeachment. We haven’t even started public hearings yet, and already support for impeachment is only 7% behind where Nixon was at when he resigned.
civiqs.com/...