Here's the kicker. If he wins the election he will just wash his hands of the whole affair, keep his properties and leave the bondsman out to dry.
In 2023, under oath, “Trump described his stockpile of cash as being "substantially in excess" of $400 million1. Gotta love when a sociopath narcissist believes their own lies, and the biggest lie of all is that he is a savvy, brilliant man whose business acumen has made him wealthy. We're talking acumen similar maybe to Sam Bankman-Freid, Bernie Madoff, or any of your garden variety mobster criminals, not JP Morgan or Warren Buffet. Trump's businesses have had more failures than successes, capitalized by fraud and cash flowed with money laundering. He snorts Aderal, shits his diapers, is losing his mind, and lied about having that much cash on hand. He is supposed to cough up 83.3 million plus interest on March 9th2 to put in escrow while appealing.
We're talking about a grifter who isn't in the habit of paying his bills. He bullies his creditors, uses the court system to wear them down, and now has thousands of idiot worshippers who give death threats to anyone he tells them are villains. I can't find the article now, but during the 2008 real estate crash, he sued his creditor banks saying he wasn't responsible for acts of God, and the Economist questioned the anonymous guarantor for the loans that Deutch Bank was still willing to give him, since at that point no bank in the US would lend him a dime. Trump never pays the security costs for his rallies3 and has burned many municipalities, was notorious for not paying vendors even before The Apprentice and simply doesn't understand that losing a civil verdict or judgement is real AF. He has to pay the fines on time, otherwise his assets can be seized and sold until every cent is collected. Yes, the money goes into escrow (without interest) and theoretically would be refunded if he wins in appeal, but it's non negotiable. Angoron's judgement was written with denying4 appeals, but so was the refusal to gran appeals for removing his from Colorado ballots.
If your groceries get rung up and it's $200, you can't haggle and ask if the store is OK with just $30 and expect anything but a laugh, and possibly security escorting you to the door. It's not like that. His attorneys basically admitted that he doesn't even begin to have the cash on hand, and the laughable offer of 100M bond instead of the over $500M was denied5. They said he might , gasp, have to sell property![Cue sad French horn track]. If he does start selling, buyers are going to know he's desperate, and on March 26, Leticia James will issue orders to NY Sheriffs to lock properties in preparation for auctioning them off. Yes, theoretically his Saudi and pals might step in, but desperation makes his overall value questionable. Putin has been killing off the autocrats, and has a cash flow problem of his own. Elon, apparently had no problem buying Twitter and cutting its value in half, but it sure would be a bad look. Cheato, true to form, has started trying to sneak assets to Florida already6, and if I'm not mistaken, that is a criminal act.
Cheato has burned a ton of banks7, and the laughable $100M bond offered is ample proof. Likewise, posting $5.5M cash for the initial verdict for rape and defamation indicates reluctance to bond the deadbeat. But even if he could get some legit bonding company to cover him, the fees are going to be a solid 9 digits, and the game is up, because he doesn't have $400M, or even $100M in cash. His entire facade of being flush is about to collapse. Some wonder if if he's already basically broke8. His lawyers certainly have made it clear that even posting bond is a struggle9. $400 million in cash was, sigh, just another lie.
But the biggest problem he has with getting a bond is his deadbeat history. Yes, there is the slim possibility that he will win in both cases in appeal, but it's more likely that he will lose. The Trump Administration's loss rate in lawsuits is 93%10, and he hasn't won an impressive percentage of the over 400011 lawsuit's he's been in. He has won zero of the over 60 law election lawsuits. The master narcissist walks around afterwards announcing that losing each case is actually a victory, the same way he says that he keeps confusing Nancy Pelosi with Nikki Haley, and Obama with Biden.
Bond issuers typically only want easily cashed out collateral, meaning they don't like real estate. But they are basically professional gamblers, evaluating odds and cash value. Donald has one obvious factor that makes him an especially poor candidate for a bond. His true reason for wanting to be reelected is to stay out of jail, and keeping up the grift scam. He's a con man.
If he loses the election, his political power evaporates, the dark money dries up, and collecting from him will be significantly harder when he's desperate. But here's the kicker. If he wins the election he will just wash his hands of the whole affair, keep his properties and leave the bondsman out to dry. Once he gets what he wants, he doesn't even begin the give a shit about how much anyone else suffers. He's just like the dickhead that steals your catalytic converter to fence for $300 and your replacement cost of $4000 isn't even remotely a factor.
He can lie and grandstand, but losing in court is very real. And he doesn't have the money.