Brilliant political scientist and elections expert Rachel Bitecofer published this vital thread on Twitter/X last December:
I urge you to read the entire thing. It’s still relevant today. The Democrats have been doing astonishingly well in special and off-year elections, which to my mind is an exceedingly good sign. Why am I saying this? Because some of you are still freaking out about polls. Talking doom and gloom. Saying it may get worse for us. This is discouraging framing, I say. Focuses too much on the noise. Let’s look at the SIGNAL:
Since Roe repeal, Ds continue to overperform massively in special elections. Ds are even overperforming in safe R districts w little to no investment from Ds like the Oklahoma senate district 32 on Dec 12th where the D nominee overperformed the Biden margin from 2020 by 9 points…
First, in order for the polling we’re seeing on Trump to pan out, you have to believe the two-time popular vote loser is on track to win the popular vote for the first time ever, probably as a convicted felon.
Second: you have to ignore the results of the 2022 midterms, the consistent Democrat performances in 2023 specials, the death of the Red Wave in 2022, Beshear’s massive margin of victory in Kentucky, the Wisconsin Supreme Court race, AND Democrats flipping back control of the Virginia’s House of Delegates after losing it prior to Roe Repeal in 2021. Not to mention the dominance of the Democrats’ win on Ohio Issue 1 and the Kansas abortion initiative.
In 2024, we have seen Democrats outperform in New York, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, Alabama, and Pennsylvania. But for me, the real kicker was an obscure county election in Michigan. Ottawa County, Michigan, hasn’t voted for a Democratic candidate for president since 1864. Yes, FDR never carried it, even in 1936. LBJ lost only 3 Michigan counties in 1964. Ottawa was one of them. But on 7 May, in a very low turnout election, a Democratic candidate for county commissioner won 60% of the vote. Insignificant? Maybe. But it tells me something: Our voters are coming out to vote just about EVERYWHERE.
Our task, therefore, is to counter the flood of lies coming out of Trump, his demonic minions, and his Chorus of the Damned in the Right Wing Media Cesspool. We do that by trumpeting the Biden Administration’s many accomplishments. And we verbally tear the guts out of the Orange Shitgibbon, the worst, stupidest, most evil, most corrupt, most criminal, most vicious, most incompetent, most treasonous so-called “president” in American history. Here are the tools by which we can RALLY our voters:
Hope Springs From Field (Group website)
Voters of Tomorrow (younger voters) led by Santiago Mayer
Leaders We Deserve (younger voters) led by David Hogg
The Hometown Project
Women Get Out the Vote
Vote Blue America
Progressive Turnout Project
Indivisible Team
A Vote for Democracy/NAACP
Black Voters Matter
Field Team 6 (Register Democratic voters)
Voto Latino
UnidosUS (Latino Voter Outreach)
Vote Forward (letter writing)
Blue Wave Postcard Movement
Flip the Vote
Northeast Arizona Native Democrats
The Civics Center (registering high school students)
ecoAmerica (Environmental/climate voters)
Environmental Voter Project
Biden-Harris Headquarters (Twitter)
Planned Parenthood
EMILYs List
Queer the Vote (National LGBTQ Task Force)
List of AFL-CIO Unions Endorsing President Biden
VITALLY IMPORTANT VIDEO HERE! STOP PROJECT 2025!
The list of state Democratic parties is HERE. (There are links to the LOCAL Democratic organizations as well.)
From Wikipedia:
BRAINWRAP’S OUTSTANDING DAILY DIARY ON RAISING MONEY FOR DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES!
CHECK OUT MIKEY WEINSTEIN’S FANTASTIC DIARY ON PROJECT 2025!
THIS IS THE ATTITUDE I WANT TO SEE IN THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY!
And finally, as always: