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They’re even losing white voters, according to this opinion piece written by Michael Tomasky in The Daily Beast: Why Whites Will Abandon the GOP (you might not know that the Daily Beast used to be Newsweek magazine, before the ink-on-paper print version went out of business and became internet-only). They’re a fairly respectable source of news, in my opinion.

A lot of demographic groups have already abandoned the Republican party. African-Americans vote overwhelmingly for Democrats. Hispanics tend to vote for Democrats in large numbers (because the Republicans have been huge assholes about immigration reform). Women tend to vote for Democrats (because of what Tea Party Republicans say and do about abortion and rape). So that leaves white people -- mostly older, male, white people. More comments under the orange gyroscope.

Here’s what Tomasky says in the article:

We already know all about the creative-class white voters, the well-educated and higher-income people who have shifted dramatically to the Democratic column over the past generation. Those voters are increasingly lost to the GOP. True, Mitt Romney beat Barack Obama among college graduates (of all races) 51 percent to 47 percent, but Obama won going away among postgrads.
Oh, but young (18-29) white working-class people are conservative and religious, right? Nope, wrong…
White working-class young people back gay marriage to the tune of about 74 percent. Another 60 percent say immigrants strengthen the United States (the totals for all three other age groups are below 40 percent). About 56 percent agree that changes immigrants have brought to their communities are a good thing. Nearly 40 percent agree that gays and lesbians are changing America for the better (more than double the percentages in the other three age groups).
Republicans are still getting votes from the older religious homophobic white guys (who are dying off, one by one). But (smart) people with post-graduate degrees aren’t voting Republican and (maybe somewhat uneducated) younger working-class white people are not fond of the Republican message. The Republican base is shrinking, bit by bit.

Where is the Republican base? They’re doing nothing to attract new voters. They alienate everyone. Which is a good thing for us Democrats.

xxx --- xxx --- xxx

Postscript and apologies: Here's a few comments I feel like I should make, two days later (Saturday night). I realize I made three minor mistakes in posting this diary. So I apologize.

1. It wasn't meant to be a major statement. I linked to an article, threw in a couple of quotes and added my own comments. No photos or graphs. I posted it at about 2 AM on Thursday (which happens to be one of my days off). Late night post, so I thought it might get a few comments or a few recs. Woke up Friday to find it on the Recommended List (wow!), with over 100 comments. I wanted to reply to many of them, but I had to go to work. Then I spent Friday night with my girlfriend and had to work Saturday, so I didn't really get to read all the comments until Saturday night. So I apologize for not being around to join in the conversation that I started. I didn't babysit my diary. I really should know better than to post late Thursday night. Or maybe I should get out of bed a little earlier on Friday.

2. In retrospect, I should have been clearer about what I was saying. I should have added a few paragraphs. I think the demographics are working inevitably, inexorably against the Republican party in the long run. I wasn't thinking about the upcoming 2014 elections or even the 2016 elections. The Republicans won't go down without a fight. And they're fighting dirty. They have an advantage from the post-census redistricting by Republican legislatures. They're trying to suppress the votes of minorities, college kids, poor people, people without lots of official ID cards, and so on. They favor unlimited spending by corporations in elections. And so on. So I apologize for not saying what I intended to say more clearly. What I was saying was that Republicans are headed downward. But a lot of the commenters who were looking at 2014 made very good points.

3. I have written optimistic diaries before. In fact, in 2009, I predicted 40 years of Democratic dominance (I'm not going to link to it -- you can search for it if you want to). I wrote that diary right before the Tea Party election of 2010. So I've been horribly wrong before. Maybe I'm too optimistic. So I apologize for that. But I won't stop being optimistic about Democrats.

Thanks to everyone who commented below.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (127+ / 0-)

    "Stupid just can't keep its mouth shut." -- SweetAuntFanny's grandmother.

    by Dbug on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 12:21:13 AM PDT

  •  The GOP are going to lose the House in 2014 (46+ / 0-)

    I already see the writing on the wall for them in November 2014 and with moronic, incompetent Reince Preibus at the helm.

    Now does this mean Kossacks, Democrats and the rest on our side should relax and let things go as they may?  HELL no.  We GOTV 24/7 and don't stop until the elections happen.

    However, it doesn't help that the NRCC's Chairman is the only Republican Congressman in the blue state of Oregon, Greg Walden.  He's not a Tea Party guy nor a divisive person at all but boy, he's got to sell a party who's reputation is down the toilet and has to basically sweet talk its way to attract people to its agenda, which by the way stinks.

    •  Oh they'll definitely lose the popular vote (30+ / 0-)

      Probably by a couple percentage points at least.

      But gerrymandering will likely keep them in control.

      "What could BPossibly go wrong??" -RLMiller "God is just pretend." - eru

      by nosleep4u on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 04:41:32 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I don't think so (16+ / 0-)

        Democrats are slowly beginning to realize that they have to pay attention to local elections, organize at the town and county levels as well as at the state and national level, learning to establish precinct captains and issue them canvassing packets, phone lists, mailing lists, discover who is willing to organize visibilities, carry signs in parades, cook for the lobster festival, find a flat bed truck, put a band on it and come up with a generator so the band can be heard. Do all of this months ahead of time, do grass roots fundraising with bake sales, auctions, and find places to store materials like bunting and banners.

        Live Free or Die --- Investigate, Incarcerate

        by rktect on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:14:38 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  You mean (29+ / 0-)

          they are starting to realize that old style 'machine' politics worked?

          I remember when my Mom voted - about the ONLY time she voted after the 50s was when the local dems made an effort to contact her, get her registered, and stop by to take her to vote.

          Otherwise, she never would have bothered.

          And she voted for the ones who brought her - and I mean that literally.

          There is nothing wrong with checking up on people, seeing if they need a ride, helping them get registered and if they need it, helping them through the maze of id requirements.

          Every time you do that, you reinforce the idea that the ones who HELP have a D after their name, and you get a chance to put in subtle or not so subtle plugs for your guys. Or just tear down the other guys, which is pretty easy with all the ammunition they give us.

        •  They are also going to have Obama's machine (6+ / 0-)

          behind them and focused like a laser beam.

        •  I hope you are right, but I doubt it (7+ / 0-)

          The gerrymandering has created such red heavy districts that it's probably a mathematical impossibility for a democrat to win in many of them. I just don't see this happening no matter how great the "machine" we have might be.

          "crush in its birth the aristocracy of our monied corporations which dare already to challenge our government" -Thomas Jefferson

          by Phil In Denver on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 08:46:24 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Umm, that's not how gerrymandering works. (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            sharman, Mokurai

            It works by creating blue-heavy districts, so that as many Dem voters as possible are stacked into fewer districts and can thereby elect fewer members; meanwhile creating as many districts as possible with small majorities of Rep voters, thereby electing more members.

            So you can see that there is an inherent flaw in gerrymandering. If the Rep vote falls off even slightly, a whole lot of Rep districts come into play.

            -8.38, -7.74 My friends, love is better than anger. Hope is better than fear. Optimism is better than despair. So let us be loving, hopeful and optimistic. And we’ll change the world. - Jack Layton

            by Wreck Smurfy on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 11:06:28 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  You are exactly right (0+ / 0-)

              If however, more new Democrats were to begin registering in red districts; possibly people who are disgruntled independents who previously voted Republican or Republicans who might have been women, or poor and in need of food stamps and healthcare, and then Obama care kicks in and they get to see its not so bad or Latino with a dream of getting an education and a good job, or someone who just wants our government to work the way its intended to work with a SCOTUS that stands behind the the right to vote, some red districts might become a little less red by 2014.

              Live Free or Die --- Investigate, Incarcerate

              by rktect on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 04:36:04 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

        •  In picture ID states, Democrats should: (6+ / 0-)

          1.  Contact likely Dem supporters to ask if they have the required ID.
          2.  Offer to help people who don't have ID to get it.  
          3.  Have staff (paid or volunteer) to help people who don't have the required supporting documents to find where to get them.
          4.  Have funding to buy supporting documents for people who don't have the ability to pay for them.
          5.  Have staff to drive people to the offices that issue ID, including having wheelchairs to help those with mobility problems.
          6.  Keep a list of everyone helped, and recontact them to take them to the polls when voting starts.  

          Voter ID could be a massive WIN for Democrats if handled correctly.  "Hoist with his own petard" springs to mind.  

          Renewable energy brings national global security.     

          by Calamity Jean on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:26:46 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  2011 was the year states could gerrymander. (5+ / 0-)

          Gerrymandering is only allowed every 10 years. In retrospect I wonder why the left wing media didn't wage a huge information campaign explaining why it was so crucial to vote in the 2010 mid-term elections.

        Instead the message I heard the loudest and most often was to stay home and send Obama the message that I didn't approve of his job performance.

        "A lie makes it halfway around the world before the truth gets it shoes on." Mark Twain

        by pipercity1 on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:25:48 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  That's how it used to be (8+ / 0-)

          But here in Texas and elsewhere, whenever the GOP wins control of state legislatures, they immediately redistrict, no matter the year.  It's sad to play by their rules, but I suppose the Dems will have to do the same.

          I would support a constitutional amendment for non-partisan redistricting nationwide.  But it would never pass the current House. And even if we win that back in 2014, finding 37 states to ratify that amendment would be a hard slog.

          "Tax cuts don't create jobs. They create deficits. The last decade proves that." Ministry of Truth, Dec 2012.

          by TX Freethinker on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:56:38 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Gerrymandering (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          blueoasis, jds1978

          To say that gerrymandering is only allowed every ten years is not correct.
          The census is taken every ten years and states traditionally redistrict after the census, but states can redistrict any time their state laws allow. Gerrymandering is done as part of the redistricting process.

          +++ The law is a weapon used to bludgeon us peasants into submission. It is not to be applied to the monied elite.

          by cybersaur on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 09:05:40 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  The gerrymandering in 2011 was crucial. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:

                This has allowed the Republicans to be able to retain their majority in the House of Representative realistically for the next 7 years. This wouldn't have happened if we had been better informed about how important the 2010 mid-term elections were and the consequences. That is my point.

            "A lie makes it halfway around the world before the truth gets it shoes on." Mark Twain

            by pipercity1 on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 09:31:31 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  If Democrats were as willing to push hard (5+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Kombema, blueoasis, sharman, wdrath, cybersaur

              as Republicans have been we maybe wouldn't need to wait until 2020 (by which time I may well be dead). In TX, they redistricted (and gerrymandered just as soon as they won control of their state leg, and didn't care a bit how ugly they looked while doing it. Remember the TX Democratic legislators fleeing the state, in order to deny them a quorum? Didn't work in the long run.

              We like to think of ourselves as the good guys, but what we often end up with is being the nice guys, and we should know by now what happens to them. The Democratic Party may be far more genteel than it was back in the 30's - 60's, when people like us bemoaned having to ally with racist Dixiecrats and corrupt big-city bosses, but those people understood how to acquire and hold on to political power. We could take some lessons from them. Politics ain't beanbag.

              "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

              by sidnora on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:42:22 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

        •  Who did you hear that from? I never heard that (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:

          in the media, and "left wing" voters turned out in healthy numbers in the 2010 election, contrary to the myths spread by many blue dogs.

          "Government by organized money is just as dangerous as Government by organized mob." -- Franklin D. Roosevelt

          by Kombema on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:53:59 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  How Gerrymandering Works (0+ / 0-)

        If the popular vote is close then gerrymandering can do either of two things, but it can't do them both.

        You can gerrymander all your 50/50 districts into 60/40 districts, so you have safe seats but only a minority of seats overall, or you can give the other party the safe 60/40 seats and give yourself majority control, as long as you can keep winning in a bunch or relatively close districts. You let your opponent win a minority of districts 60/40 while you win a majority 53/47. You just can't give yourself a majority of 60/40 districts unless you can squeeze the other party into a small number of 90/10 districts, hard to do except in a few places.

        So, at least in theory, if you gerrymander a large number of districts and then have the kind of broad shifts across all demographics the diary talks about then all those gerrymandered districts might not be so safe after all.

        •  One hopes. (0+ / 0-)

          All I can tell you is that the districts in my area that look most vulnerable on paper aren't quite such easy pickings if you really know their politics.

          "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

          by sidnora on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:44:43 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  This is What We Were Saying This Time in 2009. (17+ / 0-)

      Watch some TV, the gadget that informs the vast majority of midterm election voters. Obamacare means you can't choose your doctor, you pay more for insurance and get a smaller paycheck.

      Laugh at their stupidity as we laughed at them this time in 2009.

      We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

      by Gooserock on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:53:36 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Um, this is 2013, not 2009 (0+ / 0-)

        You do realize how much of a mess the GOP is in these days?  They're in more deep shit than in any time in their party's history.  The notion Democrats don't have much pickup opportunities is complete bull crap.

    •  No offense, but I don't see it happening in 2014 (12+ / 0-)

      I think 2014 will be much more status quo than anybody on either side would like.  I think we might see 5 to 10 seats shift either way, but not enough to meaningfully change the way the House operates.

      I appreciate your low standards ;)

      by Cameron Hoppe on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 06:26:57 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The fix is in.... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        Where I live in Ohio. The districting maps are an abomination. It's looks like someone had a siezure while playing with an etch-a-sketch. The GOP has almost literally picked their voters house by house. No way the GOP loses the House in 2014. Hell, they might take the Senate by a narrow margin.

        Just another day in Oceania.

        by drshatterhand on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:37:01 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Agree. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        I think we may pick up a few seats, but no way we will be taking control of the House. And holding on to the Senate may be a challenge, too.

        "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

        by sidnora on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:46:17 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  A few seats? (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          sidnora, NH Flaming Moderate

          I count more than 30 seats that Democrats got at least 44% of the votes against GOP challengers in 2012.  You're telling me with how much more crap the GOP continues to do to itself, the Voting Rights issue in the U.S. Supreme Court and the facts I point out that Democrats are going to win just a few seats?

          I'm speechless.

          •  I live very near (0+ / 0-)

            one of the seats counted as among the lowest-hanging fruit in the whole Congress, and because I know what both the D and R local organizations are like, what the declared D candidate is like, and what matters to the people inside that district, I can guarantee this is going to be a nearly impossible race. And this is one that the national party considers one of its prime pickp opportunities.

            The view from 10,000 feet misses a lot of important detail. I'm looking forward to reading diaries here next year about individual races, written by people who know the districts in question really well.

            "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

            by sidnora on Sat Jul 13, 2013 at 10:46:59 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  good analysis... (0+ / 0-)

            The issue is that during nonPresidential years, GOP voters are more reliable then Dem voters.

      •  And I say that with every intention (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        of working hard for a Democratic challenger in my area.

        "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

        by sidnora on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:47:00 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  But Democratic challengers have yet to emerge (0+ / 0-)

          A few have emerged already by you're thinking too retrospectively.  Since 2012, the GOP has gotten itself into even more crap and it ain't pretty.  I've got folks in my own family who are conservative Republicans and they're mad as hell with how Boehner's Congress is being run.  

          Trust me on this.  The GOP are in serious trouble in 2014.

          •  I have a challenger (0+ / 0-)

            to work for, already. In NY-11.  He's not my ideal candidate, for a number of reasons, not least of which is that he doesn't "represent" the district (lives in the wrong part of it), which will make him much tougher to get elected. He's also far from my ideal politically.
            There won't be any other choices, though. He has lots of money and the interest of the DCCC, since the R incumbent is ethically challenged and lacks seniority.

            "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

            by sidnora on Sat Jul 13, 2013 at 10:39:44 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

      •  Are you frickin kidding me? (0+ / 0-)

        What world do you live in man?  Has the whole situation in Texas re: women's rights not been enough for you to be convinced?

        You're living too much in 2010 rather than 2013.  And with all due respect, the GOP are TOAST in 2014.  You must be living too much in the beltway.

    •  The Guardian is rather more pessimistic: (6+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Gurnt, fou, GAS, blueoasis, wdrath, jds1978

      It explores projections that Democrats might take the House and suggests it would require a lot of dominoes to fall in place in the right sequence.

      The word "spin" can mean many things. One definition is to present information in such a fashion that it makes people see something that isn't really there. A classic example would be a memo from the Democratic firm Democracy Corps on a recent poll they conducted in "competitive House districts" for the 2014 midterm elections.

      The memo's authors want readers to believe that the Democrats have a chance to win back House of Representatives in the midterms based on Democracy Corps data. History and their own polling data, in fact, suggest the very opposite.

      The president's party rarely picks up seats during midterm elections. It has occurred only three times since the American civil war: 1934, 1998, and 2002. All three featured presidents who were very popular. President Clinton in 1998 and President Bush in 2002 had approval ratings into the 60s in most surveys. Despite that high approval, their parties picked up only five and eight seats respectively.

      The Democrats need to pick up 17 to gain control of the House in 2014. The president's party has not picked up more than nine seats in a midterm since 1865.

      In order for that to occur, we would almost certainly need to see an extremely popular president. We don't.

      On the brighter side, I offer my own evidence that the GOP's death march appears to be accelerating

      So much will be happening between now and next year.  Let's hope the GOP can keep up the current pace to oblivion.

      Free markets would be a great idea, if markets were actually free.

      by dweb8231 on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:19:53 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  No chance (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      Of dems taking the house in 2014.

    •  pipsorcle - there are legal ways to bet on that (0+ / 0-)

      if you are certain that the Dems will take the House in 2014 you can make some easy money. Just leave me a comment and I'll find the website and give you the link.

      "let's talk about that"

      by VClib on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 08:45:25 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I don't make bets (0+ / 0-)

        As a former Republican myself, I've never seen the GOP in worse shape than it is today.  You realize who is running the RNC, do you?

        Yes.  It's Reince Preibus, aka the worst RNC Chairman in history who presided over significant losses for the GOP in 2012 after they won the upper hand in 2010.  This never happens most election cycles.

    •  They are cutting legs out from under the base (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      By gutting programs like food stamps, unemployment, Medicaid that help more white than non-white people overall, precisely the downscale whites the GOP purports to want to increase their share.  They have practiced divide-and-conquer forever with these folks, particularly on racial lines, but by keeping the economy  anemic, they are ensuring that they can't get ahead either.  Sooner or later one hopes enough of them will wise up, especially if the Dems offer a real middle class and lower class agenda.

      Don't bet your future on 97% of climate scientists being wrong. Take action on climate now!

      by Mimikatz on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 09:42:57 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Look at what's going on in Texas (0+ / 0-)

        It's only going to get worse for the GOP over time.  I've even got a friend who is in the Green Party who normally bashes Democrats on a regular basis but sees the GOP in worse shape than the Democrats.  I wouldn't take his word for it since he's a Green but he's also not speaking on behalf of the Democrats either.  He's no expert analysis.

    •  Start registering new voters now (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      paulitics, elwior

      We have 16 months to add to the voter base and we will need that time to get around the roadblocks the GOP is building. The time is now for nose-to-the-grindstone politics.

  •  hahahaha (66+ / 0-)

    (to quote Bubba: HAHAHAHAHAHAHA)

    I'm a woman, post-grad work (all but the thesis), used to be middle-class but stuck by GOP policies leading down to poverty over my adult lifetime...

    I would never vote for them anyway b/c I'm more socialist than conservative...

    but they have never, over my entire adult lifetime, done anything good. Good for me, good for my female friends, good for families -- good, in fact, for anyone but their stinkin' rich friends and donors.

    Remember the movie Enemy of the State?

    That's the GOP as they have been since RayGun.

    Irony takes a worse beating from Republicans than Wile E. Coyote does from Acme. --Tara the Antisocial Social Worker

    by Youffraita on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 12:39:35 AM PDT

  •  Gerrymandering (23+ / 0-)

    This is exactly why the GOP have gerrymandered their districts to protect their incumbency for the next decade.  Dems may pick up a few seats, but expect there to be few actually competitive races where Dems can pick up a previously red district.

    •  The only probleme with that is women. (27+ / 0-)

      The way they have been going after women health rights could very well peel off enough Republican women that can flip the House.  You can't gerrymander women out and it only takes a few point shift to hurt some districts.  The optics are bad coming out of Texas for the way GOP is behaving and the testimony from the right is out right stupid.  Then you have North Carolina sticking a restrictive reproductive healthcare bill in with a bike bill in a sneaky move.  

      I know women, who are registered Republicans, will vote for a Democrat and never tell their Republican families.  Why make trouble among family and friends? Later they will whisper it to a close liberal friend that they voted for Democrats. Many Republican women are not forced birthers and they don't believe that their reproductive rights will be taken from them.  I am sure there are some having second thoughts about letting this go any farther.

    •  GOP not so safe (39+ / 0-)

      There were a handful of districts that barely went for them in 2012 which are high priority targets.

      Walorski IN-2
      Coffman CO-6
      Miller CA-31
      Grimm NY-11
      Gibson NY-19
      Reed NY-23
      Collins NY-27
      Davis IL-13
      Benishek MI-1
      Webster FL-10
      Reed NY-23
      Denham CA-10
      Southerland FL-2
      Heck NV-3
      Amash MI-3
      Wahlberg MI-7
      Bentivolio MI-11
      Pittinger NC-09
      Renacci OH-16
      Runyan NJ-03
      Rothfus PA-12
      Rigell VA-2

      That's 22 right there.  Dems only need 17.  

      Latino Decisions went further and looked at districts where high Latino turnout could make a difference.  They listed most of the above plus

      Buchanan FL-16
      Weber TX-14
      Tipton CO-3
      Johnson OH-6
      McKeon CA-25
      King NY-2

      These were districts where the margin of victory in 2012 was smaller than the percentage of voters who are Latinos.  Every single one of these idiots voted to defund the Deferred Act for Childhood Arrivals (DACA).  Higher Latino turnout could turn the table on them.

      I'll throw in a few others less high profile like

      Valadao CA-21
      Issa CA-49
      Royce CA-39
      Pearce NM-2
      Cook CA-8
      Calvert CA-42
      Farenthold TX-27

      These idiots all live in districts where at least 1/5th and as high as 2/3rd of the voters are Latinos and they all voted against DACA (except Valadao who lives in that 2/3rd district).  Personally I think California is particularly ripe for the pickings if Dems play it right and ratfuck the GOP.  With the top two system there if the GOP has a clowncar of candidates all splitting the vote the Dems can sneak in 2 candidates and take the district the way Miller did in 2012.  High Latino turnout and a highly motivated Latino electorate could spell trouble for these guys.

      Now add in the fact that in places like Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin and now Texas Democratic voters are energized to vote the GOP fuckers at the top of the ticket out (governors) and you all of a sudden have alot more districts at play if a Dem wave develops.  Add in North Carolina where the people are just plain pissed at the GOP.  In Florida alone you have 8 districts where the GOP won with less than 60%.  Some of them won against token opposition.  In Michigan there are 6.  Pennsylvania there are 9, Ohio there are 9, North Carolina there are 7, Virginia 5, Texas 5, Wisconsin 3 (including Paul Ryan).  The GOP gerrymandered these districts out so much they thinned out their voters.  They effectively dummymandered them and put themselves at risk in a wave election of getting wiped out.  Many of those districts are Dem and Latino targets already.   All of them are in states in which the GOP seriously damaged their brand by fucking over the people with their teabrained policies.  

      That's 70+ districts total which with good candidates, a strong GOTV, Latino mobilization and a wave election environment, the Dems can flip a few seat unexpectedly and take back a bunch more.  They only need a net gain of 17.  Between the GOP's impending failure on the Immigration bill and their demonization of the Latinos, their never ending and increasingly radical war on women, their war on the poor and complete and total disregard for anyone not named Koch or in the top .1% the ingredients needed for a wave election are all there.  I'll even throw in Obamacare because I fully believe that a large majority of the US electorate STILL don't know a fucking thing about it but as of 1/1/14 they will start to learn and as they do they'll realize the GOP has been lying to them all this time.  Once people see they can get insurance for a fraction of what they pay now with no worries of pre-existing conditions or rescission they will change their tune about it.      

      Taking back the House is not impossible.  In fact I think the GOP set themselves up for an implosion.  They were too smart by half in 2010 and thought they could ride their tea bagging nutsacks to electoral victory for the next decade at least.  Problem is the average voter is repulsed by the teabagging nutsacks and their extreme policies.  I firmly believe that the Karl Roves and other less extreme elements of the GOP are shitting their pants right about now because they realize the damage being wrought by the teabagging nutsacks will destroy the GOP for a generation or two.  On top of that they're exacerbating the situation in many cases because like in Michigan and Texas, they realize their days are numbered so they're pushing as much shit down the throats of the people now and stealing all they can before that day comes.  I personally think Texas can flip blue before the next decade.  When that happens the GOP is finished nationally at every level.  

      This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

      by DisNoir36 on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:48:00 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Maybe you've convinced me of a path to victory... (3+ / 0-)

        Because without such path, we can SAY they're doomed, but without work, they will remain.

      •  Coffman in CO-6 (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        If I can I will use all my power to help Andrew Romanoff beat the shit out of that guy in 2014

      •  A lot of work and information went into this (9+ / 0-)

        comment.  Thank you.  I hope you'll be putting this info out in a diary or series of them as work on 2014 heats up.

        This is the kind of detailed analysis that I love getting, and DKos is the place to come.  Not only the diaries but also the comments can be a goldmine.

        --------------------- “These are troubling times. Corporation are treated like people. People are treated like things. …And if we ever needed to vote, we sure do need to vote now.” -- Rev. Dr. William J. Barber

        by Fiona West on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 08:36:44 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  You should do a diary on this (5+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        GAS, skip945, nu2u, Calamity Jean, wdrath

        We should be organizing massive donations to the Dem. candidates in all the contested districts.

        I keep wondering if it's possible - in light of growing anger and revulsion by many groups -- women, Latinos, young people -- to defy the historical trends of midterms -- and gerrymandering -- and voter suppression -- and get back the House.

        The sociopathy of the Republicans is just so evident in everything -- like passing a non-food stamp farm bill.  I will definitely do everything I can within the limits of my money and time -- to get rid of these people.

        The GOP: "You can always go to the Emergency Room."

        by Upper West on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 08:38:34 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Sure hope you're right (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        because the nutjobs' wars on women, voting rights and  the poor is unbearably depressing. We have to keep speaking the truth so that even the numbskulls get that voting R is voting against your self-interest. And that the bible they're thumping has a lot to say about caring for the "least of these."  

    •  But - More Hispanics rurally? (0+ / 0-)

      I don't know so I'm asking.    I realize most farm work is done by undocumented workers but what about their children who are born here?  As they grow up and register to vote, won't that change the demos eventually?  At least in my head it works.

      Another thing, many families in rural areas use Medicaid and SNAP and many of them are headed by single women.  Won't taking their children's health care and food away make those women stop and think?  Again, in my head it works as I hope there will eventually be change in the "safely red" districts.

  •  They are certainly doomed as an overall movement (16+ / 0-)

    However, it's not clear how much individual Republican politicians care about this. Many of them as safely gerrymandered into districts where their only challenge is that they might be primaried by someone even more conservative than themselves.

    •  Not so safely gerrymandered as you think (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      mmacdDE, bythesea, GAS, Calamity Jean

      Many of them represent districts they won with less than 60% against token opposition.  

      If they were safe they'd at least be able to carry 60%+ against token opposition but they didn't.  A strong candidate, strong GOTV, and some luck can flip some if not many of these seats.  Dems only need 17 net gains.

      This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

      by DisNoir36 on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:54:10 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  White folk are getting younger too. (29+ / 0-)

    And the younger the demo, the more turned off by homophobic, anti-immigrant, anti-woman, (I dare say the GOP better watch itself on student loan rates) policies.

    Of course the problem with the youth vote has always been getting them to vote.

    I'm 55 white and a reliably D vote. (The GOP's worst nightmare, they need to run up big numbers in my age group.)

    I'm fairly sure I'm in the minority in my age group nationally, though locally I'm the norm. I watch this stuff pretty closely and I can't say I've seen a noticeable shift among whites my age one way or the other. Perhaps a bit among women, but men, no way. Perhaps even a bit toward R.

    But that's anecdotal so take it for it's worth.

    My message to other libs, I'm with you! Please don't hope for me to die off even though my age/gender demo is generally terrible for the Ds.

  • many of us will they and their shitty (16+ / 0-)

    policies take with them before they are truly gone?

    Americans have accepted and tolerated so much, the damage is largely done. This isn't the same country it was in the 1970's, it's just not.

    And we are STILL told to stay within the lines, the best thing to happen in America in recent times was #OWS, something that should be redone and redone and redone until shit works correctly again.

    Occupy DC until... just shut it down until...

    Oh wait... sharknado is on. Never mind.

  •  Goopers aren't very bright...have you noticed? (3+ / 0-)
  •  They will have to go libertarian (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gooserock, mconvente, jds1978

    A lot of younger folks will be receptive to an anti-NSA drug legalization message.

  •  This can't come too soon (6+ / 0-)

    Although it sure would be nice if the economy would turn around so I could break this eight-year unemployment streak.

    I'm never sure if I've forgotten and left the lid up, or if InvisObama™ is using the loo.

    by The Gryffin on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 03:25:18 AM PDT

  •  on the other hand (16+ / 0-)

    Allegedly, a woman once called out to Adlai Stevenson "Senator, you have the vote of every thinking person!"  He replied, "That's not enough, madam, we need a majority".

  •  May not be fast enough to save the planet. (6+ / 0-)

    Looking at the weather report this morning (another absurdly hot weekend, soaring humidity and temps in the 90s again here in the far north), I'm reminded that last gasp cranky old white guy/Koch brothers/Exxon/Wal-Mart politics may still destroy the planet before the Republican party gasps its last.

  •  Just wait when baby boomers find out (8+ / 0-)

    When the find out that Republicans want to eliminate Social Security and Medicare and give more tax cuts to the Rich and Corporations right when they are all entering retirement it'll get real interesting.

    Democrats ought to be pounding that.

    •  If they haven't found that out yet, (7+ / 0-)

      they're not going to -- until it's too late and the other shoe has already dropped.

    •  Geezer riots... (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      avsp, GAS, Calamity Jean, blueoasis

      ....what an image....

      "Ethel Jones, 72, of Levittown, PA, was arrested by NYPD after assaulting officers with her walker. Mrs. Jones is being held on $2 million bail...."

      "Ronald Reagan is DEAD! His policies live on but we're doing something about THAT!"

      by leftykook on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 04:56:15 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  My mom thinks it's Obama that wants (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Cjagmoore, wxorknot

      to undermine medicare, with death panels, taking money out of medicare to fund obamacare, etc.

      The repubs have been very good at disseminating the disinformation. The dems not so good at getting the facts out. I really hope HHS starts a heavy positive advertising campaign for Obamacare.

      As long as people believe the crap, and still think the problem is the other guy when stuff goes wrong, the republicans will continue to get votes.

      "Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain." It seems to work for the republicans. Just put a religious/patriotic/ racist spin on whatever you are selling, and it sells for a certain group of people.

      Today's problems are yesterday's solutions. Don Beck

      by Sherri in TX on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 06:29:00 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  White Baby Boomers, Since 1972, Have Always Voted (0+ / 0-)

      in the majority, for RepubliKlans. White Baby Boomers became the first generation since the Great Depression, to vote in the majority for the RepubliKlan presidential candidate in every presidential election they have voted in; however, they were not the last, as Gen-X Whites have done the same.

      Now that White millenials have returned to their flock (51% of Whites 18-29 y.o. voted for (R)money in 2012), I will not be holding my breath waiting for that indeterminate time when White peeps will stop voting their race, and start voting for whats best for them politically.

      As for White Women - 56% of whom voted for (R)money/Lyan in 2012, 58% of whom voted for the TeaBigots in the Great White anti-Obama Backlash 2010 midterms, and 53% of whom voted for PaleInsanity in 2008 - teh have been, since the 1950's, the most loyal RepubliKlans. Understandable, considering that they are the most pampered and privileged group in AmeriKKKa, and are not about to bite the hands that feed them.

      White Leftist/Progressives can continue to delude themselves into believing that the RepubliKlan party is confined to da South and old White men, but the demographics of the 2008, 2010, and 2012 elections prove that the only confinement the RepubliKlans face is that of race.

      And there is no indication, in reality, that White peeps are about to abandon the party of White Supremacy. Until they do so on election day, the only thing preventing AmeriKKKa from devolving into a fascist state is the "browning" of the electorate.

      White people will abandon the RepubliKlan party? Yea. When pigs fly...

      I am not now, nor have I ever been, a member of the Republican Party.

      by OnlyWords on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:02:00 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  They were doomed in 2009, too. And then (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MHB, dss, Sherri in TX, mkor7, wdrath

    after that, they took control of the House.

    But - let's suppose this time they really are doomed.

    Does that mean we can begin to only give support to Democrats that aren't 1% Corporate Agenda Advancing Democrats?

    Take the party back from the 1%?  Or will we be treated to the doomed boogeyman come election time and meekly pull the level for the "lesser" of two corporate evils?

    The excuses for Obama's behavior have long since passed the point of predictability neccessary to qualify as an absurd production of Kabuki Theater.

    by Johnathan Ivan on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 04:49:53 AM PDT

  •  don't believe it. they still have talk radio and (9+ / 0-)

    it continues to be ignored. it's another premature announcement of death of a major party that can continue to deny global warming and many other realities.

    it continues to allow them to dominate messaging and turn their dwindling minority into an obstruction machine (been same the last 25 years).

    all they need are a few emergencies or molehills to spin into mountains and those 1200 radio stations will once again work their magic while dems look the other way and work their asses off trying to catch up.

    win back the house in 2014? a few months ago it didn't seem possible. in a year? it should be a no brainer but it's not- there is still no organized challenge to their best weapon outside of stoprush.

    benghazi benghazi. IRS. IRS. to the GOP base and the many majority apathetic voter RW radio still does the job.

    This is a list of 76 universities for Rush Limbaugh that endorse global warming denial, racism, sexism, and GOP lies by broadcasting sports on over 170 Limbaugh radio stations.

    by certainot on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:25:26 AM PDT

    •  I'm sorry but (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Gary Norton, Gurnt

      who the hell listens to it?

      Old white guys. That's pretty much it.

      Hardly anybody under 50 listens to radio. AT ALL.

      They listen to their ipod, their CDs, podcasts, maybe some sports radio.

      They don't listen to much else. Hell, I'm in my mid 60s, and I don't listen to much else.

      •  RW radio drives the teabaggers/GOP (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        yellowdog, wxorknot, blueoasis

        every american is influenced by RW radio

        the pervasive ubiquitous repetition of lies that the think tanks blast out to 50 mil a week has an overall effect - low information voters dominate america and many are influenced by that crap secondarily.

        we have recently lost a shitload of time on benghazi and IRS 'scandals' not possible without RW radio. sequestration (debt ceiling bullshit) would not have been possible w/out RW radio.

        those blowhards put the wind in the tea party sails

        almost every irrational RW political win the last 25 years was in large part successful because of RW radio. it's a buzz machine madison ave would kill for. ignoring it is the  biggest political mistake in US history.

        This is a list of 76 universities for Rush Limbaugh that endorse global warming denial, racism, sexism, and GOP lies by broadcasting sports on over 170 Limbaugh radio stations.

        by certainot on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 06:50:53 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  and when it comes time to vote a lot of those musi (0+ / 0-)

          c listeners get the last minute secondary political bullshit the talk radio megaphone has been blasting the country with, and then "obama said he was the messiah who could bring us all together and solve all our problems in his first year and give us single payer and end the war and give us all sparkle ponies but this really sucks and i'm not voting in 2014, they're all teh same, they're not worth it!"

          This is a list of 76 universities for Rush Limbaugh that endorse global warming denial, racism, sexism, and GOP lies by broadcasting sports on over 170 Limbaugh radio stations.

          by certainot on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 06:56:59 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Don't forget NPR. (0+ / 0-)

        We listen to that more than all those other things put together.

  •  We'll see in 2014 (9+ / 0-)

    If I had a dollar for every diary I've read on this site proclaiming the death of the Republican party, I could retire in luxury.
    That was the prevailing wisdom in 2009 too.
    The Democrats have an amazing capacity to snatch defeat from the very jaws of victory, so I will take any claims of the imminent death of the Republicans with a very large dose of salts until I see what happens in the upcoming election.

    •  That's Because 2013 is == 2009 In Election Cycle (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      fat old man, jds1978

      Runup to the midterms.

      The midterm part of the cycle is when the parties jump to the right. The Republicans jump to the right with extremist language and policies to motivate their base, which is energetic to turn out in high numbers in off-year elections.

      The midterm part of the cycle is when the parties jump to the right. The Democrats jump to the right with soft corporatist language and policies to motivate their base, which are swing voter Republicans, who stay home in high numbers in off-year elections. That'll teach the liberals.

      We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

      by Gooserock on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:58:46 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Don't forget... (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Amber6541, mconvente, Dbug, blueoasis

    Asian Americans as well, who have seen the most dramatic switch in favor of Democrats.

  •  Democrats are doomed too. Maybe. (3+ / 0-)

    I should point out that this is not exactly a zero-sum game. Republicans are going to drive away voters, no question about that. But if the Democrats don't step up, then the biggest growth will be in independents and non-voters.

  •  If They Get Any More Doomed Birth Control (3+ / 0-)

    will be a capital offense.

    We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

    by Gooserock on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:59:30 AM PDT

  •  I feel no joy at expected demise of Republicans (0+ / 0-)

    Some may accuse me of being a DINO, affected by living as a Republican conservative / libertarian most of my adult life, not enough change this last decade in how I feel.

    What Democrats have to do, we must not do to them what they do to us today.  Let the Republican Party die a death of natural causes.  We do not need to stomp the old white folk to death when we have the power.

    Though I feel the temptation to do so and exult, exalt to the imaginary high heavens.

  •  Glad to hear the Rethugs are toast. (8+ / 0-)

    I'm so looking forward to the Dems passing a living wage bill, ending NSA blanket spying, cutting the Pentagon budget by thirty percent, closing five hundred overseas bases, establishing Medicare for all, flushing our bs trade agreements down the toilette, passing Card Check, bringing back Glass-Steagall, making college education free for all qualified applicants,demanding instant run-off voting, and finally making DC a state, once the the Dems controll the WH, Senate, and House.
    I just can't wait.

    "The reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated." Mark Twain

  •  Unless you are over age 39 since that demographic (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    voted in the majority for Romney. What worries me if they chip away and get the over 35 vote. This is conceivable as long as jobs and job prospects remain bleak for college grads and others under 40 years of age.

    "Mais n'enculons pas des mouches." (Let's not split hairs) Ian Fleming, Casino Royal.

    by Kvetchnrelease on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 06:34:30 AM PDT

  •  I will not weep for the Republican Party (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mkor7, Calamity Jean

    if I do see its demise. Its best days were decades before my birth. Now it is toxic and, yes, evil.

    That being said, the long, slow fall of the GOP is doing the muscle tone of the Democratic Party no real favors. When the Republicans ceded what was once the center of the political spectrum, the Democrats got it by default. We didn't pull the center leftward, except (and I don't want to downplay this too much) on some social issues. Even there, it isn't usually the Democratic Party that has done the heavy lifting of changing societal attitudes, but outside interest groups (more power to them!) We've been claiming territory further right of center for some time, as the other side races further past what was once considered the lunatic fringe. And as a result, we now have all too many Democratic pols who, aside from their positions on the aforementioned social issues, are cautious pollwatchers, making sure they're at least somewhat closer to sanity than the opposition, but winning zero points for courage.

    I will always vote Democrat against any Republican or other conservative kook, but only because I've seen what happens when Democrats lose. But when the current cranky, confused, elderly Republican base dies off, the Dems are going to have to work a lot harder to get my vote. If they don't, it'll go somewhere further left.

    My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right.
    --Carl Schurz, remarks in the Senate, February 29, 1872

    by leftist vegetarian patriot on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 06:39:17 AM PDT

    •  I've been predicting lately (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      leftist vegetarian patriot

      that in 20 years the Democrats' chief opponent at the national level will be not the Republicans, but the Greens.

      •  and if so, I'll be consistently voting G, not D (0+ / 0-)

        but only if and when the Republicans are no longer a credible threat. I already usually vote Green in those few non-presidential elections in which I believe a Republican has zero chance.

        My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right.
        --Carl Schurz, remarks in the Senate, February 29, 1872

        by leftist vegetarian patriot on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 09:57:52 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Agreed (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          leftist vegetarian patriot

          My views are much closer to the Greens than to the current crop of Democrats (and maybe even a bit further left than that). And in the Nineties I was an enthusiastic Green.

          But then I grew up and realized that in this country it doesn't make sense to be in any but one of the two major parties. So I'm a Democrat, and I try to do what I can in the primaries.

          •  I was a registered Green for years (0+ / 0-)

            Nader changed that, in his first run. I'd admired his previous work (and still do), but when I went to a campaign event and listened to him and continued to pay attention to his campaign, it became clear that he was dangerously unconcerned about the damage the Republicans could and would do in office. I'm not a fan of Democratic centrists in general, but they are NOT even close to being "the same" in all respects as the opposition, which was his claim.

            I still voted Nader, in 2000, but only because I knew that Gore would win California regardless (as he did, handily)and I wanted to try to help the Green Party to qualify for matching funds next time around by gaining the 5% of the vote it would need (which it did not). I wouldn't have voted Green in any other state and haven't voted Green in a national election since.

            Someday. Probably not someday soon, though.

            My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right.
            --Carl Schurz, remarks in the Senate, February 29, 1872

            by leftist vegetarian patriot on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:41:33 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Sorry to disappoint you (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:

            But the Greens are never gonna happen in this country. The corporate media won't let them win.

            Just another day in Oceania.

            by drshatterhand on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:51:40 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  Propaganda has decades to work its evil... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wdrath, blueoasis

    Today's younger generation will be steeped in corporate BS for many more decades.

    There will be millions of drips of poison applied to their minds.

    This is the nature of the enemy.

    They have to be inoculated early and often.

    Each of us that has a personal relationship with a younger person must take every opportunity to open their minds to the BS around them.

    Forewarned is forearmed.

    The Fail will continue until actual torches and pitchforks are set in motion. -

    by No one gets out alive on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 06:55:54 AM PDT

  •  The GOP long since stopped being a movement (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    that actually cared about winning the electorate.

    It's a pure exercise in power for them. And the more the rest of us accommodate them, to buy time, to buy peace, to buy some delusional crumb of bipartisanship comity that hasn't existed for Republicans since their pre-Jim Crow wannabe years? The more entrenched a truly totalitarian movement becomes.

    Because just because people won't vote for them won't make Republicans go away. They'll just more openly talk about Second Amendment remedies, play up a doctrine of dominionism and eliminationism and then act on it.

    A long-ago ancestor of the modern GOP is the 19th Century-era southern Democratic Party. Yep, those fellers.

    That movement, too, saw the electoral writing on the wall.

    That movement, too, was written off as one for the history books. And it was put to rest but not cheaply, nor easily, nor (see: 1950s and 1960s South) quickly.

    And... lo and behold...that movement just packed up and took over the Republican Party when the gig was up.

    And that is why the GOP is losing young voters across the board.

    It's also why push will have to come to shove yet again with this ugly cruel thread of American history that simply will not go away and has to be fought back every couple of generations.

    Because, at the end of the day, human nature just isn't that much different here in the 2010s than it was in the 1910s, the 1810s or the 1710s (etc.). There will always be some who, having a bit of leverage on others, will crave more and be very insecure about their 'rights' (read: privileges) being threated by something so insidious, so venal, so metaphysically wrong as the majority of voters being opposed to that select few keeping them.

    Really. Democracy being allowed to work? You really want that, America? - GOP

  •  if ever a party deserved extinction.... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    leftist vegetarian patriot

    ... it's the Republican party.

    I live in a state that's been electing them for decades and has been getting horrible results for doing it -- we're last in everything good and first in everything bad, year after year after year.   The second people wise up and really start looking at the results that conservative polices get for the places that elect them, nobody will ever vote for them again.  

    Right now they've got a lock on the religion thing... and that's it.  But religion's failing, too.  Look at the Bible belt... which states are less "blessed" than those?

    "Glenn Beck ends up looking like a fat, stupid child. His face should be wearing a chef's hat on the side of a box of eclairs. " - Doug Stanhope

    by Front Toward Enemy on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:08:11 AM PDT

  •  With LGBT stuff (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    skip945, Calamity Jean

    Remember, its not that they're losing gay people (we dont vote for republicans in big numbers for obvious reasons) its that they're also losing the non-gay people who are related to/friends with gay people and think their friend/family member deserves the same rights they have.

    I can only speak for LGBT stuff, but Im guessing you'll see the same thing, where republicans target constituents care about the people the GOP harasses.

    "Trust not the words of a poet, as he is born to seduce. Yet for poetry to seize the heart, it must ring with the chimes of truth."

    by kamrom on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:12:01 AM PDT

    •  I live in conservative Texas with a bunch (0+ / 0-)

      of 50-60 year old whites in my neighborhood... most of them historically have voted Republican and have been very vocal about it.

      With all the bullshit that the Texas GOP is pulling on Women's Health, their very visible national obsession about keeping "teh gays" as second-class citizens, and their actions to limit voting rights, our conservative neighbors are a lot less vocal and starting to see the GOP for what they are...  

      I'm flipping a few of them to the "D" column next election...  

      The GOP offers nothing... but I don't for a second think that they will disappear in the next 10 years...  but their strategy is driving them down the tubes...

      Which makes me happy...

      Radical Activist Homosexual Agenda: 1. Equality 2. See #1

      by skip945 on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 09:23:08 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  "It's the economy, stupid" (0+ / 0-)

    Before our own party leaders get too smug, they need to consider this same problem is weakening their own base.  

    In the era of wealth extraction and corporate control of government, people are fed up.  Neither party is looking very good right now.

    Link to Dem Party approval ratings

    Link to GOP approval ratings

    "If you can't take their money, eat their food, drink their booze and then vote against them, you have no business being in DC."

    by Betty Pinson on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:21:46 AM PDT

  •  Democrats Should Be Teaching Their Children (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    GoGoGoEverton, kickbass

    from very young ages about the importance of voting.  As we can see by the decision of the SCOTUS to overturn a key part of the VRA that our votes can be taken away.  The VRA effects all of us, young, black, white, Asian, Latino and seniors.  When states pass voter ID laws this effects all of us.  I always say if you don't vote you are giving up one of the few real pure voices that a person can have in deciding their own fate in life.  If you don't use it you lose it.

    "Don't Let Them Catch You With Your Eyes Closed"

    by rssrai on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:21:55 AM PDT

  •  If I had $1 for every "Death of the GOP" (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    fauxrs, The Dead Man, blueoasis

    diary/article I've read in the last 10 years, I would be typing this on my custom bespoke iPad made out of diamonds while drifting in the Mediterranean on my yacht.

    Красота спасет мир --F. Dostoevsky

    by Wisper on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 07:25:15 AM PDT

  •  WRONG. They can steal elections.... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wdrath, drumwolf

    If I hear or read ONE more pundit or blogger say that the GOP is doomed, I will scream.  In the meantime, the VRA has been GUTTED.  Reproductive rights are threatened in 34 states.  Food stamps have been dropped from the Farm Bill.  300 of the President's government appointees are in limbo due to GOP filibuster.  Medicaid expansion has been blocked by many of the GOP majority state legislatures. We liberals should ALL be so DOOMED!

    Diaries such as this one lull liberals into a false sense of security.  These anti-abortion measures, for example, will take YEARS to reverse, if they are ever reversed at all.

    Of course we KNOW we have the votes.  There are three things which work against us winning.  First is the Gerrymandering of 2010, which may not allow us to retake the House until after 2020.  Second is the passing of horrible and onerous voting restrictions, made easier by our GOP-majority Supreme Court.  Third, I have no doubt that GOP-governed states will hack voting machines and use other brazenly illegal tactics to steal elections.  If you think I'm wearing a tinfoil hat, please look to Reason Two as notice of the GOP's intent.  

    Writing diaries like this, saying that we have won, is like a last place team making plans for the World Series.  The GOP isn't doomed until we play and WIN.  

  •  Said it before: winning passively not a strategy. (6+ / 0-)

    At the end of the day, voters in the US usually have to choose between 2 options.

    "The other side stinks" is good for one election campaign. As a long-term strategy it's a loser.
    Yes, the GOP increasingly paints itself as a flat-earth racist Scrooge.

    But if on so many contests Democrats offer themselves as wishy-washy doormats who will talk high and mighty during the campaign, but will never fight for their voters when push comes to shove - don't count on voters to choose Democrats on a consistent basis.

    The average voter has known that the GOP sucks, at least since 2004 or 2006. The fact that the Democrats couldn't leverage this to control all 3 branches of government by now, is a crying shame.

    People need to be inspired and to feel they have leaders in office rather than technocrats and empty-worders. The Democratic establishment just doesn't get it.

    •  Don't worry--the Republicans are basically (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      enabling the Dems to survive by opening their mouths and blathering terrible abusive things about rape. That should do us for the next election cycle or two, although gerrymandering is a bitch and turnout probably will be too.

      Ou sont les neigedens d'antan?

      by SouthernLiberalinMD on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 11:14:44 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Personally, the fact that most of what's left of (0+ / 0-)

    the party of "let them eat cake" are dying off just makes me really happy.

    Best. President. Ever.

    by Little Lulu on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 09:14:37 AM PDT

  •  News of the GOP's death (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    has been greatly exaggerated. sorry I'm not buying into the optimism that all too often pops up here about the demise of the GOP.

    There is still no shortage of people who will vote against their own self interest, there is no shortage of credulous people who will believe whatever they are told. There is no shortage of people who expend no effort whatsoever to educate themselves about the policies their representatives espouse.

    So long as this is the case, the republicans will continue to exist and function...if you can call it that.

    Frankly, I'm convinced that republicans could impale immigrants on a stake and post them in front of the Alamo and people would still vote for them.

    Honesty may be the best policy, but it's important to remember that apparently, by elimination, dishonesty is the second-best policy.

    by fauxrs on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 09:52:06 AM PDT

  •  Good thing the Democrats have shifted to the right (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Obama: self-described Republican; backed up by right-wing policies

    by The Dead Man on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:49:53 AM PDT

  •  Democrats need to stand for something (0+ / 0-)

    Being a passive alternative that whines on the sidelines about how dirty the other guys play doesn't get them anywhere. Dems have to go out and pick fights if they eventually want to win some battles. In many districts there aren't even any viable candidates to run against unpopular republicans.

    Just another day in Oceania.

    by drshatterhand on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 10:56:05 AM PDT

  •  Republicans should be doomed; however... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    ...they have been kept artificially competitive for many years thanks to built-in structural advantages, such as always have the financial edge against Democrats because they have thoroughly prostituted themselves to wealthy elites (Big Oil, Big Tobacco, Agribusiness, Wall Street, big corporations, the NRA, etc.), plus they have a built-in propaganda machine with most of the nation's mass media owned by Republicans all-too-willing to allow Republicans to frame issues; and they always seem to manage to get and keep a disproportionate amount of power (through gerrymandering and packing select courts with Republicans whenever possible); as well as an deliberate, ongoing effort to successfully disenfranchise as many non-Republican voters as they can get away with. They have had those structural advantages for many years, keeping them artirficially competitive. And now that the Supreme Court has given Republicans access to unlimited amounts of secret corporate cash, as well, through the abomination known as Citizens United, they have even more money than ever before.

    Republicans seem to be betting on the idea that, with access to all of the above, they don't need to kowtow to the little people of this country. And they've gotten away with far. Whether they will be able to continue to purchase themselves their way to artificial political competititiveness remains to be seen. (My instincts are that people who say that demographic changes will inevitably make Republicans extinct...are engaging in hopeful wishing...these same demographic changes have been occuring to Texas for 30 years and, yet, Republicans have only gotten stronger there during that time; on the other hand, it does appear that the American public seems to be waking up little by little to who exactly Republicans really represent ('s not the People, the middle class nor the poor of this country....).

  •  glad about liberalizing voters but still worried (0+ / 0-)

    Today's REpublican party needs to die. They are trying it kill millions of Americans. If they had their way they'd slash food stamps and medicaid and many of us would die.

    I might be one of them. They have me, dependent on food stamps for the first time in my life, tied in knots of stress because of how they are being. And I am well aware that they are doing this to millions, threatening their well being.

    They have a lock on the House and state legislatures because of gerrymandering. They are bought and paid for by business interests (exhibit A Farm Bill). Citizen's United still is a threat and we may just be lucky.

    I can't wait a decade or a generation for them, in this incarnation, to die off or leave power. They have power now.

    Really, I've never before been this dependant on the safetynet and the safety net hasn't been this threatened in decades. I wonder if they will get out before they kill me and thousands others. Seriously.

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