Cross-posted at ACA SignupsTaking a little break from the Halbig nonsense...
The Graph is starting to get pretty unwieldy at this point. The scale has been changed from Weekly to Monthly, and things are getting pretty squished horizontally with the addition of August to the right side. The overall range remains somewhere between 24 - 29 million, with the main increases being on the QHP side and minor tweaks (some up, some down) in the Medicaid, SHOP & other areas.
The only other notable change is that I've removed the "depending on payment status" qualifier, since I've already removed the 10% of exchange QHPs who definitely aren't paying up for a variety of reasons.
In any event, assuming my estimate of roughly 9,000 total exchange QHPs per day (whether paid or not) during the off-season holds true, we should hit the 9 Million milestone around a week from now, on or around August 8th. Obviously if I've underestimated the rate, we could have already hit 9M, and if I've overestimated, it might not cross that line until later in August.
It'll be interesting to see whether the HHS Dept. issues any sort of press release around that time, given that they've inexplicably decided not to continue their monthly enrollment reports during the off-season.
I should also note that the number of paid exchange QHPs should hit 8 million sometime in mid-August as well.