What does it mean when an almost-30-point Trump district ends up remaining Republican by single-digit numbers? It means that few—if any—Republicans are safe, anywhere. How scary is it for the GOP? Take a gander: Trump won—
- 36 House seats by 5 points or less
- 66 seats by 10 points or less
- 98 seats by 15 points or less
- 123 seats by 20 points or less
- 151 seats by 25 points or less, and
- 159 seats by 27 points or less, which was his margin of victory in KS-04
The bold is where this special election ended up, losing by about six points, or a shift of about 20 points from Trump’s numbers in 2016. Now if we assumed a shift of equal proportion across the entire United States, that means that 123 Republican seats could actually be in play. Can we all say HOLY FUCKING SHIT? Because I am. We need 24 seats to retake the House.
But why wait until 2018 to take out some Republicans when we have two big special elections coming up within the next month and change? The first is in Georgia’s 6th Congressional District, where the Daily Kos community has already poured nearly $1.5 million into Jon Ossoff’s campaign, catapulting him to the national scene. Then we have Montana’s special election, where local folk hero Rob Quist is making Republicans sweat so hard, they’re trying to change the laws to make it harder for people to vote.
So if you’re in Montana or Georgia (or close by), you’re in luck! You get to volunteer directly on those campaigns! Otherwise, let’s give a big momentum boost to our two Democratic heroes by dropping a few bucks into each of their campaigns. Seriously, go do it now. Just a few bucks! Because when hundreds of thousands of people donate, that shit adds up really quick!
In conclusion, donate!
123 to be exact. Donate.
Can’t donate? Sign up to make Get Out The Vote calls for Jon Ossoff.