National Security Kos: After American Dominance

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Monday February 14, 2011 · 4:13 AM PST

2011/02/14 · 04:13

Welcome to National Security Kos. The focus of this group is on national security policies in a period of transition from institutions that supported the Cold War to institutions that more closely fit the current position of the US in the world. Consider this an invitation to also become a contributor to the group.

And now, the first diary.

Paul Starobin in After America: Narratives for the New Global Age says that the foreign policy of the Bush administration had the effect of ending US ability to enforce a Pax Americana. The world after Bush knows that the US was not the hyperpower it seemed to be after the end of the Cold War. This new situation is full of new opportunities and new perils for each alternative that might succeed a US-dominated world.

Among the alternatives are:
1. A China-dominated world
2. International chaos and a new Dark Age of warlord alliances
3. Evolution of a world government
4. Devolution into city-states
5. A distributed system of regional security pacts
6. Regional and global balances among the major powers - China, India, European Union, US, Russia, Indonesia, and so on - as economic development results in high-population nations becoming new military powers.
7. Continued and failed US insistence on being the indispensable global actor.

No doubt there are other narratives.

What say you?

The question for discussion is what are the possible scenarios for what follows the American Century.

Poll

11 votes Show Results

What is the most likely global security environment for the next decade?

11 votes Vote Now!

What is the most likely global security environment for the next decade?

Continuation of American dominance

2 votes

Transition to dominance by China

1 vote

Emergence of a world government

2 votes

Collapse into chaos internationally

1 vote

Devolution into ethnic regions

1 vote

Devolution into city states

0 votes

Interlocking regional security pacts

4 votes

Other (explain in a comment)

0 votes

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