An interesting thing about this election that I haven't seen much discussion about is looking at a comparison between the polls and the actual results. In arguing with some of my Clinton-supporter friends about how big her win in Pennsylvania would be, I said I believed the margin between the two would narrow. I then went out on a limb and said, "You know, if you look at the polls in a particular state one month out before a primary or caucus and you compare them to the actual results, Obama always does better and Hillary always does worse, every time." Well, I thought that was true anecdotally, but I didn't really have the evidence to back it up, so I was asked to prove it. So below, is my proof....
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