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Vance McAllister, Republican Congressman in LA-05 who earned eternal infamy as the "Kissing Congressman," reversed course earlier this year and announced that he would indeed seek reelection despite the protests of almost every Republican official and big wig in the state. The results of the newest poll in the race seem to indicate that while McAllister currently leads the field, it is Democratic Mayor of Monroe, Jamie Mayo, who will make the run off and prevail. Follow me below for some more good news.

http://www.thenewsstar.com/...

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Mon Aug 19, 2013 at 12:28 PM PDT

High Comedy In Louisiana

by bywaterbob

We have dueling poll results released today for Bobby Jindal. What makes them so notable is that both polls were conducted by Republicans. If you are in New Orleans today, the Times Picayune published the following headlines:

http://www.nola.com/...

Internal poll shows Jindal approval ratings up

Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal's approval rating stands at 50 percent, according to a poll released Monday by his political consultancy firm. According to the poll released Monday by OnMessage, Inc., half of those polled approved of the governor's job performance while 46 percent disapproved. The numbers were a four point increase over previous OnMessage ratings for the governor.
The rest of the country is reading another headline today:
Poll: Bobby Jindal Is Still Very Unpopular In Louisiana

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/...
This headline is the result of poll results also  published today were the results of Republican firm, Harper Polling. Here are their results:

Q. Bobby Jindal
Favorable……………………35%
Unfavorable………………….51%
Not Sure…………………….14%
http://conservativeintel.com/...

These results are very much in line with the findings of PPP and Southern Media earlier in the year. In fact almost within their margin of error even though its been several months since those polls were conducted.

Lots of chuckles in Louisiana today and for a change, the Republicans are laughing just as hard as the Democrats.

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Mon Aug 05, 2013 at 04:24 PM PDT

Louisiana Unemployment Rant

by bywaterbob

I am helping a desperate friend try to resolve an enormous problem with Louisiana's unemployment system. In doing so I discovered something that defies any rational explanation, but certainly smells like a mixture of incompetence, evil doing and financial chicanery with federal dollars on behalf of the State of Louisiana. As best as I can, I will try to explain the situation below.

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A 14 year old boy was shot in the head by a homeowner in the Marigny neighborhood of New Orleans at 2 am this past Friday. The boy is in critical condition and if he survives will likely suffer from paralysis among other complications. The 14 year old boy, Marshall Coulter, was seen on neighbor’s security video riding his bicycle multiple times around the block several hours apart. Although as a juvenile, any prior criminal record is not available under public record laws, his family admits that he has been subject to multiple prior burglary arrests. At 2 am the 14 year old is captured on video climbing over a high fence to enter the driveway. The shooter is Merritt Landry, a 33 old Caucasian employee of the City of New Orleans with a pregnant wife and young child who were all in the house with him when the incident happened. Landry apparently was alerted by his barking dog, went out into the driveway where he found the boy and fired one shot, from a distance believed to be about 30 feet, the distance between the found shell casing and the first drops of blood. The police did not hesitate in arresting the shooter who was released on a property bond. He has been charged with 2nd degree attempted murder. While the comparisons to the George Zimmerman case were immediate, there are some substantial differences between the two cases as well as some similarities that are notable. (More below)

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Tue Jul 09, 2013 at 11:49 AM PDT

Seeing the Light In Louisiana

by bywaterbob

There has been a strange sequence of events over the past 6 months in Louisiana that seem to indicate that the deep crazy of national republican politics has worn out its welcome.

First we saw Bobby Jindal's poll numbers (PPP, Southern Media) take the biggest nosedive over a relatively short period of time that I have ever seen for a politician not caught up in obvious public scandal. Jindal last polled under 40% when a year earlier he won an election with numbers in the 60s. Washington Post on Bobby Jindal's poll numbers

Next we saw saw a truly head scratching public announcement that the two biggest fundraisers in the history of Louisiana Republican politics, Boysie Bollinger (former chair of the LA Republican party) and Joe Canizaro have pledged to support Mary Landrieu in her 2014 Senate race.  http://dailykingfish.com/...

The latest development is just as shocking and unexpected. Republican Congressman from Louisiana, Charles Boustany, MD has seemingly endorsed medicaid expansion in Louisiana under Obamacare. http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/...

Each of these developments alone would be worthy of further exploration, but as a group it exposes an undeniable trend towards Louisiana rejecting the conventional wisdom that it is a solidly red, tea party loving state. The local MSM tries very hard to deny it, but Louisiana may finally be seeing the light.

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Mon Apr 15, 2013 at 06:50 PM PDT

Landrieu will hold senate seat

by bywaterbob

I was born in Boston but have lived most of my life in New Orleans. Hopefully, I have some good news to cheer some people up on a sad day. I also hope I don't offend anyone by moving on to a different subject.

Every six years Republicans excitedly announce that Mary Landrieu is the most vulnerable Democrat in the Senate and will surely lose the upcoming election in this reddest of states, etc., etc., etc. Each election is relatively close, but she has proven that she knows the winning formula for success and the state is surely no more conservative than when she won her first statewide race a few decades ago. There is also some unexpected news that has broken in the past few days that puts her in the most advantageous position she has ever found herself prior to an election.

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Wed Feb 20, 2013 at 02:43 PM PST

Worm Turns for Rick Scott

by bywaterbob

Well, well, well.... From todays Tampa Bay Times:

"Saying his mother's death last year provided "new perspective" on one of the biggest decisions he's faced as Florida's governor, Rick Scott announced Tuesday that he will urge the Legislature to accept federal dollars to expand Medicaid.While the federal government is committed to pay 100 percent of the cost of new people in Medicaid, I cannot, in good conscience, deny the uninsured access to care," Scott said at a hastily arranged press conference at the Governor's Mansion.
The announcement reflects an amazing policy reversal for Scott, who came to politics in 2009 with the sole purpose of defeating President Barack Obama's health care law and whose spokesman said as recently as June that Florida would not expand Medicaid....

His endorsement of the Medicaid expansion came hours after the federal government agreed to grant Florida a conditional waiver to privatize Medicaid statewide for the state's roughly 3 million current recipients.

The two announcements appear linked.

For weeks, Scott has said the debate on expanding Medicaid was directly tied to the state's application for the waivers it needs to allow private companies to run the program.

Does anyone  understand what this conditional waver is?

Most importantly for my fellow citizens of Louisiana... now that Rick Scott has thrown in the towel, how much longer can Bobby Jindal live in denial on this issue?

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That was quick.

http://www.nola.com/...

I really don't know what to make of this as usually no matter how embarassing the results, Jindal will try to stay the course.  Not much to say but thought it was a good idea to post this hot story.

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Thu Aug 23, 2012 at 07:16 AM PDT

Semi-Closeted Jew

by bywaterbob

There have been some excellent diaries using undeniable facts to refudiate (sorry I love that word) the GOP's fantasy claim of substantial Jewish political support. This diary isn't really a sophisticated factual rebuttal of that argument, but a statement pointing out some simple truths.

Poll

Can Hank Williams Jr. tell the difference between a Jew and Muslim?

0%0 votes
88%8 votes
11%1 votes

| 9 votes | Vote | Results

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I wonder if anyone is going to spend money in Ryan's congressional district to seriously contest him there. He seems vulnerable. A semi-obvious tact would be to turn the "Obama closed the auto factory in 2008" video into an effective counter ad.

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Wed Jul 11, 2012 at 04:38 PM PDT

Rick Perry Won't Do It

by bywaterbob

Texas will not be able to opt out of participating in Obamacare, despite Rick Perry's avowed claims to the contrary.

Texas has the highest rate of uninsured citizens in the country. Not coincidentally it also has one of the highest costs per hospital for providing unpaid care to its uninsured residents that show up in the Emergency room for non-emergent care as well truely urgent care. Obamacare largely eliminates this loss from their future balance sheets.

In addition the flow of federally paid Medicaid dollars to the state under Obamacare is critically important to the survival of many hospitals, particularly in small town and rural locations.

Their are 667 hospitals in the state of Texas according to the American Hospital Directory (ahd.com). These hospitals range in size from less than 100 beds up to approximately 1400 beds in size. Individually their yearly gross revenues range from on the low end approximately 100 million dollars, up to several billion dollars. For example, Baptist in San Antonio earned more than 3 billion dollars in gross revenue and more than 100 million in net income in their latest report in the American Hospital Directory.

Simply put, the wealth and economic power of the 667 hospitals in Texas is several times that of all the Kochs, Adelsons and other billionaires in this country combined. In Texas (as most places) money talks and Rick Perry always listens. The 667 hospitals in Texas and the hugely influential Texas Hospital Association will win this battle and Rick Perry will lose.

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