Today's (09/30/20, 3:00 pm PST) Snapshot of the Presidential Race at 538
This is my first diary in many years. I want to thank a poster at TPM, who gave me the idea for this diary. I hope it will be of some use and also help to calm some nerves.
I found information on the National Council of State Legislators (NCSL) website useful as it tabulates when the mail/absentee ballot counting can begin and when it can be reported. Some of the information is comforting as it suggest we should know the results on election night itself, thus dampening the orangeturds attempts to delay/distract/destroy the process.
First, here is the NCSL website for you to view
www.ncsl.org/…
Second, I have collated the states with close races as of today, 09/30/20 from the fivethirtyeight site and create the information below for a quick summary. ( I wish I could add colored font to clearly show the blue vs red)
| STATE |
Current Status |
| When absentee/Mail Ballot Counting and Reporting Can Begin |
|
Affiliation of Governor |
| Affiliation of Secretary of State |
|
Arizona
|
Biden 48.5.% : Trump 44.9% |
Counting begins 14 days before election day, results released 1 hour after polls close on election day |
Republican |
Democratic |
Florida
|
Biden 47% : Trump 46% |
counting can being 22 days before, note clear when results can be released |
Republican |
Republican |
Georgia
|
Biden 46.9% : Trump 46.9% |
Counting begins 7 am on election day |
Republican |
Republican |
Iowa
|
Biden 45.9.% : Trump 46.5% |
On Election Day, at a time set by the election commissioner to allow a reasonable amount of time to complete the count of absentee ballots by 10 p.m. on Election Day. |
Republican |
Republican |
Michigan
|
Biden 50% : Trump 43% |
Counting begins on election day |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Minnesota
|
Biden 50.8% : Trump 41.8% |
Counting begins after polls close on election day |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Nevada
|
Biden 48.2% : Trump 42.2% |
Results can be reported after polls close on election day |
Democratic |
Republican |
North Carolina
|
Biden 47.5.% : Trump 46.4% |
Counting begins 14 days before election day, results released after 7:30 pm on election day |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Ohio
|
Biden 48% : Trump 46.9% |
Absentee ballots may be scanned prior to the election, but the count may not be disclosed prior to the closing of the polls. |
Republican |
Republican |
Pennsylvania
|
Biden 49.9% : Trump 44.4% |
At 7am on Election Day, but the votes may not be recorded or published until after the polls close. |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Texas
|
Biden 45.9.% : Trump 47.8% |
When the polls open on Election Day. In a jurisdiction with more than 100,000 people, counting can begin at the end of the early voting by personal appearance period. |
Republican |
Non Partisan |
Wisconsin
|
Biden 50.6% : Trump 43.7% |
After the polls open on Election Day. |
Democratic |
Democratic |
Finally, here are links to the sites from which I obtained the various data
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...
|
https://ballotpedia.org/List_of_governors_of_the_American_states
| https://ballotpedia.org/Secretary_of_State_(state_executive_office) |
|
Thank you
p.s. happy to share the full excel file of the states if anybody needs it
UPDATE: The ballotpedia website below has a very similar table as well as other useful information
ballotpedia.org/...
