Our top 7 Senate most likely Pick-ups, Poll Results from TODAY!

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Monday November 05, 2007 · 7:08 AM PST

2007/11/05 · 07:08

Wow SurveyUSA did some major polling in our top races and gives us some great results, you can skip this Diary and just go over to:
http://www.surveyusa.com/...

And see for yourself, but follow me below the fold and I'll go over some GREAT NEWS!

mhinds01

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Friday November 24, 2006 · 11:40 AM PST

2006/11/24 · 11:40

Joe Conason makes excellent points I've been behind all along but they don't seem to have gotten much media attention

http://www.salon.com/...

Fortunately, the choice is not limited to Hastings or Harman. Among the possible alternatives is Rush Holt, D-N.J., a physicist and former State Department intelligence officer who is not only highly qualified to chair HPSCI but also has served on the committee with distinction. His honesty has never been questioned. For this job, above all others, Pelosi should honor her campaign promises and choose the best.

mhinds01

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Sunday November 05, 2006 · 6:55 PM PST

2006/11/05 · 18:55

In addition, Sen. John Kerry's "botched joke" about the war in Iraq attracted enormous attention. Fully 84% of voters say they have heard a lot or a little about Kerry's remarks with 60% saying they have heard a lot. By comparison, just 26% say they have heard a lot about President Bush's statement that he will keep Donald Rumsfeld as secretary of defense until he leaves office in 2009. Most voters say Kerry's statement is not a serious consideration in their vote, but 18% of independent voters say it did raise serious doubts about voting for a Democratic candidate.

http://people-press.org/...

Well notice we went from saying "oh 20-23pts, thats too high for a generic ballot number, a more serious number would be a 15pt advantage"

Now we have a:
4, 6 and 7 pt advantage...man averaged out thats barely what the Republicans had in 94 and there were 100 open seats and no ridiculous gerrymandering or the complete stupidity of Democrats in 1994 who didn't prepare
Read More

Tester Keeps 50% & 4pt Lead! Latest Rasmussen (Nov1) Also NJ

mhinds01

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Thursday November 02, 2006 · 10:43 AM PST

2006/11/02 · 10:43

RASMUSSEN PREMIUM SECTION (No Link) Montana: Also from Wednesday night... Democrat Jon Tester leads Senator Conrad Burns, 50% to 46%. Data and Article Coming Later.

No momentum for Burns! 4 undecided and the challenger with 50%, who do you think has this race? Remember this was after the Kerry blurp

Now it's all up to winning 2/4...AZ, VA, MO and outside chance of TN

cheer up everyone, imagine how awesome it is going to be running the Senate! Senatorial hearings just sound much better than House hearings :) Read More

Zogby Interactive Polls for most Senate/Governors Races (worthless but fun)

mhinds01

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Monday October 30, 2006 · 10:14 PM PST

2006/10/30 · 22:14

http://online.wsj.com/...

I thought there was going to be a November release but I guess this counts

It's frustrating to see some good numbers in race we like, for example:
Menendez leading by 6
Cardin up by 10
Lieberman-Lamont a 4.9% race!

Then you see the laughable numbers:
In Ohio Brown is only up 1.4% In every real poll its 10+!
In Minnesota its only a 7pt race, in WA, 4!
The most ridiculous is this: In colorado, the Republican has taken a 0.2 lead in the governors race! haha the Dem has a +12 average in the last 5 and the last 10 polls! To think they are all off by 12 pts! Ridiculous

That's what you get when you have these online samples, Zogby needs to ditch this ASAP, he's already looked foolish in the past theres no need to continue it with these online pollings

8-point race in CT-Sen! Rasmussen October 29th

mhinds01

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Sunday October 29, 2006 · 10:22 AM PST

2006/10/29 · 10:22

Connecticut: Rasmussen Premium Section Pollster.com has confirmation of poll

Lieberman (I) 48%
Lamont (D) 40%
Schlesinger (R) 9%

At the beginning of October, Lieberman was +11 (with leaners). +17 on Qpac. Huge news is that Schlesinger has reached 9%. Before this, he'd been at 6%

This is HUGE, We all know Alan Schelsinger is going to get more than he's polling (with the R governor and Lieberman's ballot position) So it's more like a 3-4 point race, which with Lamont's superior GOTV (and to be honest, superior voters) Lamont can easily make this up and win!

The momentum is all anti-joe this week, lets keep it that way, fire up the liberal base and encourage your GOP friends to vote for Alan, and you can really win this!

Update: Go to Pollster.com to check for yourself now! :)

For message board discussion, check out the non-profit Liberty Lounge message board, the site has pro and anti Lamont voters, and my friend really would like some company to debate political issues! He's very lonely :( No ads once you register, which is free ofcourse, its all about getting more Democratic debates online! Read More

VA-Sen: 1 point race! (Rasmussen Oct 25th)

mhinds01

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Wednesday October 25, 2006 · 5:28 PM PDT

2006/10/25 · 17:28

Allen 49%
Webb 48%

Rasmussen Premium Section

We all know which way the democratic wave is blowing, that'll be enough to push him over the top, the GOP GOTV isn't going to work in VA, Kerry came closer there than he should have

I think this tops MO and TN as the #5 pickup possibility Read More

Why Dick Morris is an Idiotic Partisan Hack (Project, Need help!)

mhinds01

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Tuesday October 24, 2006 · 1:05 PM PDT

2006/10/24 · 13:05

Everyone at DKos knows Dick Morris is a partisan hack, who although helped Clinton in 96, has since turned bitter and his bitterness has made him stupid, and his hate for the Clintons and need for money has made him make all sorts of dumb predictions that don't pan out

My two examples I know of first hand would be:

NY Post article (no link sorry)
Claims CT primary will have a very low turnout, and if Lieberman didn't back out, he would be assured a loss

A few weeks later, he wrote in the NY Post that Lieberman was going to win after he lost the primary

After the British airlines bomb scare, he predicted on O'Really that Bush's approval would go up "at least 10pts" it went up 2-4, some actually had him go negative...also he "ripped up all his predictions of Democrats having a shot at the house"

Lefthandedman has more, that are listend below, but what I need:

I need people finding lists to articles of actual predictions he made, and then we can make a wikipedia entry on all the false predictions and contradictions he has made, so that everytime Dick Morris is brought up, we can use one link to dismiss him Read More

Arizona Senate Race within 5 pts according to SUSA

mhinds01

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Tuesday October 17, 2006 · 8:19 PM PDT

2006/10/17 · 20:19

48% Kyl (R)
43% Pederson (D)

http://www.surveyusa.com/...

With an increased Democrat wave in 3 weeks, this race is EASILY WINABLE

How come we only talk about Virginia, Tennesse, and Missouri? Why not throw Arizona in...we have Democrats picking up federal seats, a popular governor...the rave is riding wtih Pederson, he has spents millions, and the Govenors turnout machine will get Dems to polls to vote Pederson...

So Cmon people focus on Pederson! Give him some buzz! Lets scream and chant about it until Charlie Cook and others in the press are throwing Arizona in as a "Toss-up" his numbers are now identical to Webb, yet no one is talking about Arizona!

WaPo: Rove says 8-10 seat loss AT WORST

mhinds01

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Sunday October 15, 2006 · 12:00 AM PDT

2006/10/15 · 00:00

Some Republicans on Capitol Hill are bracing for losses of 25 House seats or more. But party operatives say Rove is predicting that, at worst, Republicans will lose only 8 to 10 seats -- shy of the 15-seat threshold that would cede control to Democrats for the first time since the 1994 elections and probably hobble the balance of Bush's second term.

In the Senate, Rove and associates believe, a Democratic victory would require the opposition to "run the table," as one official put it, to pick up the necessary six seats -- a prospect the White House seems to regard as nearly inconceivable.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/...

8-10 at most...Senate loss "inconceivable"? What the hell is this guy smoking? Read More

I don't see how we can lose: District by District look

mhinds01

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Wednesday October 11, 2006 · 9:37 PM PDT

2006/10/11 · 21:37

If you look at all the races going on, you can't help but get to magic # 15 pretty easily...

Now ofcourse, we could capture bin Laden or something extreme, but realistically, even if we take a turn for the worse...the GBA goes below 7 points, Bushs approval hits 45+...anything...it would take a minor miracle for us NOT to win the House...and thats not Hubris, just look at the races with me:

First place, start off with two great sources:
MyDD's House Forecast
http://www.mydd.com/...

Cook's House Forecast
http://www.cookpolitical.com/... Read More

Where are the Democrats on the NK Nuke Test? crickets UPDATED

mhinds01

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday October 09, 2006 · 10:01 AM PDT

2006/10/09 · 10:01

This should be open season on Bush by Democratic leaders...nonpartisan journalists for YEARS have been complaining about the Bush doctrine towards NK

The Dems need to set the narrative first before Bush does, and I haven't heard anything from the Democrats on the issue.

Where are the "Bush and the GOP failed the country and put us in danger by putting us on a policy that has NK conducting nuclear tests without fear"

crickets

And where is the pressure from the online community to get their Senator/Rep to speak out? Are we trying to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory...are we going to wait until Bush goes "It is time to end partisan politics and unite behind me and my partys attempt to deal with NK" and has his minions blame Clinton

Solution? CONTACT YOUR SENATOR AND ASK THAT HE SPEAK OUT AGAINST OUR FAILED NORTH KOREAN FOREIGN POLICY!

*UPDATE*

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/

Hillary Clinton speaks out and calls it "failed policies" of the Bush Admin...too bad its a back of the website story...someone needs to put pressure to get these comments moved up! I tried, but I need all of you to help

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Our top 7 Senate most likely Pick-ups, Poll Results from TODAY!

We need a netroots campaign for Holt over Harman and Hastings to Chair House Intel Committee

Pew: 1/5 of Independent voters "Kerry comment raised doubts for voting Democratic"

Tester Keeps 50% & 4pt Lead! Latest Rasmussen (Nov1) Also NJ

Zogby Interactive Polls for most Senate/Governors Races (worthless but fun)

8-point race in CT-Sen! Rasmussen October 29th

VA-Sen: 1 point race! (Rasmussen Oct 25th)

Why Dick Morris is an Idiotic Partisan Hack (Project, Need help!)

Arizona Senate Race within 5 pts according to SUSA

WaPo: Rove says 8-10 seat loss AT WORST

I don't see how we can lose: District by District look

Where are the Democrats on the NK Nuke Test? crickets UPDATED