Obama vs. McCain: Swing State Polls

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday June 12, 2008 · 1:18 PM PDT

2008/06/12 · 13:18

cross-posted from Election Inspection

Obama is faring pretty well against McCain. Below the flip, we'll take a look at swing state polling.

The summary: Obama 317, McCain 221.

Poll

372 votes Show Results

Will Obama win Virginia?

372 votes Vote Now!

Will Obama win Virginia?

Yes

324 votes

12 votes

Dunno

36 votes

ARG! Dick Bennett's Crazy Logic

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday June 08, 2008 · 9:54 PM PDT

2008/06/08 · 21:54

cross-posted at Election Inspection

Dick Bennett hates the fact that his outfit, ARG, is the least reputable of all the major pollsters. Their reputation is so bad that Real Clear Politics won't even count them in their average. We've pointed out before how miserably wrong most of their polls have been. So it's hard not to laugh when Bennett says something really stupid like this.

Check out the crazy quote below the flip.

Poll

30 votes Show Results

Grrrrr... ARG!

30 votes Vote Now!

Grrrrr... ARG!

Oh, ARG's totally accurate

2 votes

ARG's polls are insanely off-the-mark

26 votes

Other/Dunno

2 votes

Vice Presidential Straw Poll

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday June 04, 2008 · 5:35 AM PDT

2008/06/04 · 05:35

Now that the nomination is wrapped up, who do you want to be the Vice Presidential nominee? If I left off your favorite choice, tell me in the comments.

I'm assuming no one's going to be begging for Evan Bayh.

The last time I did one of these was back in January, and it was tied between Clark and Webb.

Poll

560 votes Show Results

Who should Barack Obama pick for VP?

560 votes Vote Now!

Who should Barack Obama pick for VP?

Hillary Clinton

17 votes

John Edwards

80 votes

Bill Richardson

93 votes

Joe Biden

55 votes

Jim Webb

69 votes

Wesley Clark

37 votes

Kathleen Sebelius

78 votes

Ed Rendell

8 votes

Chuck Hagel

20 votes

Anthony Zinni

4 votes

Janet Napolitano

4 votes

Claire McCaskill

9 votes

Brian Schweitzer

26 votes

Russ Feingold

28 votes

Other

32 votes

ARG: Clinton wins South Dakota by 26%

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday June 02, 2008 · 11:18 AM PDT

2008/06/02 · 11:18

cross-posted from Election Inspection

Seriously? Is this actually possible? This is what ARG shows for Montana and South Dakota:

ARG: South Dakota Primary 5/31-6/1, MoE +/-4%
Clinton: 60%
Obama: 34%

ARG: Montana Primary 5/31-6/1, MoE +/-4%
Clinton: 44%
Obama: 48%

The Montana result is improbable enough, but the South Dakota poll is either the most stunning upset of the entire election cycle, or the most bone-jarringly wrong poll in history. I've never seen a poll - even an ARG poll - this astronomically far away from the expectations going into a primary. I don't even know what to say - I want to believe ARG is just a terrible pollster, but even if they were off by 20 points, it would still be a stunning upset. I give up! SUSA, Rasmussen, I beg you, save me from this insanity!!!

Poll

425 votes Show Results

Will Clinton win South Dakota?

425 votes Vote Now!

Will Clinton win South Dakota?

Yes

73 votes

266 votes

I don't know

86 votes

GOP Ethics Chair cheats on wife - support Vietnam Vet Bill O'Neill for Memorial Day

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday May 26, 2008 · 7:56 AM PDT

2008/05/26 · 07:56

Rep. Steve LaTourette of Ohio is scum, but his opponent, Bill O'Neill is a Vietnam veteran we can really get behind. Summary of this Diary:

Support Bill O'Neill, winner of Election Inspection's Memorial Day Donor Bomb contest to support a veteran running for Congress.

Why O'Neill is good for Veterans, Labor, Civil Rights, Small Business, and restoring the rule of law.

The sordid tale of GOP Rep. Steve LaTourette, a phony moderate, a corrupt scumbag who is literally in bed with his lobbyist, and a toothless ethics chair who made a mockery of the job and was still yanked by Tom DeLay for the smallest ounce of insubordination.

Please donate to Bill O'Neill for Memorial Day! Let's give our veterans and the families of the fallen a congress that understands them and will vote to end the Iraq War.

Poll

24 votes Show Results

Will you donate?

24 votes Vote Now!

Will you donate?

Yes

12 votes

No, I'll make some excuse.

12 votes

Dick Morris: Wrong on Iran

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday May 19, 2008 · 9:31 AM PDT

2008/05/19 · 09:31

Dick Morris thinks Obama is wrong on Iran. Yeah, the guy who's been wrong about everything and writes for NewsMax thinks he should be giving Obama foreign policy advice.

If you want to know who Dick Morris is, and why us Obama supporters should never listen to him even when he's criticizing Hillary Clinton, read on. If you want to understand why Obama's Iran policy is going to be more effective at encouraging political reform in Iran than Bush's isolation policy, read on. And if you want to read a good, old-fashioned blogosphere SMACKDOWN of a Media Blowhard Who Really Deserves It - Read on!

Poll

104 votes Show Results

Dick Morris...

104 votes Vote Now!

Dick Morris...

Everything he says is worthless - never take him seriously

90 votes

His point of view is valid as long as he agrees with me

12 votes

Other

2 votes

An Obama Cabinet

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday May 09, 2008 · 5:18 AM PDT

2008/05/09 · 05:18

cross-posted from Election Inspection

Someone over at TPM invited guesses at who could fill various Obama cabinet positions. This is a subject I’ve been thinking about for a long time. So, here are my picks — but I’m no Jim Johnson, so don’t call me out for not vetting these ideas fully! Constructive criticism, and your ideas, will be appreciated.

Follow below the flip!

Poll

135 votes Show Results

Who should be Obama's VP?

135 votes Vote Now!

Who should be Obama's VP?

Kathleen Sebelius

29 votes

Bill Richardson

29 votes

Wesley Clark

22 votes

Jim Webb

11 votes

Hillary Clinton

4 votes

Tim Kaine

3 votes

Ted Strickland

0 votes

Janet Napolitano

5 votes

Joe Biden

7 votes

John Edwards

5 votes

Al Gore

3 votes

Russ Feingold

7 votes

Chris Dodd

2 votes

Michael Bloomberg

7 votes

Brian Schweitzer

1 vote

Final Polls and Election Inspection's Predictions

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday May 06, 2008 · 11:02 AM PDT

2008/05/06 · 11:02

cross-posted from Election Inspection

Election Inspection's final predictions:

Indiana:
X Stryker: Clinton will win Indiana by 4%-10%, with a median of 6.5% and a net delegate gain of 4.
Elliot: 3.4% win for Clinton and a delegate tie.

North Carolina:
X Stryker: Obama will win North Carolina by 7%-17%, with a median of 12% and a net gain of 11 delegates.
Elliot: Obama wins by 18.8% and a 15 delegate net gain.

Final polls and analysis below the fold. Feel free to add your predictions in the comments!

Poll

165 votes Show Results

Final overall result for delegates?

165 votes Vote Now!

Final overall result for delegates?

Obama net gain of 20 or more

9 votes

Obama net gain of 10-20

75 votes

Obama net gain of 1-10

72 votes

Tie

2 votes

Clinton net gain of 1-10

3 votes

Clinton net gain of 10-20

0 votes

Clinton net gain of 20 or more

4 votes

Latest PA Polls: Rasmussen C+5, with Election Inspection analysis

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday April 21, 2008 · 8:39 AM PDT

2008/04/21 · 08:39

cross-posted from Election Inspection

Here it is, today's Rasmussen Pennsylvania poll!

Rasmussen - PA 4/20 MOE +/-4%
Clinton: 49%
Obama: 44%
Not sure: 7%

Below the flip, the rest of the polls this week with trending, my analysis, and prediction.

Poll

176 votes Show Results

How will the undecideds break?

176 votes Vote Now!

How will the undecideds break?

For Obama

43 votes

For Clinton

64 votes

About even

69 votes

Primary Poll review: Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Indiana, Kentucky, South Dakota

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday April 16, 2008 · 10:02 AM PDT

2008/04/16 · 10:02

cross-posted from Election Inspection

Below the flip, a rundown of the latest polls in Pennsylvania and North Carolina with predictions, plus Indiana, Kentucky, and South Dakota polls too.

Poll

231 votes Show Results

Who will win the Indiana Democratic primary?

231 votes Vote Now!

Who will win the Indiana Democratic primary?

Obama

171 votes

Clinton

29 votes

Other

1 vote

I don't know

30 votes

1Q Fundraising Totals - In A Neat Little Table

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday April 15, 2008 · 2:03 PM PDT

2008/04/15 · 14:03

Below the fold, compiled from Swing State Project, are fundraising totals for Democratic and Republicans running for Senate and House races across the USA. They are arranged in alphabetical order by state, from Alabama to Nebraska. The rest are posted on my blog, Election Inspection.

The bottom line? We did good this quarter.

XStryker

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday February 25, 2008 · 10:26 PM PST

2008/02/25 · 22:26

Below the flip is an IM conversation with a very ardent supporter of Hillary Clinton. He does not represent the average Clinton supporter. He is a real person and this is a real conversation. We shall call him... "Tim" (not his real name). I've also replaced my real AIM screenname with a facsimile.

Note: His language is so profane, I have decided to apply asterisks to it. I recently found that DailyKos is blocked at my place of business now due to "profanity". That is a shame, and BTW I checked, freeperville is not blocked, go figure.

Poll

167 votes Show Results

What do you think?

167 votes Vote Now!

What do you think?

Tim is a jerk

10 votes

Tim needs professional help

110 votes

Tim is right

5 votes

This shouldn't have been posted

32 votes

Pie

10 votes

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