from my political blog, Basie!
In the comments section of my blog, a reader named Walker inquires as to whether I believe the Democrats have a shot at retaking the Senate next fall. Well, I'm going to give somewhat of an answer -- but also a bit of a cop-out.
There are a few possibilities floating out there these days, the most likely of which plays out as follows. There is a slight breeze against the President and the Republican Party, as often happens in off-year elections, leading to moderate pickups in states most conducive to Democrats. In this situation, the Democrats pick up seats in Pennsylvania and Rhode Island -- and perhaps Ohio -- and hold on to difficult seats in Nebraska, Minnesota and Florida. Numerically, this leaves Senate Dems with 46-48 members, meaning increased strength, but still weaker than the period of 2001-2005.
Another distinct possibility...
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