"Flattening" the curve? It's getting steeper.

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Friday June 05, 2020 · 7:24 PM PDT

2020/06/05 · 19:24

This is a clear visual. This link will take you to the now-familiar Johns, Hopkins U “Covid dashboard” website that has a bunch of graphs and other info. In the lower right corner I see the “graph of time v total worldwide cases”, which I’ve been watching since it was well under a million. It’s pushing 7 million right now, and that graph curve, which had been holding pretty steady as a progression for the past almost 2 months has, in the past 2 weeks taken a noticeable turn upwards, towards more cases sooner. Another chart there shows US deaths at over 109,000 as of this evening.

It’s very visible if you hold a straight edge against the flat lower part of the curve. Observe the deviation upwards. That’s likely the second wave gathering now that restrictions are being relaxed, exactly as the xperts have been predicting.

I’m sure there exist similar graphs of time x cases and also time x deaths for just the US, but I haven’t seen one yet.

www.arcgis.com/…

This Johns Hopkins U site is a trove of info and they host others as well.

Gallup, NM under quarantine today. Riot Control Act invoked by Governor Lujan-Grisham

claude

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Friday May 01, 2020 · 1:51 PM PDT

2020/05/01 · 13:51

Follow the link to the Governor’s Emergency Order. I can’t copy or paste it out of FB, where I just saw it. Gallup is a major shopping town for the vast Navajo Res. and the Res is having a huge outbreak right now. I didn’t know it has gotten this bad.

Here’s a better link, thanks to loggersbrat

Wanna save the Post Office? Just say no.

claude

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Sunday April 12, 2020 · 11:20 AM PDT

2020/04/12 · 11:20

Vote for the USPS with your dollars; simply don’t buy from an on-line retailer who will not deliver by USPS.

You. Don’t. Need. It. That. Bad.

Yes, buying stamps funds the USPS, which, BTW, the Government is CONSTITUTIONALLY REQUIRED TO DO.

BUT THE OTHER HALF OF THE EQUATION is to NOT fund retailers who don’t ship by USPS and are thus actively working to destroy the USPS. Not to mention, if you happen to be a small retailer yourself, using USPS to ship, even if it’s a tad “inconvenient”.

IF you are actually serious about saving your Post Office, that is...

This is where the commies shine.

claude

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Saturday March 21, 2020 · 12:59 PM PDT

2020/03/21 · 12:59

So an old friend living in Seattle emailed me this link of the exhausted and fresh off the plane from China Canadian epidemiologist sent with his team to study exactly what the Chinese Government has done to achieve the dramatic reduction in COVID cases they are now experiencing.

He wrote:

Chinese communism is embedded well. The people are eagerly supporting the national directives on COVID-19 containment and remediation. This is an area where Western Democracy is much weaker; too much concern about personal freedoms when we need to pull together. This is not a government plot to scale back our liberties; it's a rational response to a pandemic. This is Bruce Aylward, Canadian WHO doctor who just came back from China. Just off the plane, and sleep deprived. Start at minute 9:00 to skip introductory

remarks.

YouTube Video

I found this informative and fascinating and I urge you to listen. I realize now that this was recorded about 3 weeks ago; I initially thought this was fresh stuff. but still worth the watching if you haven’t seen it.

The comment thread that comes along with this is somewhat dismaying, but maybe I just don’t get around enough any more.

And then there are the politico/cultural implications as the Western paradigm of personal individual freedom and autonomy bumps into a 5000 year old cohesive (and not especially diverse) culture.

Say what you will about China, but they got shit done, and were prepared for it. Pay special attention to Dr. Aylward as he describes in great detail just what China was able to accomplish. He is summarizing the report his team made to WHO, which he turned in to them that same morning.

This being from 3 weeks ago, I suspect we have already been seeing some of this information being put to use here, and worldwide.

Power Outage; BRB

claude

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Wednesday March 18, 2020 · 8:32 PM PDT

2020/03/18 · 20:32

Running on the ups backup right now. Power out here at the edge of the Plains goes down fairly often, enough that it’s not remarkable. But tonight, in this end-of-the-world mood, who knows if it will come back as it always has?

But if I never show up again...that’s what happened.

Roger Montoya for NM House District 40

claude

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Sunday March 08, 2020 · 8:05 AM PDT

2020/03/08 · 08:05

I’d like to introduce you all to my brother-in-law Roger Montoya, who has just announced his candidacy as a Democrat for New Mexico House District 40.

Roger is one of the most extraordinary people I know, a multi-talented painter, dancer, chef and recent runner up in CNN’s contest for Local Heroes for his ongoing work with local youth in his dance classes and a person who has lived with HIV for most of his adult life. I have known him nearly thirty five years, ever since his sister married my brother and I attended a Thanksgiving dinner with him and his large family at the home of his parents Joe and Dorothy in the Espanola Valley of New Mexico’s unique “el Norte” (NM CD3), home to a population of native Hispanics who settled into the area starting in 1598.

Roger attended the recent SOTU event as the guest of Rep Ben Ray Lujan, who is now running to replace Tom Udall as one of NM’s two Democratic Senators.

To learn more about Roger and his life of service to his community, please visit his FB page
Roger Montoya for New Mexico

If you are able please donate to his campaign via ActBlue
donate

And might I suggest using the secret Kossak Kode of adding $0.01 to your donated amount so we can track support from the Kosmmunity.

Thanks for reading, and supporting, if you can. Roger is the real deal, someone very special, and that really means something going from a jaundiced old cynic like me.

B.O.H.I.C.A

claude

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Friday January 03, 2020 · 7:37 AM PST

2020/01/03 · 07:37

Bend over. Here it comes again.

Just a reminder for the youngins’ about how long this shit has been going on. When this song (rarely heard, I can’t imagine why) hit the airwaves in 1986, many of us had already been slogging away in the trenches of opposition and resistance for over 20 years.

YouTube Video

listen to the words. Then ask me why I have attitude.

I am impressed by our candidates.

claude

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Thursday December 19, 2019 · 8:17 PM PST

2019/12/19 · 20:17

I waited until now to sit through an entire debate, and I and partner have been here for the whole show, en-fucking-tranced by the quality of discourse. Really.

I’ve been die-hard Bernie since forever, with Warren as strong 2nd, but I have to say that after listening (and watching) what everyone had to say and cheering almost all of it, I’ll have little problem with beeing all in for any of them if it came down to it. Except maybe Steyer, however much I admire his earnestness.

But over all, I am impressed that a real debate can actually be had. Impressed by the extraordinarily low level of bullshit exhibited. OMG!! real issues being discuses!
Amy Klobuchar becomes more and more impressive as a fighter, even as Mayor Pete demonstrates his dancing ability to stay ahead of the issue du jour.

I think I am going to have to accept that whoever the nominee is, they will incorporate into their vision all the insight that we have seen here tonight.

I’m not going to inflict you with the tedium of my opinion of who “WON” THE DEBATE. We all won by the the quality and substance AND vitality of the discourse.

OTOH, as to the “electability” of any of these people, based on whatever, who the fuck really knows. Was Barack Obama “electable” in December of 2007?

But right now, after that debate, fwiw, I feel positive for us and for the Country.

Peace.

Don't like abortion? Don't have one. Don't like FaceBook?

claude

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Monday October 28, 2019 · 11:26 AM PDT

2019/10/28 · 11:26

Be sure to include a button that links to FB on every page of your favorite venue.

Yes, I know: we have no choice in this matter here at DKos, and we are all experienced cynics and inured to the cognitive dissonance. I’m sure there will be Very Serious Answers as to why we are to be linked to FB despite all the compelling reasons we should be shunning it.

It’s a bit like how we all bitch about cable news, as we cough up our monthly cable payment.

No, I don’t have a solution to this problem, but I do suspect that any solution has to start with acknowledging that we collude in perpetuating it as long as we live with the dissonance. I welcome your suggestions.

"Mr. President, I've got a few scores to settle..." (updated)

claude

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Monday September 09, 2019 · 8:24 AM PDT

2019/09/09 · 08:24

Valerie Plame speaks with Tim Combs as Claude Hayward looks on. Portal of the historic Castaneda Hotel, Las Vegas, New Mexico, 8/16/2019.

Valerie Plame is running to succeed Ben Ray Lujan as my Representative for New Mexico’s 3rd Congressional District. She just released this video:

YouTube Video

The ad speaks for itself.

I’ve met her, spoken to her, looked her in the eyes and shaken her hand. I’m in.

UPDATE

I am not sure if I have ever seen a diary fall off the Rec list and then come back up.

I just thought it was a cool ad, and shared accordingly, but this has been very informative to see Ms. Plame examined critically, if not necessarily carefully. The DKos vetting squad at work.

I’m going to suggest up the line that she read all these comments and perhaps respond if she feels anything more substantive an objection than “CARPETBAGGER”!!! is raised.

When she noticed my “Ike was Right” (about the MIC) button, she immediately augmented that with “...and Intelligence complex.”

National Mall Webcams? Can you find one that's live now?

claude

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Thursday July 04, 2019 · 2:33 PM PDT

2019/07/04 · 14:33

Silly wabbit, me. Got this idea to view the Mall from a webcam there.

Used this search query: “National Mall Webcams”

So I’m surprised at how few webcams there are listed for DC. Anybody have any info on DC webcams that might not be censored that could show what’s happening on the Mall?

For some reason I am not in the least surprised to find myself suspecting Trump’s henchmen of closing down the cams. Can someone talk me down off the CT ceiling by finding a working webcam showing the Mall or the Lincoln Memorial or whatever there is that’s a live feed?

How about the “Media”? How about a private mini-drone camera feed?

Am I really meant to accept that there simply is NO live view of the proceedings in front of the LincMem available?

Happy Birthday! to Daily Kos, and to me.

claude

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Sunday May 26, 2019 · 7:41 AM PDT

2019/05/26 · 07:41

DKos began on May 26, 2002. I started a bit earlier…

I am having a slice of the world’s best chocolate birthday cake for breakfast; wish I could share it with all of you…

Thanks to all for tolerating me, and to Markos for tolerating all the rest of us for all this time.

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