The End Game

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Saturday March 01, 2008 · 7:30 PM PST

2008/03/01 · 19:30

I am slowly coming to the realization that we may be heading to the worst possible situation - a fight for the democratic nomination all the way to the convention. We are now 3 days from March 4 and it is looking like the primaries are going to deliver us a split decision. We may well be at the exact same place we are now on March 5th. If we are, this race is a whole new ball game.

more after the jump...

Poll

146 votes Show Results

When do you think the race ends?

146 votes Vote Now!

When do you think the race ends?

March 5: Obama wins Ohio & Texas

44 votes

March 5: Obama wins Texas

37 votes

March 12: Obama wins Texas, Wyoming & Mississippi

32 votes

At the convention: Obama

13 votes

At the convention: Clinton

8 votes

April 22: Obama wins PA

7 votes

April 22: Clinton wins PA

5 votes

Waiting for the Dam to Break

hamiltondj

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Sunday February 10, 2008 · 9:02 PM PST

2008/02/10 · 21:02

Digby's Got it:

Personally, I don't think we'll have a tie much longer. It's hard to see how either candidate can unify the country if they can't demonstrate that they can unify the Democratic Party. Something has to break and I suspect voters will be the ones to do it.

That's the way I see it too. We are heading for a showdown March 4th that will decide this election.

more after the jump...

Poll

290 votes Show Results

When Do You Think It ends?

290 votes Vote Now!

When Do You Think It ends?

Before March 4th

17 votes

March 4th - Obama wins big & Clinton drops out

160 votes

March 4th - Clinton wins really really big & Obama drops out

6 votes

April 22nd - Clinton drops out

39 votes

April 22nd - Obama drops out

7 votes

Some time after April 22 , but before the last primary

26 votes

After the last primary

10 votes

At the convention

15 votes

When the last dog dies

10 votes

How it could end

hamiltondj

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Saturday February 09, 2008 · 9:47 PM PST

2008/02/09 · 21:47

Time to start wondering how this will all end.
Maybe its a bit premature, but I think this will be relevant come tuesday night.

As I see it, TX and OH could end this campaign. I see two issues to end it:

Will Obama win TX & OH?

Will Clinton see the writing on the wall and bow out if he does?

More after the flip....

hamiltondj

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Saturday February 09, 2008 · 8:53 PM PST

2008/02/09 · 20:53

This is pledged delegates only, no supers.
This includes projections for those delegates that have not yet been officially awarded from super tuesday.

Thoughts?

hamiltondj

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Wednesday February 06, 2008 · 12:19 AM PST

2008/02/06 · 00:19

So, there's lots of confusion how you count delegates in cali.

I'll take a shot at trying to start off the explaination. Hopefully someone can do the math....

more after the jump...

hamiltondj

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Wednesday November 08, 2006 · 12:31 AM PST

2006/11/08 · 00:31

MT board of elections web site is reporting that Yellowstone County is doing a complete recount....

Tester 134,769
Burns 127,515

as of 3:30 am EST Read More

Give Lautenburg His Seniority

hamiltondj

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Tuesday November 07, 2006 · 6:33 PM PST

2006/11/07 · 18:33

Now that Holy Joe is (sadly) going back to the Senate, its time to start a campaign to give Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ) his seniority back.... Read More

Required Reading: Conservatives Without Conscience

hamiltondj

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Wednesday July 26, 2006 · 12:05 AM PDT

2006/07/26 · 00:05

For those of you who read slashdot, this post is in the spirit of the occasional book reviews they post. And now to the point... John Dean's new book, Conservatives Without Conscience, is absolute required reading.

There's more ...

PS - I am in no way affiliated with this book. I just thought it was that good. Read More

GitMo who's who - a interesting analysis of the GitMo Detainees

hamiltondj

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Thursday February 16, 2006 · 11:58 AM PST

2006/02/16 · 11:58

Here is an interesting report on the GitMo detainees done by a professor and some students at Seton Hall Law School.

It is probably important to note that among the authors of the report are counsel for two GitMo detainees...

Its very short and worth a read.
Summary after the fold....
Read More

Where are the networks?

hamiltondj

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday September 02, 2005 · 12:27 PM PDT

2005/09/02 · 12:27

The tragedy in the southern gulf looks like it might be the greatest disaster in US history. The cable news has been 24/7 since before the storm. But where are NBC, CBS and ABC?

Is Dr. Phil really more important that tens of thousands of lives? Remember that the big 3 are the only "over the air" networks which is especially important in areas without power. Last night they showed football for god sakes.

After 9/11 it was a week of non-stop coverage.

Am I being crazy here?

Deal = Chief Justice Scalia

hamiltondj

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Monday May 23, 2005 · 5:38 PM PDT

2005/05/23 · 17:38

With the fillabuster deal, we get Chief Justice Scalia that's what this deal is about. Get used to it. It could have been worse. The right wing wanated Thomas as CJ.

The real fight is who will fill Scalia's seat...another Thomas (very very bad) or (hope of hope) another Bryer...

More after the fold.... Read More

Answer to the Ownership society: Neo-Federalism

hamiltondj

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday December 02, 2004 · 9:41 AM PST

2004/12/02 · 09:41

Kos posted the newsweek interview with Rove and one thing popped right out at me: the republicans have abandoned the principles of small federal government and federalism (states rights). They recognize that a strong federal government is necessary to advance the "ownership society" of unfettered darwinian markets and evangelical moral values.

There was a bit of talk on my diary and others after the election about "neo-federalism" - the belief that the only way to protect against this Bush/Rove agenda is to advance the small government/states rights philosphy the republicans had espoused. This would allow the blue states to have a progressive policy and the red states to have the conservice policy. Read More

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The End Game

Waiting for the Dam to Break

How it could end

Real Delegate Count: Obama 1,012 Clinton 940

California Delegate Math Deciphered

Breaking: MT- Yellowstone County..Trouble?

Give Lautenburg His Seniority

Required Reading: Conservatives Without Conscience

GitMo who's who - a interesting analysis of the GitMo Detainees

Where are the networks?

Deal = Chief Justice Scalia

Answer to the Ownership society: Neo-Federalism