To quote Hillary, to much "whoop dee doo" has been made out of her victory in PA last night. I could never understand why so many people seemed surprised. I certainly hoped that Obama would win, but I did know that for him to do so would have been a coup. Given how the tone of the race has turned in the last week or so, I was not at all surprised that the gap could not be made smaller than what it is now.
So I thought about this "surprise" factor a bit. I looked at the data and did some math. I came up with the following argument:
When it comes to performance in "home states", each candidtae won their states, but one of them performed much better than the other: Obama.
I explain this after the fold...
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