Arnold has crew create pothole, so that he can fill it.

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Friday May 27, 2005 · 5:49 AM PDT

2005/05/27 · 05:49

Master of Stagecraft has a city crew destroy a street so that he can ride in and fill it while the camera rolls.

Link to Chronicle

Governor digs fixing potholes
San Jose crews destroy part of road for staged event

Carla Marinucci, Chronicle Political Writer

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger traveled to a quiet San Jose neighborhood Thursday, and -- dogged by protesters -- filled a pothole dug by city crews just a few hours before, as part of an attempt to dramatize his efforts to increase money for transportation projects.
...

Schwarzenegger strode toward television cameras on Laguna Seca Way to the sounds of the Doobie Brothers' "Taking it to the Streets,'' while flanked by 10 San Jose city road workers wearing Day-Glo vests and work gear. After speeches by the governor and city officials, a dump truck backed up and unloaded a mound of black asphalt and, as television cameras recorded the moment, Schwarzenegger joined the work crew, taking up a broom and filling the 10-by-15-foot hole, later smoothed over by a massive roller truck.

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Thursday November 18, 2004 · 10:02 PM PST

2004/11/18 · 22:02

From the Washington Post

Nuclear Disclosures On Iran Unverified

Secretary of State Colin L. Powell shared information with reporters Wednesday about Iran's nuclear program that was classified and based on an unvetted, single source who provided information that two U.S. officials said yesterday was highly significant if true but has not yet

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Friday November 05, 2004 · 10:47 PM PST

2004/11/05 · 22:47

Ugh. I think one of the hardest things I am going through right now is dealing with the fact that there are people in my life that voted for Bush.

As a gay man, this takes on extra meaning. It means that these people voted for a candidate who would use me as a whipping post. And these people in my life didn't think this was important enough to consider when casting thier vote. And they have the nerve to tell me so.

So I've already decided these people aren't true friends. I've got an employee, a guy I liked, who voted for Bush. Now I can't even look at him. Is this wrong? How do I get over this. Or, should I get over this?

I know some of you have family that voted for Bush. How are you dealing with it?

Gallup Internals: Kerry up in Battleground

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Monday October 25, 2004 · 1:33 PM PDT

2004/10/25 · 13:33

Some freeper posted the Gallup Subscription info over at pee on the republic but if you don't want to visit that evil site, here's some good info from the table posted there:

This is from the RV/Two way table.

Red States:
Kerry 40, Bush 57
Blue States:
Kerry 53, Bush 44
Swing States
Kerry 49, Bush 47

The two were tied in the Swing States in last weeks Gallup poll. Also - the party breakdown: Read More

Zogby Tracking Polls from 2000: Bush v Gore

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Sunday October 24, 2004 · 4:57 PM PDT

2004/10/24 · 16:57

I know that people are going to spend the next week having daily freakouts as Zogby releases numbers, so a little perspective is in order. Zogby is a reasonable polster, and though he got the results fairly close in most cases in 2000, what you will notice is that there were wide swings in the polls, and the numbers 10 days or even a few days before election day were in some cases very different from the numbers Zogby gave to us the day of the election.

Here are the numbers Zogby had in some of the toss-up States in 2000. Read More

2 New NV Polls : Still within reach

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Sunday October 24, 2004 · 1:38 AM PDT

2004/10/24 · 01:38

Nevada is tilting towards Bush, but two news polls out today give us reason to think that it might just yet end up in our column:

A new statewide poll taken for the Las Vegas Sun/Channel 8 Eyewitness News/KNPR Nevada Public Radio shows Republican President Bush leading Democratic challenger John Kerry 45 percent to 41 percent among very likely voters in Nevada.

That's a statistical dead heat because it is within the margin of error of 4 percentage points. It also represents a slight narrowing of Bush's lead in Nevada when compared with a similar statewide poll taken last month that showed him ahead 47-42.

LINK

AND: Read More

Marist: Race tied, Kerry up in Battlegrounds

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Thursday October 21, 2004 · 8:57 AM PDT

2004/10/21 · 08:57

From Marist: Link Here

Presidential contest this close: President George Bush and Senator John Kerry remain neck and neck in a nationwide poll conducted Sunday through Tuesday. Each candidate receives the support of 47% of registered voters. Nader has 1%, and 5% are undecided. Among those likely to vote, Bush has the support of 48% compared with 47% for Kerry. Ralph Nader receives 1%, and only 4% are undecided.

But wait:

Among the 17 so called battleground States, Kerry leads by 50 to 43 and with leaners his lead grows to 51 to 43.

Other findings:
Kerry up 10 among women, Bush up 10 among men.
Kerry leads among first time voters 53 to 35
Kerry leads among independents by 45 to 43.
Wrong/Right track is at 54/44.

Charlie Cook is Making Sense

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Friday October 15, 2004 · 10:30 AM PDT

2004/10/15 · 10:30

Whew- what's going on around here today? I left the computer for a few hours, went out into the real world, and when I got back everyone was still talking about Mary and Zogby. That's too bad. I came across this chat Charlie Cook did was the WaPo and at least he is making some sense. There's quite a few of you who would be served well by reading it. You can read the whole thing HERE but here are some choice excerpts:

Berwyn, Ill.: With unprecedented numbers of newly registered voters all across the country, aren't ALL polls essentially irrelevant?

Charles Cook: Virtually all the polls you are seeing are using random digit dialing, not voter registeration rolls, so theoretically even newly registered voters are being polled. A far bigger problem is that as many as 18 percent of telephone subscribers today have no land lines, and since pollsters are not calling cell phones, almost one in five voters are not being included in poll samples.

Unrelated to your question, my advice to people is to not pay too much attention to any one poll, there is a temptation to cherry pick, to focus on the one or two polls that tell you what you want to see happen the most, and ignore all others as methodologically flawed. I would look at the averages of polls that are published in various places, an average of many polls is most likely to give you a truer picture than any one.

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Wednesday September 29, 2004 · 11:41 AM PDT

2004/09/29 · 11:41

Harris has just released a new poll and it shows the race still close- Bush 48, Kerry 46, Nader 3 - but they note some unusual finding concerning the gender gap and voter choice by education level.

While these polls show a virtual dead heat (and, of course, a "virtual dead heat" was the correct forecast of the popular vote in 2000), this latest survey by Harris Interactive finds some very peculiar things are going on.

One is that the traditional gender gap - with men leaning more toward Republican candidates and women toward the Democratic candidates - is only a very modest feature of this election, at the moment.

Another, even more surprising, finding emerges from an analysis by education. Normally Democratic candidates win substantial majorities among those with the least education - people who never went to college. Now President Bush does better among this group than he does among those with more education.

Indeed, President Bush leads Senator Kerry by nine points among those with no college education and by six points among those with some college education but no bachelor's degree. Kerry, on the other hand, leads by five percent among those with a college degree and by fully 21 percent among those with post-graduate education.

Strange things seem to be happening, making this something of a topsy-turvy election.

You can see the Harris writeup HERE Read More

I'm sick of polls, but you asked. ZI on VA, CO, AZ, NC

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Tuesday September 21, 2004 · 4:19 PM PDT

2004/09/21 · 16:19

If you read my recent comments you will see I am fed up with the amount and quality of polling that is coming at us right now. Having said that, I noticed that several people are wondering what happened to the Zogby polls of VA, CO, NC and AZ.

I found these on Race 2004 which I think people should visit rather than electoralvote.com

Here are the Zogby Numbers. Do what you want with them. I'm not here to defend them. Just giving you what you asked for. I am giving you the two way numbers. Visit the site if you want to see the Nader numbers. Read More

New Kerry Ads Attack Cheney and Bush

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Friday September 17, 2004 · 6:42 AM PDT

2004/09/17 · 06:42

I have been waiting for Kerry's ads to start getting negative. He's got two new ones out. One is on Healthcare. Its rebuts Bush's attacks and turns it around on him. The other is a full assault on Cheney and Halliburton

I'm not an expert on political advertising. I'm glad to see some negative ads coming out. I imagine things are going to be downright vicious in October. I'd be interested to see what you all think of these ads. Personally I think they are good, but like many of you I'm so mad I want even more.

John Kerry TV Spots

A lesson about GOTV, and why CW sucks

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Thursday September 16, 2004 · 7:16 AM PDT

2004/09/16 · 07:16

A lot of people now are hanging hopes on the polls being misleading and that a huge turnout will produce an outcome on Nov 2 that will surprise everyone.

For others, this kind of talk sounds like whistling past the graveyard. I want to provide you with an example from this Tuesday's Massachusetts primaries that show how the CW can be so off, and that the candidate declared to be the loser before the voting starts comes out with a 20 point victory. Read More

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Arnold has crew create pothole, so that he can fill it.

Powell, a man with no shame, now lies about Iran.

Bushies in your life: How do you deal with it?

Gallup Internals: Kerry up in Battleground

Zogby Tracking Polls from 2000: Bush v Gore

2 New NV Polls : Still within reach

Marist: Race tied, Kerry up in Battlegrounds

Charlie Cook is Making Sense

New Harris Poll : Some "Very Peculiar" things

I'm sick of polls, but you asked. ZI on VA, CO, AZ, NC

New Kerry Ads Attack Cheney and Bush

A lesson about GOTV, and why CW sucks