New Jersey
Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. 10/4-9. Likely voters. MoE 4% (9/21-26 results)
Corzine (D) 48 (48)
Forrester (R) 40 (38)
New Jersey polling is all over the place (remember yesterday's tie in the Marist poll?), probably because of different "likely voter" screens. Given that the election is just weeks away, that "likely voter" screen becomes increasingly important.
The other recent polls (Corzine-Forrester):
Marist (10/5-6): 47-45
Star Ledger (10/3-6): 44-37
Monmouth Univ (9/21-26): 43-34
Quinnipiac Univ (9/20-25): 48-44
Wisconsin
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute (PDF). 10/2-4. All adults. MoE 4%. (No trend lines)
Doyle (D) 46
Green (R) 33
Doyle (D) 50
Walker (R) 31
While Jim Doyle has a substantial lead over either Mark Green or Scott Walker, the long-term trends do not necessarily look good for his reelection. There is a substantial growing nervousness about the state's economy and its impact on the state's families. Combining the historic data on whether the state is moving in the right direction, the direction of the state's economy, and individual family circumstances points to a serious problem for Jim Doyle unless these numbers become more positive over the next year.